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Old 05-04-2018, 08:04 AM
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I hope I have time to get off the 145 ship (upgrade into 175) before it sinks fully.
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Old 05-04-2018, 09:28 AM
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The C series is an "Airbus" now. Perfect for fleet commonality!
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Old 05-04-2018, 11:08 AM
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I've always thought it would be 195e2's otherwise I'd expect mainline to sell their 190 sim in the next few months.
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Old 05-04-2018, 11:50 AM
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Originally Posted by CaptJackSparrow
Airbus is group 2, the 190 is the only group 1 aircraft that AA has
Spot on. My guess is if AA buys CS100s or CS300s, (A210 and A230, it is rumored), they will be designated Group 1 as well.
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Old 05-04-2018, 01:15 PM
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Originally Posted by TransWorld
Spot on. My guess is if AA buys CS100s or CS300s, (A210 and A230, it is rumored), they will be designated Group 1 as well.

From what I read I think AA will keep Group 1 and utilize new Embraer E2 (195’s) or Airbus A210/230 C series.
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Old 05-04-2018, 01:36 PM
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Originally Posted by SilentLurker
From what I read I think AA will keep Group 1 and utilize new Embraer E2 (195’s) or Airbus A210/230 C series.
Doubt it. The training costs of the 190 have to be through the roof. No one stays in the right seat of the that thing. As soon as they can bid off they do.(6 month lock for NH’s) and no one bids from bus or 73 to the 190. CA’s bid off a lot too. Group 2 FO is the same as CA group 1. Why not make the same, and not do the crap flying that thing does.
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Old 05-04-2018, 01:40 PM
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Originally Posted by lavMan
Doubt it. The training costs of the 190 have to be through the roof. No one stays in the right seat of the that thing. As soon as they can bid off they do.(6 month lock for NH’s) and no one bids from bus or 73 to the 190. CA’s bid off a lot too. Group 2 FO is the same as CA group 1. Why not make the same, and not do the crap flying that thing does.
That will be true for any group I type aircraft AA buys regardless of type.
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Old 05-04-2018, 01:51 PM
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Originally Posted by SilentLurker
From what I read I think AA will keep Group 1 and utilize new Embraer E2 (195’s) or Airbus A210/230 C series.
Makes sense. I see a definite niche between 76 seat regionals and the 150 seat Group 2s. Something needs to fill this hole. And they ain’t bringing back the DC-9 (that was the 1960s forerunner of the Mad Dog for you young guys).

I foresee, as there becomes a greater shortage of pilots in the regionals, much of the 50 seaters will be sent to the desert, replaced by fewer flights of 76 seaters. Then the 76 seaters, where loads justify it, will be replaced by a 100 seater (Group 1) or in a few cases a 150 seater.

Just for a point of reference, AA Group 1 second year FO pay is 66% of AA Group 2 second year FO (737/A320).

Without consideration of bonus, Envoy regional second year FO pay is 30% of AA Group 2 second year FO.
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Old 05-04-2018, 04:44 PM
  #29  
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I think Delta has accelerated some of the “taking back” of its brand and its flying.

UA has some interesting corners it has painted itself into in regards to its regionals and will likely follow Delta’s lead in the coming years with a large order of 100 seat aircraft.

AA I think has been watching closely but hasn’t quite seen fit to pull that trigger just yet. First they will start parking 50 seaters (which apparently we are going to start seeing in 2019). Then as it becomes necessary they will reduce their 76 seat flying and that is likely when we would see a Group 1 aircraft order from AA. They have a good thing (read: profitable) going with their regionals right now.
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Old 05-05-2018, 05:41 PM
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Originally Posted by chrisreedrules
I think Delta has accelerated some of the “taking back” of its brand and its flying.

UA has some interesting corners it has painted itself into in regards to its regionals and will likely follow Delta’s lead in the coming years with a large order of 100 seat aircraft.

AA I think has been watching closely but hasn’t quite seen fit to pull that trigger just yet. First they will start parking 50 seaters (which apparently we are going to start seeing in 2019). Then as it becomes necessary they will reduce their 76 seat flying and that is likely when we would see a Group 1 aircraft order from AA. They have a good thing (read: profitable) going with their regionals right now.
You can almost guarantee a 100-115 seat plane order decision won't happen until after AA pilots agree to a new contract which is amendable in 2019. Wait for that to happen before making any predictions on new 100-115 seat aircraft going to AA.
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