Loss of USPS contract…
#112
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2007
Posts: 1,199
We do. But it’s a very small fraction of what we used to carry. Your anecdotal observation from the cockpit doesn’t trump the factual data from both FedEx and the Post Office that our postal volumes have been reduced to a point where we no longer make a profit flying them. The Post Office says the mail it ships by air has been reduced 95%. They are saving over $1 billion as a result. That was the mail we shipped. In December 2023, Fedex reported that as a result of that decline, we were losing $400 million. There’s no debate on that. It’s simply factual data. And when it reported that data, it was stated “I think we’ve been very clear that it will take quite a significant change in contractual terms and agreement to renew that (postal) contract.” Well the Post Office is now required by federal law to maintain the reforms it started, so rather than continue to lose money, FedEx decided not to renew the contract. Since it had become a money loser, that seems like a good thing to do.
#113
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 101
assumptions...
That 90% reduction is for all postal air freight, remember when you would be sitting on a DH and watch flat after flat of first class mail go in the belly ? Don't see that almost anywhere now. The FDX contract was for Priorty and Express Mail and that was a very specific set ramps and flights that are run FOR the post office and for stuff the needed to fly to meet serivce. If anyone thinks that our day network will look like todays come October, I would think again. The entire day network started with the postal deal (save a few flights that started pre-2002). Each and every day flight is a post office flight with virtually all the volume dedicated to postal. Hopefully, we are looking at options to use that day sit time again.
"That's a good question. It's very difficult to actually quantify because the contract with the Postal Service was we need to service these, I believe, with 78, don't quote me on that number, a number of cities that we have to service for their two day freight. We do not fill up the airplane with postal freight. So FedEx can put their two day on it. They can put anything deferred or something that's deferred for a later delivery on those planes. So my first question to my group was, do they designate specific postal flights? Is there a numbering system? The answer to that is no. So it's going to be very difficult to tease out the data from just postal versus our two day and other freight that goes on those airplanes. But, going back to pre-postal, I can imagine the biggest impact will be the day flying in the 757 and the Airbus domestically. That day flying will probably be reduced quite dramatically starting in October."
So....seems like you're not right in your assumption. Seems like there's still the possibility of a signficant portion of day flying remaining for 767. Not all day flights are solely for the purpose of postal. That was the case in early 2000's probably, but the world has changed signficantly since then, eg, e-commerce.
Time will tell...
#114
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 108
From Marty's podcast...
"That's a good question. It's very difficult to actually quantify because the contract with the Postal Service was we need to service these, I believe, with 78, don't quote me on that number, a number of cities that we have to service for their two day freight. We do not fill up the airplane with postal freight. So FedEx can put their two day on it. They can put anything deferred or something that's deferred for a later delivery on those planes. So my first question to my group was, do they designate specific postal flights? Is there a numbering system? The answer to that is no. So it's going to be very difficult to tease out the data from just postal versus our two day and other freight that goes on those airplanes. But, going back to pre-postal, I can imagine the biggest impact will be the day flying in the 757 and the Airbus domestically. That day flying will probably be reduced quite dramatically starting in October."
So....seems like you're not right in your assumption. Seems like there's still the possibility of a signficant portion of day flying remaining for 767. Not all day flights are solely for the purpose of postal. That was the case in early 2000's probably, but the world has changed signficantly since then, eg, e-commerce.
Time will tell...
"That's a good question. It's very difficult to actually quantify because the contract with the Postal Service was we need to service these, I believe, with 78, don't quote me on that number, a number of cities that we have to service for their two day freight. We do not fill up the airplane with postal freight. So FedEx can put their two day on it. They can put anything deferred or something that's deferred for a later delivery on those planes. So my first question to my group was, do they designate specific postal flights? Is there a numbering system? The answer to that is no. So it's going to be very difficult to tease out the data from just postal versus our two day and other freight that goes on those airplanes. But, going back to pre-postal, I can imagine the biggest impact will be the day flying in the 757 and the Airbus domestically. That day flying will probably be reduced quite dramatically starting in October."
