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Old 02-20-2022, 07:20 PM
  #2461  
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Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
I responded to this same post in the Spirit “Attrition” thread, but I’ll post my reply here too as it’s equally relevant. This is disappointing math, but not how you may think. This means that we need to net 10.5 pilots per month for the next 5 years. That’s not a lot and it may not take the massive contract gains we’re all hoping for to make that happen. A few minor tweaks and a few extra bucks might actually do it. Know what you want, make it known to the union, and vote no if the joint TA is not good enough in your eyes. This is an opportunity like never before. Don’t sell yourself short.
630/year would be around 50 a month not 10 right?
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:21 PM
  #2462  
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My math comes out to 53 pilots per month net gain starting 2 months ago. That means we are already over 100 people behind where we need to be based off attrition.

throw in some retirements and people leaving for legacies we have some major hiring on the horizon.
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:27 PM
  #2463  
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Originally Posted by Planedrive
My math comes out to 53 pilots per month net gain starting 2 months ago. That means we are already over 100 people behind where we need to be based off attrition.

throw in some retirements and people leaving for legacies we have some major hiring on the horizon.
Is the 15 pilots per plane coming from the current setup? Perhaps mgt is thinking a leaner ratio going forward. Just one fewer pilot per plane is significant
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:29 PM
  #2464  
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Originally Posted by mavsfflife
630/year would be around 50 a month not 10 right?
Originally Posted by Planedrive
My math comes out to 53 pilots per month net gain starting 2 months ago. That means we are already over 100 people behind where we need to be based off attrition.

throw in some retirements and people leaving for legacies we have some major hiring on the horizon.

Holy moly. The wife and I enjoyed a little too much wine tonight apparently. Yes, both of your math is correct. I misread the original post and thought planedrive was saying that we only needed 630 over the next 5 years. So, my math was right. My reading comprehension was very wrong. Carry on. Nothing to see here.
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:35 PM
  #2465  
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Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
Holy moly. The wife and I enjoyed a little too much wine tonight apparently. Yes, both of your math is correct. I misread the original post and thought planedrive was saying that we only needed 630 over the next 5 years. So, my math was right. My reading comprehension was very wrong. Carry on. Nothing to see here.
Lol I can relate. 50 a month is no joke. The fact we can’t even hit that now, at the beginning of the wave, is concerning.
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:47 PM
  #2466  
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Originally Posted by mavsfflife
Lol I can relate. 50 a month is no joke. The fact we can’t even hit that now, at the beginning of the wave, is concerning.
The regionals have 20,000 pilots and they are about to come apart. With too few CAs staying to fly the lines needed to upgrade new FOs to CA-eligible, the whole system will come apart. There will be a whole lot of 2500 hour guys with 500-750 hrs of 121 SIC looking for a job within the next 2-3 years.
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Old 02-20-2022, 07:51 PM
  #2467  
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Originally Posted by mavsfflife
The fact we can’t even hit that now, at the beginning of the wave, is concerning.
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Old 02-21-2022, 04:50 AM
  #2468  
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Did you see in this latest issue of Airline Pilot Magazine that Spirt alone plans on hiring 800 pilots in 2022? I’m not saying they can do that, but that’s what the article was touting.
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Old 02-21-2022, 04:53 AM
  #2469  
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Originally Posted by TurboFanMan
Did you see in this latest issue of Airline Pilot Magazine that Spirt alone plans on hiring 800 pilots in 2022? I’m not saying they can do that, but that’s what the article was touting.
That was the original plan at Spirit, but we’re unable to handle that. Lucky to get 40/mo through. CA upgrades and new hires were scaled way back. It’s obvious that we’ll just take less planes than we’ve ordered.
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Old 02-21-2022, 05:14 AM
  #2470  
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Originally Posted by JulesWinfield
That was the original plan at Spirit, but we’re unable to handle that. Lucky to get 40/mo through. CA upgrades and new hires were scaled way back. It’s obvious that we’ll just take less planes than we’ve ordered.
——-or———
they’ll retire thirsty ceos and take shiny new neos instead. Real growth with be capped; perhaps, but casm will decrease. Which is the point.
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