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Old 11-09-2020, 09:01 PM
  #1421  
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Originally Posted by CantStayAway
I was a no vote for a few reasons, but the largest 2 were the reassignment language (which has yet to be implemented) and PBS. If I’d seen what we were going to get with PBS that wouldn’t have been a hang up for me. I think we did really well with our PBS rules (like the provision to sell your vacation and still build a 90 hour line). I hope once the app is released and the reassignment language is allowed to be used that my fears about it’s abuse were also unfounded.
Add LTD to that. Which now if you want it own occupation for 5 years is costing us a lot.

We were out negotiated by our peers on their contracts in almost every category.
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Old 11-10-2020, 04:45 AM
  #1422  
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Originally Posted by CantStayAway
I was a no vote for a few reasons, but the largest 2 were the reassignment language (which has yet to be implemented) and PBS. If I’d seen what we were going to get with PBS that wouldn’t have been a hang up for me. I think we did really well with our PBS rules (like the provision to sell your vacation and still build a 90 hour line). I hope once the app is released and the reassignment language is allowed to be used that my fears about it’s abuse were also unfounded.
Reassignment was going to change one way or another. Better to handcuff company when we could with the language. There were so many reassignment disputes it was heading to arbitration and IMO would have been lost. But you can’t just say that before arbitration as a union so it couldn’t be conveyed to the group. Had that happened more than likely the company would have gained the ability to reassign much more liberally than they can now. So I’m taking that off the list of loses and putting that in industry standard column because no way we were keeping the ability for our employer to not reach us at work.
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Old 11-12-2020, 04:28 AM
  #1423  
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Thanks for the info, I too am waiting for training to start, however I feel like acknowledging that picking a future date of April or any other without taking in consideration the load rates does no good. If load rates continue to be stagnant, bringing back aircraft will get pushed back. There not going to bring back aircraft to fly empty again. I feel like the only true indicator of when we get called in for training will be once load rates are near normal or close to it.

Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
As you said, everything is subject to change and the result of many variables, but the snapshot for this moment in time...

- All stored airplanes currently in the process of coming out of storage and all should be flying again by April.
- The new aircraft deliveries that were deferred from this year will be arriving next year (2021) in addition to the other planned 2021 deliveries (so in short, lots of new planes on property next year).
- Loads are picking up and ticket prices are slowly going up as well. BB did mention that the latest spike in covid cases has caused a small drop off in bookings, but nothing like we saw during the smaller summer case spike.
- BB has said that the bleeding and concern for survival is over (hopefully stays that way) and focus has shifted to planning hiring and new base openings. We currently have about 1b in liquidity and, the last we heard about a month ago, we were burning about 1m, give or take, per day.
- Rumored hiring as early as January. However, there is also talk that new hires would be hired into zero hour lines, but could have normal lines right away if things pick up enough. So, if that is true and you are already at a paying flying job (ie. not furloughed) you may find yourself having a tough decision and gamble to make.
- With the bad rap F9 has gotten over the past few months for Covid cancellations, new customer service and passenger rebooking and changing policies have just gone into effect. Hopefully it’ll make people more likely to book tickets without the concern of getting hosed.

I randomly look at the loads daily out of our bases and focus cities and, while there is the occasional dud flight, I’m always very impressed with the planned passenger loads. Lots of full and nearly full flight out there on both 320s and 321s. The desire to travel is there. It’s just a matter of people finally getting out and doing it. Hopefully things stay on this path and you will be getting a call sooner than later. If I had to place a bet, I’d say plan on getting a call between now and April. With the vaccine news just announced today, hopefully public confidence in a recovery and virus control is going to improve. When the public perception improves, so does our livelihood.
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Old 11-12-2020, 04:58 AM
  #1424  
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Originally Posted by jbrian24
Thanks for the info, I too am waiting for training to start, however I feel like acknowledging that picking a future date of April or any other without taking in consideration the load rates does no good. If load rates continue to be stagnant, bringing back aircraft will get pushed back. There not going to bring back aircraft to fly empty again. I feel like the only true indicator of when we get called in for training will be once load rates are near normal or close to it.
It wasn’t a random date. It was a timeframe that we were given in internal communications. Of course absolutely everything hinges on a recovery
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Old 11-12-2020, 05:06 AM
  #1425  
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Originally Posted by jbrian24
Thanks for the info, I too am waiting for training to start, however I feel like acknowledging that picking a future date of April or any other without taking in consideration the load rates does no good. If load rates continue to be stagnant, bringing back aircraft will get pushed back. There not going to bring back aircraft to fly empty again. I feel like the only true indicator of when we get called in for training will be once load rates are near normal or close to it.
All BB and everyone cares about right now is spring and summer bookings. Planes are coming and they are figuring out all and any ways they can use them. New cities, routes, frequency, etc. I’d be shocked if there wasn’t a Feb or March class.
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Old 11-12-2020, 08:28 AM
  #1426  
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Originally Posted by jbrian24
Thanks for the info, I too am waiting for training to start, however I feel like acknowledging that picking a future date of April or any other without taking in consideration the load rates does no good. If load rates continue to be stagnant, bringing back aircraft will get pushed back. There not going to bring back aircraft to fly empty again. I feel like the only true indicator of when we get called in for training will be once load rates are near normal or close to it.
Of course everything is subject to change, but you need to remember that staffing and fleet planning are based on projections. Not the here and now. It wasn’t all too many years ago that we were hiring and training in full force, yet offering voluntary month-to-month leaves of absence because we were overstaffed.

While we are all still hearing about airlines continuing to cut back service and routes, that is all taking place within the legacies. They are still struggling to control their massive cash bleeding. Meanwhile in the world of LCCs and ULCCs … the likes of Frontier, Spirit, Allegiant, JetBlue, etc. have all been able to get our houses in order. All of our financial losses have gone from an arterial hemorrhage to a slow finger bleed. While the legacies are still trying to stand up after the punch, the U/LCCs are looking at how to take advantage of the current situation. It’s unfortunate to say, but every big downturn in this industry has offered opportunity for the underdogs. I have no doubt that Southwest would have always continued to grow and become extremely successful, but if it weren’t for 9/11, they may not have exploded into the massive and unstoppable powerhouse that they are today. The “Great Recession” provided incredible opportunity for Spirit. They were hiring and growing (With Indigo at the helm, I might add) while every other airline was furloughing.

For the first time since the beginning of the pandemic there is finally light at the end of the tunnel, despite the current surge in cases. Thankfully, Frontier now has a little bit of financial wiggle room in the “spend money to make money” department and it looks like they are planning to do just that. I’m not naïve enough to believe that we will be the next Southwest (although, if a merger with Spirit ever became a reality…), but there is about to be some massive opportunity for growth.

Also, to quickly address your concern on loads… Although I’m on voluntary leave until April, I’m still keeping a daily pulse on the industry and this company. It’s no surprise that I’m generally a positive type poster on here, but the current loads I’m seeing on our internal web everyday are exceeding even my expectations. There has no doubt been a dip recently, but people are still filling the planes we have flying at levels that I would have never expected. I’ll use ORD as an example since it’s our smallest base and easiest to determine, but current planned loads for all of tomorrow’s flights touching ORD are running at just over 83% load factor. Now, I can’t tell you RASM, but those are the current butts in seats

It’s also worth noting that the staffing adjustment award for January just published a few days ago and we will actually have a net increase in active pilots. The return of pilots on COLA (voluntary leave) did not cause any additional displacements of pilots to COLA-0 (our “safe space” word for furlough) as it has in previous months.

As I said in my last post though, it’s not all unicorns and butterflies. There has been talk of hiring pilots into zero-hour lines if things don’t pick up as quickly as hoped. How that will work for consolidation I have no idea. But, if you’re currently employed in a flying job, you may be left with a tough decision when that phone call comes. Although, I would remind you that by year two here, you would be making more than a senior captain at any regional. So, if you do have the wherewithal to take a hit for a few months, it may very well pay off exponentially in the future.

Last edited by TOGALOCK; 11-12-2020 at 08:50 AM.
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Old 11-12-2020, 10:18 AM
  #1427  
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Sorry if this has been addressed. I've gone back through a lot of pages and not sure how the downturn may have changed this. When hiring was taking place what bases were junior and most new hires going to?

Prior to the downturn I had my eyes set on LCC's strictly because I live close to MCO and driving an hour and a half sure beats commuting to the NE. Really had no ambitions of legacy or widebody. Just a good QOL with decent pay.
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Old 11-12-2020, 11:22 AM
  #1428  
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Originally Posted by RJDriver900
Sorry if this has been addressed. I've gone back through a lot of pages and not sure how the downturn may have changed this. When hiring was taking place what bases were junior and most new hires going to?

Prior to the downturn I had my eyes set on LCC's strictly because I live close to MCO and driving an hour and a half sure beats commuting to the NE. Really had no ambitions of legacy or widebody. Just a good QOL with decent pay.
Currently, the most junior FO at the company is MCO based. I went back to the July seniority list to make sure it wasn’t a result of displacement shuffles and it does look like MCO was, in fact, their original award. If you don’t get MCO right out of the gate, you can likely plan on getting it pretty quickly as long as hiring were to continue. If you don’t get MCO, my money would be on MIA or PHL as your first award. A lot will depend on your class size and where you fall seniority wise within it.
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Old 11-12-2020, 01:34 PM
  #1429  
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Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
Currently, the most junior FO at the company is MCO based. I went back to the July seniority list to make sure it wasn’t a result of displacement shuffles and it does look like MCO was, in fact, their original award. If you don’t get MCO right out of the gate, you can likely plan on getting it pretty quickly as long as hiring were to continue. If you don’t get MCO, my money would be on MIA or PHL as your first award. A lot will depend on your class size and where you fall seniority wise within it.
Thanks for the info! Is seniority in class based on age or SSN? If its SSN is higher or lower better?
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Old 11-12-2020, 02:00 PM
  #1430  
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Originally Posted by RJDriver900
Thanks for the info! Is seniority in class based on age or SSN? If its SSN is higher or lower better?
Age. The more gray hair or progressed male pattern baldness the better.
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