So....seems like you're not right in your assumption. Seems like there's still the possibility of a signficant portion of day flying remaining for 767. Not all day flights are solely for the purpose of postal. That was the case in early 2000's probably, but the world has changed signficantly since then, eg, e-commerce.
Time will tell...
#115
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2023
Posts: 187
Another benifit of the lump sum that I haven't seen talked about is if you are ready to retire at an age less than 60 you don't have to wait to get your full retirement. There is no 3% cut for each year prior to age 60. There also isn't a survivor benefir reduction with a lump sum. Because of my wifes age it costs me 25K to leave her with 100% ie I have to work to 60 and I only get 105k. Lump sum buy out option looks pretty good to me.
From Marty's podcast...
"That's a good question. It's very difficult to actually quantify because the contract with the Postal Service was we need to service these, I believe, with 78, don't quote me on that number, a number of cities that we have to service for their two day freight. We do not fill up the airplane with postal freight. So FedEx can put their two day on it. They can put anything deferred or something that's deferred for a later delivery on those planes. So my first question to my group was, do they designate specific postal flights? Is there a numbering system? The answer to that is no. So it's going to be very difficult to tease out the data from just postal versus our two day and other freight that goes on those airplanes. But, going back to pre-postal, I can imagine the biggest impact will be the day flying in the 757 and the Airbus domestically. That day flying will probably be reduced quite dramatically starting in October."
So....seems like you're not right in your assumption. Seems like there's still the possibility of a signficant portion of day flying remaining for 767. Not all day flights are solely for the purpose of postal. That was the case in early 2000's probably, but the world has changed signficantly since then, eg, e-commerce.
Time will tell...
"That's a good question. It's very difficult to actually quantify because the contract with the Postal Service was we need to service these, I believe, with 78, don't quote me on that number, a number of cities that we have to service for their two day freight. We do not fill up the airplane with postal freight. So FedEx can put their two day on it. They can put anything deferred or something that's deferred for a later delivery on those planes. So my first question to my group was, do they designate specific postal flights? Is there a numbering system? The answer to that is no. So it's going to be very difficult to tease out the data from just postal versus our two day and other freight that goes on those airplanes. But, going back to pre-postal, I can imagine the biggest impact will be the day flying in the 757 and the Airbus domestically. That day flying will probably be reduced quite dramatically starting in October."
So....seems like you're not right in your assumption. Seems like there's still the possibility of a signficant portion of day flying remaining for 767. Not all day flights are solely for the purpose of postal. That was the case in early 2000's probably, but the world has changed signficantly since then, eg, e-commerce.
Time will tell...
If we were really losing money on the postal contact (doubtful), we weren't actually losing money on the actually postal contract per se, instead we were losing money because we ran out of freight to fill the rest of plane with due to poor management. We're in for a painful few years here. It's clear that our management is completely inept (no voluntary furloughs, dropped the ball on restructuring the postal contract, etc) and that wallstreet has every intention of gutting this place and diverting all the money needed for capex and chasing new opportunities to buybacks and dividends instead. Guess I should go buy some stock.
#117
Occasional box hauler
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 1,785
The Flat Dollar benefit eligible age group will continue to grow even if the company drags its feet on a new contract.
We have a number of options when taking our pension to protect ourselves. First you can take the max pension amount (actually an annuity purchased for you by the company). You could also take this out as a guaranteed (but slightly reduced) payout for the next 120 or 240 months. Payable to your wife (if you pass first) or estate (if you both die prior to completion). If you are still alive at the end of the term it simply continues to pay until you croak. You can take a survivor benefit option (several variations) that ends when you and your spouse die. Finally, there is a lump sum option for those with poor tax planning skills.
#118
Line Holder
Joined APC: Mar 2024
Posts: 53
Can you share the quote about lump sum from your contract? Surely there is some limit on that amount?
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