Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Major > Delta
Stable wide-body fleet >

Stable wide-body fleet

Search

Notices

Stable wide-body fleet

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 04-12-2016, 08:04 AM
  #11  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 360
Default

Originally Posted by JamesBond
Or come up with a rational method of compensation that takes this into account.
Wrong answer. Profit sharing is already in the contract and management has indicated what their version of a rational method of compensation is in the failed TA. Not willing to give an inch on profit sharing.
trustbutverify is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:12 AM
  #12  
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
 
notEnuf's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2015
Position: stake holder ir.delta.com
Posts: 10,534
Default

Originally Posted by JamesBond
Except that our 757s will be retired sooner rather than later as will their 747s. That leaves the 330 as the common airframe. They have more 777s (and could buy more I guess but the financials don't necessarily agree with that premise) and until the 380s die they have a given number. Given that logic, block hours make perfect sense. (The problem with the failed TA in this respect was the immediate capitulation of several percentage points of that flying. Had it taken a snapshot and made that the absolute floor, it would have been acceptable) If you believe that their 747s will last forever and that they will buy more 380s, then EASKs make more sense. The 747-800 is a dismal failure, and the 380s aren't selling to anyone but the ME3. Two engine airplanes are the present and future. The evidence is glaring.

The question you have to ask yourself is how many more 777s do you see for us? How many 350s, and how much will they pay relative to the 777s will we have in a reasonable timeframe? 5 years from now to have a sizeable fleet isn't a reasonable timeframe, imho to factor it into a new contract. Our 777 fleet is not a sizeable fleet, and in my opinion will never be. The 747 is dead. RIP
The answer to your question is 0. 0 new wide body airframes. The one to be delivered are replacements. As far as Block hours vs. EASKs, EASKs period. Delta sells seats not hours.

The more seats we fly for Delta the better. With block hours the incentive is for management to use other operators larger gauge airplanes. To keep Delta pilots flying the operations Delta is able to sell we need to protect our production. Seats are what we produce, not hours. The airframe used to produce a number of seats is continually being adjusted, there is no one for one trade. Total seats could be a number of B757s or a single A333. Which is better for us, 2 B757 operations or 1 A333? Either way EASKs work out better.

Management has repeatedly told the investment community we are going to have about $3.5 billion a year in capital investment. With the orders we have and the narrow-body fleet renewal about to be announced, that leaves no additional money for wide-body growth airplanes.

Last edited by notEnuf; 04-12-2016 at 08:43 AM.
notEnuf is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:17 AM
  #13  
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
 
notEnuf's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2015
Position: stake holder ir.delta.com
Posts: 10,534
Default

Originally Posted by trustbutverify
Wrong answer. Profit sharing is already in the contract and management has indicated what their version of a rational method of compensation is in the failed TA. Not willing to give an inch on profit sharing.
...because profit sharing is the only form of additional pay for the growth of the company while the flying stagnates.
notEnuf is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:24 AM
  #14  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 360
Default

Originally Posted by JamesBond
But you just said that we have no control of what the company buys. We are buying no heavy airplanes bigger than the 330. The 747s are dead. The 777s are probably maxed out. Our biggest fleet is getting smaller. (And YOU JUST SAID, a management decision). I do not advocate support of a downgauge, I propose leveraging what we can in that regard because, again as you just said, we do not control what the company buys.

The bottom line is this: 330s are bigger than 757s. That means more EASKs on OUR side of the fence, and as their 747s die, since the 330 is smaller, fewer on theirs. Do the math.
A couple of additional thoughts against your argument: When we start seeing 737 service across the Atlantic, don't you think Delta would join that down gauging in a heart beat? Also, if the demand is there right now with the larger gauge aircraft, don't you think the capacity will need to be filled by additional airframes to compensate for the 747/380 capacity?
trustbutverify is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:29 AM
  #15  
:-)
 
