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Old 04-06-2015, 01:06 PM
  #3541  
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Originally Posted by Karnak
Yup. For all airlines. Our formula, and historic payouts, lead the industry.
That's correct. But I don't think even you would make the claim that makes us the industry leader in Section 3.

Originally Posted by Karnak
Or we could look at our compensation, as in W2. A bottom line value. For hours flown last year by peers, who do you suppose had the highest W2 for hours flown?
That wasn't in the contract comparison Karnak, so we'd both be guessing. I'd guess it was a FedEx or Southwest guy.

Originally Posted by Karnak
Except you ignored the note in the Contract Comparison explaining the 5:39 ADG.
Here's the note that Karnak thinks I've ignored. For Southwest, ADG says: "5:39**". In the notes column right next to it, the note says: "**Based on 6.5 TFP's". Southwest has an ADG of 5:39 while Delta has an ADG of 5:15. That's why I said Southwest has a higher ADG than Delta.

Originally Posted by Karnak
You also chose to ignore the impact of FAR117 on the "potential" ADG at SWA. Ignoring them is ok, but they don't go away - or cease to relevant when making comparisons.
Spin all you like Karnak, it doesn't change the facts.

Again, I didn't get my data from you, I got my data from the DALPA contract comparison.

Originally Posted by Karnak
Ok. So if we trade our augmentation triggers to match the rest of the industry, you'll be cool with it? You won't point out where we had been leading the industry in augmentation (and widebody staffing)? Something tells me you wouldn't be calling it "debatable".
Crew augmentation is only one aspect of work rules. We lead in that aspect, but lag in all the others. Southwest and UPS lead in Work Rules. Leading in one paragraph of an entire section does not make you the industry leader in that section.

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Old 04-06-2015, 01:19 PM
  #3542  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
Actually your right. I did not factor in losses due to fleet mix. I doubt however we are that different from AMR or UAL. Certainly significant with SWA. Let's just use average pay per pilot!
You and Karnak can use whatever you like. The problem you have is showing everyone your data rather than your opinions. I'm using the DALPA contract comparison while you, Karnak and the others seem to be running from it.

Delta pilots don't lead the industry in one single section of the contract. Not one. Source: DALPA contract comparison.

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Old 04-06-2015, 01:41 PM
  #3543  
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Originally Posted by pilotjockey
two answers

in this thread, no thats impossible. carl said it would be zero because we cant cost that and that ra would tell the shareholders to expect no profits

in the real world, yes i expect we will see the ptix in the 6-7 range this year and next that will translate to about a 20 percent ps payment and alpo better not give that away to fund other improvements

more than happy to move a big chunk into hard pay but that can only happen separately and on top of our next contract and better not be hidden, big no vote and dpa card going in if it gets brushed under the rug like c2012

i dont like leaving such a big piece of my income at the hands of good or bad management decisions yes i know its in their hands already to a large extent, bk laws aint what they used to be and without a pension to steal ill take as much money in my own name as soon as possible as often as possible.

i dont trust big ps longterm things cuz things go bad, my pension, furlough, SLI and merger "targeting" have proved that
No, that's not what I said at all. Here it is again:

Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
Of course I or RA wouldn't say that. The only correct answer to that question would be: "There's no way to determine next year's profit sharing cost because we don't know what the profit will be...or if they'll be one."

It would be a similar answer if a shareholder demanded to know what next year's fuel costs will be. Or next year's maintenance costs.
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Old 04-07-2015, 06:42 AM
  #3544  
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
The only correct answer to that question would be: "There's no way to determine next year's profit sharing cost because we don't know what the profit will be...or if they'll be one."
Carl
Doesn't that make our profit sharing payout at risk and variable since "there's no way to determine next year's profit sharing cost because we don't know what the profit will be...or if they'll be one."
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Old 04-07-2015, 08:10 AM
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Originally Posted by Falcon7
Doesn't that make our profit sharing payout at risk and variable since "there's no way to determine next year's profit sharing cost because we don't know what the profit will be...or if they'll be one."
It makes it variable.

"At Risk" is a DALPA sponsored term designed to diminish profit sharing in the eyes of pilots so pilots won't miss it when DALPA gives part of it up to self fund pay rate increases.

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Old 04-08-2015, 03:14 AM
  #3546  
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
You and Karnak can use whatever you like. The problem you have is showing everyone your data rather than your opinions. I'm using the DALPA contract comparison while you, Karnak and the others seem to be running from it.

Delta pilots don't lead the industry in one single section of the contract. Not one. Source: DALPA contract comparison.

Carl
Nick Faldo once famously won a British Open with 18 consecutive pars on the last day of the tournament. Using your logic (which I dispute) the win must not have meant much because "He didn't have the best score on any of the holes, not one."

I'll take our contract right now before any other group's. It only gets better going forward.
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Old 04-08-2015, 04:29 AM
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Originally Posted by Herkflyr
Nick Faldo once famously won a British Open with 18 consecutive pars on the last day of the tournament. Using your logic (which I dispute) the win must not have meant much because "He didn't have the best score on any of the holes, not one."

