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Old 05-22-2018, 09:22 AM
  #71  
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Originally Posted by NoValueAviator
I think you're projecting because you're trying to make it look nicer than it is. That's very misleading, the average new hire is unlikely to get the 175 and therefore won't get ORD.

No one is getting out on the first bid. "Generally" two bids? So just say ~8 months, plus several months to transfer and we're up to around 12 months NFE. Then, what if you're unlucky and they don't do a bid one quarter or something? Or class sizes continue to shrink?

Sure, you might get out of NY before you're done with training. You might get called by American before you finish ground school.
You do realize we are taking an extra bunch of 175’s and 15 transstates 145’s in addition to what we already had coming?

I’m no company cheerleader but 2 years is so far off the mark.
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Old 05-22-2018, 09:25 AM
  #72  
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Originally Posted by havick206
You do realize we are taking an extra bunch of 175’s and 15 transstates 145’s in addition to what we already had coming?

I’m no company cheerleader but 2 years is so far off the mark.
Take a peek at some reserve lists and you'll realize these machines are already partly staffed by people who already have seniority numbers. Are you saying none of those 145's are going to LGA?

2 years is a worst case scenario but entirely possible if current trends continue.
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Old 05-22-2018, 10:31 AM
  #73  
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Originally Posted by NoValueAviator
Take a peek at some reserve lists and you'll realize these machines are already partly staffed by people who already have seniority numbers. Are you saying none of those 145's are going to LGA?

2 years is a worst case scenario but entirely possible if current trends continue.
Ok then how’s this. I’ll pull dates of hires from the latest flowplan later tonight or tomorrow and post the most junior pilot by date or hire at each base other than lga.
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Old 05-22-2018, 04:47 PM
  #74  
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Originally Posted by NoValueAviator

You are also likely to get it if you are very old. Born in the 70's?
Well, it was about that time, I realized that I had stopped liking Fast & Furious movies, and any PoP music. I realized that I had been eating more salads and all around bland food, yelling at neighborhood kids for stepping on the grass, listening to classic rock, going to bed early, calling FO's "Kid, Chief, Son, and Sport", and driving the speed limit.

So on that day, I purposely drove the minivan crossover hybrid POS thingy into the ditch, set it on fire, and went out and bought a b!tchin sweet poon magnet Super Musclecar (on credit). I shaved out the greyhairs, dyed the rest, and gave myself frosted blonde tips. I got a hip gangster tattoo on my neck (that #%=_€in HURT!), made it rain at a strip club (FFR, stay away from Staletto's in Dallas. They won't let you throw change... WTF!?!?) Hired a hooker to try some blow with, but she turned out to be a COP! Quit my job to become a cook at Twin Peaks,andpart time strip club DJ. That was a bad idea...

Thanks for ruining my life LVA!!!!
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Old 05-22-2018, 06:11 PM
  #75  
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Originally Posted by yeahbutstill
In all fairness it took me about 8-9 months to get back to DFW from LGA (new hire class July 2017)and there were classes of 50-60 people back then after mine for a while.. it looks like now the classes are a lot smaller like 25-30 people max so based on that I guess you could figure a little over a year now?
Facts are a bit different then and now. FOs going to both 145 ORD/LGA. LGA was growing and DFW was stagnant. New LOA will push out the senior FOs faster out of DFW. Yes hiring is significantly less and some are even CAs. So it really is hard to put a number to it. Hiring is still relatively high and will continue to be significant.
I'd be shocked if you under estimated the time but I wouldn't be shocked if your predictions is fairly accurate.
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Old 05-22-2018, 06:33 PM
  #76  
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Originally Posted by NoValueAviator
It's basically gauranteed if you're a cadet, provided they actually offer it. You are also likely to get it if you are very old. Born in the 70's? CRJ tends to go senior because they aren't offering ORD 145 and people will do anything to avoid NY historically, although the LOA might help?

Don't come here if you aren't comfortable with a 2 year sentence to LGA 145 as an FO though, no one can tell you exactly how long it will take to escape from New York and there have been entire classes where NO 175 slots were offered and everyone got the flush.

Envoy has capped classes but is not restricting pipelines - cadets, etc. and still seems to be running 2 classes a month.
2 years dude? Hahaha C'mon. That's a bunch of horse sheeeeeiiiiit.
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Old 05-23-2018, 02:00 AM
  #77  
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Originally Posted by bigtime209
2 years dude? Hahaha C'mon. That's a bunch of horse sheeeeeiiiiit.
Lol. If an FO NH was forced to stay in LGA for two years then that FO would upgrade and hold DFW as a CA right away. Lol.

The information this guy puts out has always be shady.
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Old 05-23-2018, 06:32 AM
  #78  
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How many guys are upgrading a year now. How big is the pilot group? When the guys from the start of the wave start to get 1000 121 time then there will be no more street captains. Just like when a few years ago people realized psa had hired their last super fast upgrade and those hired for the rest of the fleet growth would be fos for some time. Please save this post and throw it back at me if I’m wrong. I predict street captains end in 6 months. Don’t be that last street captain hired.
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Old 05-23-2018, 06:51 AM
  #79  
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Even with the personal attacks, I hope you guys are right and anything approaching 2 years or even 1 year is a hilarious overestimation.
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Old 05-23-2018, 08:23 AM
  #80  
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I’m about to apply soon and was wondering if anyone has a decent time frame of when I would be able to start class. No 121 time but 700 hrs of multi and a Captain referral will be with my resume. Think this might help at all? I don’t mind waiting a little as I’ve been on the road for the last 8 months. I’m avoiding republic as I know they are on their way out. PSA is another option but financially crippling with moving. I live 2 hrs from MIA.
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