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Old 12-16-2023, 09:48 PM
  #321  
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Originally Posted by HSCompressor
So with Brad saying we have higher load factors for the holidays, are they saying Q4 will still be a loss?
I've flown a lot of half empty planes lately
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Old 12-17-2023, 04:31 AM
  #322  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900
I've flown a lot of half empty planes lately
My commute (off-line) has seen a ton of half full 321s as well.
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Old 12-17-2023, 04:59 AM
  #323  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900
I've flown a lot of half empty planes lately

I had 66 in a 321 the other day. Not a good look.
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Old 12-17-2023, 05:07 AM
  #324  
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Originally Posted by av8nallday
I had 66 in a 321 the other day. Not a good look.
There has always been a lull between Thanksgiving and Christmas. Flights are flying empty all over the country... Reference the TSA passenger numbers, many many days below 2 million total pax for the first time.

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
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Old 12-17-2023, 07:03 AM
  #325  
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Originally Posted by ToddChavez
There has always been a lull between Thanksgiving and Christmas. Flights are flying empty all over the country... Reference the TSA passenger numbers, many many days below 2 million total pax for the first time.

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Is that why Frontier planes are half-empty?

walked past a big-3 gate, it was a sh1t-show, standing room only

I guess those 1.999 million PAX are not on Frontier ?
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Old 12-17-2023, 07:29 AM
  #326  
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Originally Posted by hercretired
Is that why Frontier planes are half-empty?

walked past a big-3 gate, it was a sh1t-show, standing room only

I guess those 1.999 million PAX are not on Frontier ?
Well while we’re basing this discussion on random anecdotal data, loads on my flights have been pretty decent. Who knows what the tickets are going for.

I’m sure this is an intra-holiday lull, but none of us know any better than last quarter’s guidance in terms of what Q4 will end up looking like.
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Old 12-17-2023, 07:38 AM
  #327  
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Originally Posted by hercretired
Is that why Frontier planes are half-empty?

walked past a big-3 gate, it was a sh1t-show, standing room only

I guess those 1.999 million PAX are not on Frontier ?
You say that like every single one of our flights are half empty, while the big-3 have 100% load factors. That is hardly the truth.

FWIW, since we are throwing out random observations that have little meaning... all 7 of our MCO - PHL flights today are jam packed full. American has anywhere from 20-40 open on each of theirs.
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Old 12-17-2023, 08:54 AM
  #328  
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Originally Posted by ToddChavez
You say that like every single one of our flights are half empty, while the big-3 have 100% load factors. That is hardly the truth.

FWIW, since we are throwing out random observations that have little meaning... all 7 of our MCO - PHL flights today are jam packed full. American has anywhere from 20-40 open on each of theirs.
1807 shows 100+ open.

So...
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Old 12-17-2023, 08:55 AM
  #329  
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Originally Posted by BobSacamano
Well while we’re basing this discussion on random anecdotal data, loads on my flights have been pretty decent. Who knows what the tickets are going for.

I’m sure this is an intra-holiday lull, but none of us know any better than last quarter’s guidance in terms of what Q4 will end up looking like.
Originally Posted by ToddChavez
You say that like every single one of our flights are half empty, while the big-3 have 100% load factors. That is hardly the truth.

FWIW, since we are throwing out random observations that have little meaning... all 7 of our MCO - PHL flights today are jam packed full. American has anywhere from 20-40 open on each of theirs.

Ya seriously. Just because a flight is full doesn’t mean it’s making money and the inverse is also true. I have the same talk with flight attendants all the time who don’t understand why we cancelled *insert random route* since it was full all the time. We just don’t know the profit on a route. There’s so many factors.

My guess is most airlines are doing just fine with the cancellation rate being low and the fuel prices decreasing. Might even squeak out a surprise profit this quarter. I’m also guessing that’s why stock prices have done well across the board over the past month.
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Old 12-17-2023, 09:00 AM
  #330  
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Point received, and made.

at the end of the day, the flight load is a result of the marketing, corporate, management team and "brand reputation" that the public has. Not our [Pilots] "fault" if a plane is empty.

It is not JAX Center's fault either.

As someone said, a full flight may not even turn a profit. (Note to self: I doubt an empty one does...)

Happy Sunday
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