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
Default

Originally Posted by notEnuf

The slide is a bit misleading as it represents stand alone Delta in 2005 vs combined Delta in 2015. Comparing 2009 vs 2015 would be much better, and look a whole lot different. It makes it look like international revenue is growing, however, it is shrinking. Also, Delta lost a lot of brand recognition in Asia with the loss of the NWA name, and opted to codeshare over building up the Delta name over there; The other two legacies didn't have that issue.
Mesabah is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:34 AM
  #16  
The Brown Dot +1
 
scambo1's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Jun 2009
Position: 777B
Posts: 7,775
Default

Originally Posted by JamesBond
But you just said that we have no control of what the company buys. We are buying no heavy airplanes bigger than the 330. The 747s are dead. The 777s are probably maxed out. Our biggest fleet is getting smaller. (And YOU JUST SAID, a management decision). I do not advocate support of a downgauge, I propose leveraging what we can in that regard because, again as you just said, we do not control what the company buys.

The bottom line is this: 330s are bigger than 757s. That means more EASKs on OUR side of the fence, and as their 747s die, since the 330 is smaller, fewer on theirs. Do the math.
You are arguing with yourself.

Using easks, who is out of compliance? Delta.

Using BHs who would be in compliance? Delta.

This is under our current contract.

Easks are our leverage.

Additionally, if we switch to BHs in our JV language with AF/KLM and then write new JV language with, for example China Eastern (who BTW last week announced they were increasing their China-US flights by 50%) the language would certainly be written using Block Hours instead of EASKs.

Its pretty easy to see around that corner.
scambo1 is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:35 AM
  #17  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Apr 2014
Posts: 367
Default

Its always a rain cloud with this place, now understanding why 11 newhires no-showed early this year. IMO, UAL or AAL is a no-brainer for career progression to WB. If you want to fly for a solid domestic carrier, DAL is your choice.
300SMK is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:40 AM
  #18  
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
 
notEnuf's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2015
Position: stake holder ir.delta.com
Posts: 10,534
Default

Originally Posted by Mesabah
The slide is a bit misleading as it represents stand alone Delta in 2005 vs combined Delta in 2015. Comparing 2009 vs 2015 would be much better, and look a whole lot different. It makes it look like international revenue is growing, however, it is shrinking. Also, Delta lost a lot of brand recognition in Asia with the loss of the NWA name, and opted to codeshare over building up the Delta name over there; The other two legacies didn't have that issue.
International revenue is growing and the intent is to grow it to 40% of total revenue. My point is they plan to generate that revenue by selling seats on our subsidiaries/partners, excluding Delta pilots from the growth of the company. The JP Morgan audio is no longer available but the plan was clearly laid out. Pay attention to this stuff, they are telling wall street one thing and telling us another. Which do you think is more correct?

Here is how proud they are of not buying airplanes...

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/da.../image_012.jpg
notEnuf is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:43 AM
  #19  
Banned
 
Joined APC: Nov 2013
Posts: 430
Default

Originally Posted by JamesBond
But you just said that we have no control of what the company buys. We are buying no heavy airplanes bigger than the 330. The 747s are dead. The 777s are probably maxed out. Our biggest fleet is getting smaller. (And YOU JUST SAID, a management decision). I do not advocate support of a downgauge, I propose leveraging what we can in that regard because, again as you just said, we do not control what the company buys.

The bottom line is this: 330s are bigger than 757s. That means more EASKs on OUR side of the fence, and as their 747s die, since the 330 is smaller, fewer on theirs. Do the math.
For some strange reason they are installing a 350 sim in ATL.
WhatNow is offline  
Old 04-12-2016, 08:51 AM
  #20  
Gets Weekends Off
 
JamesBond's Avatar
 
Joined APC: May 2015
Position: A350 Both
Posts: 7,292
Default

Originally Posted by WhatNow
For some strange reason they are installing a 350 sim in ATL.
How much Atlantic flying do you think those will be doing? I'll wager they will spend the majority of their time overflying NRT into deeper China.
JamesBond is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
jln91320
Major
9
10-12-2006 03:43 AM
KnightFlyer
Cargo
149
09-04-2006 07:41 AM
BigWatchPilot
Cargo
3
08-28-2006 09:00 AM
Diesel 10
Cargo
0
10-05-2005 06:19 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices