Hiring Mins 3000?
#21
Line Holder
Joined APC: Feb 2023
Posts: 50
Here is what I will say (whether I agree or not), its like Moneyball. STATISTICALLY once an pilot is here for 3 years they are less likely to leave. They need to improve the years 1-3 stats to meet their goal. I know someone 300 places in front of me on the seniority list, last upgrade, I moved up 10, he moved up 4. That means 4 people, above say mid 600s left. 6 between me (mid 900s) and him left. Cant calculate how many above mid 900s left (but probably pretty great). So yes, you at the top of the seniority list should expect little to nothing since STATISTICALLY you are already staying. They want to get people to year 3 thinkng that is the number that gives the Company the advantage. The good news is for those of you in the upper numbers, QOL increases will need to be significant to keep those new guys which you will see the benefit of. If they cant figure out FLexbid is a mess, QOL is a mess, they will QUICKLY learn, increasing years 1-3 money does not equal retention but increase of QOL WILL keep those that have been here the longest (as well as the new hires) way more than $ will.
Spot on
#22
It seems like the logic is now throw money at years 1-3 and ignore anyone who isn't in that demographic. They may be able to attract candidates with more than 3000 hours but they aren't going to be able to do anything to retain those of us who are here, and are being shown in real time that there is no longevity here. A year 1 SIC is going to get a 50k raise while anyone in a Gulfstream is going to get 4k raise. Why stay when the company isn't going to invest in you past year 3? I'm sure there are plenty who will take the next few years to build a good nest egg then head to the major of our choice.
#25
Line Holder
Joined APC: Jan 2023
Posts: 50
He mentioned during the call that only year 1-3 is getting a 25-50k pay raise; incidentally with no mention of where Phenom PICs play into this.
It appears Year 5 and beyond assumes ILC. KR said he is going to “focus on evaluation and completion of air carrier parity” in 2024. This is very vague.
If anyone from the panopticon is reading this, here’s what “air carrier parity” looks like:
Pilots beyond year 3 (and potentially all ILC) would still be earning dollars from a 2022 pay raise, which was 2021 Project Vision dollars. Set at around 2.5% pay raise each year.
2022 yearly inflation was 6.5%.
ILC Year 1 is still $180 and not changing.
2023 ILC Year 1 adjusted CPI should be $190+. Same thing with DRL.
DRL Year 5 is still $164.
2023 DRL Year 5 adjusted to CPI should be 174+ inflation would be $174+.
KR mentioned Delta… I’ll give him credit. I thank him for not saying the N word (NetJets) while trying to compare our pay.
Well Delta got 18% DOS, another 5% after one year, 4% after two years and 4% after three.
If he wants to compare us with them, I’m glad. But the math is laid out.
Has he under promised so he can over deliver?
Or will he not deliver at all?
Time will tell.
Let’s talk about the QOL “improvements”.
No duty before 7am Day 1? Sounds great. Will they actually stick to it? ….
Improve home arrival time on last day? …
Flexbid is still a god awful mess. They are assigning months with 9 days, some with 20….
And possible hotel swap to Marriott? …
Yes all these sound great but again, time will tell.
We have more questions now that he dropped all this on us before Christmas. I hope everyone here - pilots and FAs - gets a bite of the cake.
Last edited by TCASfail; 12-12-2023 at 10:21 AM.
#26
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2018
Posts: 228
I think the key is that there was a lot promised, as far as anyone can tell it is not being implemented TODAY. If you are sub-3000 hours, continue to apply until you see it printed somewhere the mins are 3,000. Pay raise? Trust me, there will be a TON of emails regarding the increase, until then, nothing is happening. It will be interesting to see how quickly some of the QOL improvements that were discussed are implemented. It is pretty simple to send an email to the hotel department and say "Start booking Marriotts when able" or scheduling "1st day of rotation should not start before 7am", simple email to see some of the changes that were discussed. When I start to see later start times, being booked at the Marriott properties, less crowded go home days, then I will believe the rest of this is "in the works". Until then they are just potential ideas. The bad part is if some of the deliverables are not delivered within a reasonable amount of time, you risk an attrition problem of unbelieveable proportions.
#27
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2016
Posts: 296
Flexjet was my 1A destination for years, and I've ALWAYS said that I'll stay unless Flexjet gives me a reason to leave. If their idea of parity with air carriers pay scales is this 'throw money at years 1-3 and ignore the rest' idea they're potentially trotting out, then that's a pretty good reason. I'm all for new hires getting compensated in a manner that allows us to be competitive in our hiring processes, especially considering we're raising our minimums while everyone else is lowering theirs. What I'm not going to stay here for is a continued lack of investment in pilots who have been here longer than that timeframe, CGF moneyball analytics or not. I hope that when the new scales are finally released I'll be able to breathe a sigh of relief and tell myself that I was over-reacting. It would've been more prudent to wait to make any sort of announcement until all the details were finalized to begin with, but that's not where we are today. I guess we'll wait and see what the future holds.
#28
Line Holder
Joined APC: Mar 2021
Posts: 30
Upgrades seem to be slowing a bit as well. People awarded bids before Thanksgiving aren't getting training dates till March. That seems a bit ridiculous to me. But like they say, "If it's not your business, then it's none of your business." I'll just hold on and see how this ride goes.
#29
Line Holder
Joined APC: Feb 2023
Posts: 50
Yeah I think this is where he shot himself in the foot. You can't tell pilots all this great stuff and not give details. We are all very detail oriented. I believe he should have just waited until the emails were ready and the process was ready to proceed. I've heard that the raises aren't until quarter 2 of 2024. Sad thing is some of the QOL improvements were "reduced" times. Not the elimination of early starts and the like.
#30
New Hire
Joined APC: Dec 2023
Position: 320
Posts: 5
Flexjet was my 1A destination for years, and I've ALWAYS said that I'll stay unless Flexjet gives me a reason to leave. If their idea of parity with air carriers pay scales is this 'throw money at years 1-3 and ignore the rest' idea they're potentially trotting out, then that's a pretty good reason. I'm all for new hires getting compensated in a manner that allows us to be competitive in our hiring processes, especially considering we're raising our minimums while everyone else is lowering theirs. What I'm not going to stay here for is a continued lack of investment in pilots who have been here longer than that timeframe, CGF moneyball analytics or not. I hope that when the new scales are finally released I'll be able to breathe a sigh of relief and tell myself that I was over-reacting. It would've been more prudent to wait to make any sort of announcement until all the details were finalized to begin with, but that's not where we are today. I guess we'll wait and see what the future holds.
Understanding that airlines aren’t for everyone and that Flex may have some more tricks up their sleeve before they reveal the final numbers, it’s still early to fully judge what the effects might be. That said, I think the changes are too little, too vague, and (at Q2 of 2024) too late to stop the attrition. Furthermore, no changes to 3yr+ pilot tables in the face of some serious inflation and market changes shows me that maybe this isn’t a career destination that cares about lifetime compensation for what can be a pretty exhausting job vs 121 flying. Their own chart shows as much with a 15yr extrapolated difference (yrs 10 through 25) of $720k-$1.2M.
Last edited by fa22raptor; 12-12-2023 at 01:27 PM.
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