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Company reneged on pay package

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Old 06-25-2019, 05:49 AM
  #171  
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Originally Posted by EnyFlyr
So I hear the flow is going to stop for a while due to the MD80 guys and 73 max, any truth?
Both August classes are projected to have 0 new hires to accommodate the MD-80 pilots, iirc
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Old 06-25-2019, 05:55 AM
  #172  
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Originally Posted by ENH017
Both August classes are projected to have 0 new hires to accommodate the MD-80 pilots, iirc
So when they say that the ALPA projections don't take into consideration attrition or retirements they also don't take into account this type of thing that when it happens it essentially evens out with attrition or retirements .

This is how i don't get how the company sells that 5.5 year flow for someone who started recently. It just does not add up
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Old 06-25-2019, 06:16 AM
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Originally Posted by EnyFlyr
So when they say that the ALPA projections don't take into consideration attrition or retirements they also don't take into account this type of thing that when it happens it essentially evens out with attrition or retirements .



This is how i don't get how the company sells that 5.5 year flow for someone who started recently. It just does not add up


Because their will still be movement. For the 1 month they are not taking anyone for the month of August their are still mandatory retirements and outside attrition. I would imagine this stuff happens every once in a while especially for fleet transitions


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Old 06-25-2019, 06:24 AM
  #174  
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Originally Posted by UncreativeUser
Because their will still be movement. For the 1 month they are not taking anyone for the month of August their are still mandatory retirements and outside attrition. I would imagine this stuff happens every once in a while especially for fleet transitions


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Probably gonna see it again to a lesser extent when mainline gets rid of the 190s. AA also usually doesn’t run classes in December for new hires. The beat goes on. I would be counting the days until I flow, but the interactive list hasn’t been updated since March. Might’ve moved up another month since then.
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Old 06-25-2019, 06:48 AM
  #175  
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Originally Posted by Bassman1985
Probably gonna see it again to a lesser extent when mainline gets rid of the 190s. AA also usually doesn’t run classes in December for new hires. The beat goes on. I would be counting the days until I flow, but the interactive list hasn’t been updated since March. Might’ve moved up another month since then.
Not the case anymore. Last December had a large new hire class and this December will have 2 classes.
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Old 06-25-2019, 07:01 AM
  #176  
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There's one or two months a year that AA does not hire which means no WO flows. As far as union projections go, this seems to have the effect neutralizing the fact the union doesn't account for non-flow attrition which is why the union numbers are closer to being right than the company's.

Last year (or was it the year prior), AA did not hire for one month then hired double the norm on another month. Given our flow agreement is tied to lesser of a number per month or percentage of class per month, this had the effect of AA getting all the pilots they needed and letting the WO flow half as much over the two months.

But yay! We have flow!
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Old 06-25-2019, 07:14 AM
  #177  
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Originally Posted by EnyFlyr
So when they say that the ALPA projections don't take into consideration attrition or retirements they also don't take into account this type of thing that when it happens it essentially evens out with attrition or retirements .

This is how i don't get how the company sells that 5.5 year flow for someone who started recently. It just does not add up
attrition is almost as much as flow. missing a few classes only stops 1/2 the attrition. You are losing about 600 pilots a year. Soon it slows to 250-300 flowing depending on cancelled classes, but still 300 or so leaving outside flow. Do the math. They could probably advertise an even shorter flow. Their projection is valid.... and I really hate hate hate saying they're right, because 95% of the time they screw crap up.

That said, their current management is not somebody I would choose to work for go to END or PSA.
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Old 06-25-2019, 07:18 AM
  #178  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665
attrition is almost as much as flow. missing a few classes only stops 1/2 the attrition. You are losing about 600 pilots a year. Soon it slows to 250-300 flowing depending on cancelled classes, but still 300 or so leaving outside flow. Do the math. They could probably advertise an even shorter flow. Their projection is valid.... and I really hate hate hate saying they're right, because 95% of the time they screw crap up.

That said, their current management is not somebody I would choose to work for go to END or PSA.
The vast majority of that non-flow attrition you're mentioning is very junior. First year and some second year, and insignificant after that. The attrition that is junior to you doesn't matter.
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Old 06-25-2019, 07:38 AM
  #179  
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Originally Posted by highfarfast
The vast majority of that non-flow attrition you're mentioning is very junior. First year and some second year, and insignificant after that. The attrition that is junior to you doesn't matter.
even at 250-300 a year it's 1375-1650 flowing in 5.5 years.
Many are still leaving to Delta, United, Fedex/UPS when over 2nd year; yes most of the 300 are junior, but you're still getting 50-100 yearly from higher up. That's another 275-550 over the same 5.5 years.

totals 1650-2200 over the 5.5 years.

their math works.

I had this same argument when they first said 5.5/2.5 over 5 years ago. Said the same thing then, the math works. I has worked fairly closely to their projection. On upgrades it worked even better with instant upgrades. That's fact. I was told I was wrong back then too by guys like you.
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Old 06-25-2019, 08:20 AM
  #180  
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So who cares, you will flow when you flow. Theres no short cuts. Run any numbers you want. Attrition may reduce your time to flow and no attrition will keep your flow where it is. Your not getting there any sooner.
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