I'll take our contract right now before any other group's. It only gets better going forward.
Not sexy enough for some unfortunately, but I am right there with ya.
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Old 04-08-2015, 01:39 PM
  #3548  
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OK, lets say that Spackle has won the issue on PS. PS is variable compensation, but only to the upside since there is no "at risk" element. LOL! Hang with me here... if PS was to go down due to a drop off in profitability... I know, I know, it never will, the pilots will be good with that. Certainly good enough that they would never chose to monetize at a higher rate. Therefore we elect to retain full current exposure to PS.

Further, RA will never account for future risk exposure to PS because it cannot be calculated. Even if it was possible, the NMB would tell him he is full of it and would slap him down. He will just have to the roll the dice and hope it all works out.

So, what is the most we will get from him in this situation, assuming all else remains the same and we've reduced the money making sections to annual pay rate increases.? I know, I know, RA does not have a maximum because it is not he who decides our max compensation, it is us (according to Spackler). Lets make it easy and assume a 3 year contract. I think it would be helpful if we further assume two scenarios: 1) a contract delivered at the amenable date, and 2) contract delivered at some point beyond the amenable date. In scenario 2, lets include a date along with the pay raises expected.

So this exercise is not about what we want, I want quite a bit (I know, I know, what we get is defined by what we want because it is us that determines the max.) So lets assume that we all want $10,000 per hour. This exercise is about what is doable, and specifically doable within a defined timeframe and within historical processes.

I'll start.

1) on time: 8, 3, 3

He will meet AA's rates plus 1% and then maintain that margin in the out years. His thinking (Spackler's as well) is that PS is variable but certainly not at risk (our risk), and our pay margin in reality will be 17% with PS. I know, I know, we just have to say stuff it and those rates will climb because he cannot cap them. He will think a 17% margin is fair and he'll guess that the NMB will agree. I know, I know, the NMB will refuse to count PS. It isn't the 17% margin that he thinks the NMB will sign off on, it is the 1% margin.

2) 11, 3, 3 delivered at amendable date plus 18 months. After watching PS decline slightly in 2015, the early look at 2016 PS shows a further decline. RA is comfortable raising the stakes a bit with a reduced PS liability. The margin is now 4%. The NMB has no heartburn with industry standard plus 4%. Delta pilots are eager to get the meter running again.

Ok, let the Poo fly! But, lets not forget to play. Don't forget your projections!
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Old 04-08-2015, 01:51 PM
  #3549  
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Reference ^^

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Old 04-08-2015, 03:20 PM
  #3550  
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Originally Posted by SharpestTool
OK, lets say that Spackle has won the issue on PS. PS is variable compensation, but only to the upside since there is no "at risk" element. LOL! Hang with me here... if PS was to go down due to a drop off in profitability... I know, I know, it never will, the pilots will be good with that. Certainly good enough that they would never chose to monetize at a higher rate. Therefore we elect to retain full current exposure to PS.

Further, RA will never account for future risk exposure to PS because it cannot be calculated. Even if it was possible, the NMB would tell him he is full of it and would slap him down. He will just have to the roll the dice and hope it all works out.

So, what is the most we will get from him in this situation, assuming all else remains the same and we've reduced the money making sections to annual pay rate increases.? I know, I know, RA does not have a maximum because it is not he who decides our max compensation, it is us (according to Spackler). Lets make it easy and assume a 3 year contract. I think it would be helpful if we further assume two scenarios: 1) a contract delivered at the amenable date, and 2) contract delivered at some point beyond the amenable date. In scenario 2, lets include a date along with the pay raises expected.

So this exercise is not about what we want, I want quite a bit (I know, I know, what we get is defined by what we want because it is us that determines the max.) So lets assume that we all want $10,000 per hour. This exercise is about what is doable, and specifically doable within a defined timeframe and within historical processes.

I'll start.

1) on time: 8, 3, 3

He will meet AA's rates plus 1% and then maintain that margin in the out years. His thinking (Spackler's as well) is that PS is variable but certainly not at risk (our risk), and our pay margin in reality will be 17% with PS. I know, I know, we just have to say stuff it and those rates will climb because he cannot cap them. He will think a 17% margin is fair and he'll guess that the NMB will agree. I know, I know, the NMB will refuse to count PS. It isn't the 17% margin that he thinks the NMB will sign off on, it is the 1% margin.

2) 11, 3, 3 delivered at amendable date plus 18 months. After watching PS decline slightly in 2015, the early look at 2016 PS shows a further decline. RA is comfortable raising the stakes a bit with a reduced PS liability. The margin is now 4%. The NMB has no heartburn with industry standard plus 4%. Delta pilots are eager to get the meter running again.

Ok, let the Poo fly! But, lets not forget to play. Don't forget your projections!
1/1/16 american is 15% ahead on the MD 88, A 330 and 787.

Your numbers are a joke. