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Old 04-08-2019, 05:07 AM
  #711  
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Originally Posted by BigZ
There's a class today, right?
Drum roll and stuff
I just wet myself in anticipation. In all seriousness, I wouldn't expect any big surprises yet. Perhaps next month we start seeing drop offs if no PSA matching.
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Old 04-08-2019, 05:11 AM
  #712  
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15 DFL/OFL (majority went DFW)
9 OFE
1 OCE
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Old 04-08-2019, 05:19 AM
  #713  
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Originally Posted by Cyio
I just wet myself in anticipation. In all seriousness, I wouldn't expect any big surprises yet. Perhaps next month we start seeing drop offs if no PSA matching.
How many non cadet, non RTP guys have they been hiring? Those are the ones that can change their mind with no consequences. Cadets and RTPs are close to a year pipeline. Once they take a drink of the Envoy Kool-Aid, it is very unlikely they can spit it out for a serving from PSA. Even then, not sure if a street hire who already had an Envoy class date would get hired by PSA.
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Old 04-08-2019, 05:49 AM
  #714  
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Originally Posted by pitchattitude
How many non cadet, non RTP guys have they been hiring? Those are the ones that can change their mind with no consequences. Cadets and RTPs are close to a year pipeline. Once they take a drink of the Envoy Kool-Aid, it is very unlikely they can spit it out for a serving from PSA. Even then, not sure if a street hire who already had an Envoy class date would get hired by PSA.
Yeah you could totally be correct, it would be hard for any of us to guess. I am not sure of the cadet/rtp breakdown in the past classes, but I think there are still some people that are off the street. Those are the factors that may change things because they could have offers from several places.

Who knows really, that's why I said if we see anything, it probably wouldn't be until next month. I will say though, that changes like the PSA raises has a huge and immediate impact on recruiting. I remember when Envoy raised the pay for FO's, it was nearly instant in terms of upping recruiting. I would assume the inverse is true. Should be interesting to see what comes of all of this, if anything.
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:03 AM
  #715  
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Originally Posted by Cyio
Yeah you could totally be correct, it would be hard for any of us to guess. I am not sure of the cadet/rtp breakdown in the past classes, but I think there are still some people that are off the street. Those are the factors that may change things because they could have offers from several places.

Who knows really, that's why I said if we see anything, it probably wouldn't be until next month. I will say though, that changes like the PSA raises has a huge and immediate impact on recruiting. I remember when Envoy raised the pay for FO's, it was nearly instant in terms of upping recruiting. I would assume the inverse is true. Should be interesting to see what comes of all of this, if anything.
When Envoy made the pay raises and bonuses, it was 2.5-3 years ago? RTP was brand new and cadets were a small number in each class. It WILL have an effect. We just see the net result in class numbers which is severely dampened by the longer pipelines.

The RTP has been huge for Envoy. But the reality is the $22K Envoy adds to the pot is rapidly consumed by some of the Coast fees and the program stretching out. Add that to having to pay for a place to live and being unemployed, most people would be ahead to just knock everything out while they still are in the service or otherwise employed. Strategically using vacation and days off, putting in a flight three or four nights a week you can get your ratings and time just as quickly. If you can find someone to partner with to share time as “safety pilot” even better.

Last edited by pitchattitude; 04-08-2019 at 06:13 AM.
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Old 04-14-2019, 09:09 PM
  #716  
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Scientific prediction for next classes, you heard it here first.

7 145
14 175

Plus an unpredictable number of DECs.
If classes are bigger, those numbers will go up in same ratio.

This trend will continue for at least the next two classes. No 100% 175 classes planned. One a bit lighter on the 175 class coming after that and then a very 175 heavy class. And one 100% 145 class in a few months.

Now let's see how this prediction goes (no, there's no science here, just a WAG).
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Old 04-15-2019, 02:58 AM
  #717  
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Originally Posted by dera
Scientific prediction for next classes, you heard it here first.

7 145
14 175

Plus an unpredictable number of DECs.
If classes are bigger, those numbers will go up in same ratio.

This trend will continue for at least the next two classes. No 100% 175 classes planned. One a bit lighter on the 175 class coming after that and then a very 175 heavy class. And one 100% 145 class in a few months.

Now let's see how this prediction goes (no, there's no science here, just a WAG).
Scientific prediction for this morning, nobody cares what kind of crap you are pulling from your rear end.
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Old 04-15-2019, 05:35 AM
  #718  
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might be more fun to predict the reduction in new hires for the following classes if no news is announced
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Old 04-15-2019, 06:42 AM
  #719  
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You cannot interview at a wholly-owned having accepted a conditional offer from another wholly-owned. So you’d have to either ignore or decline the conditional offer, if you’ve already accepted they’ll turn you away. You probably can’t go back to “maybe” after saying “yes.”
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Old 04-15-2019, 06:50 AM
  #720  
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Originally Posted by NoValueAviator
You cannot interview at a wholly-owned having accepted a conditional offer from another wholly-owned. So you’d have to either ignore or decline the conditional offer, if you’ve already accepted they’ll turn you away. You probably can’t go back to “maybe” after saying “yes.”
That may be the rule, but I know its not true because there are at least 2 I know who interviewed at envoy and PSA, accepted start dates at envoy, and were just recently contacted by PSA about reconsidering.
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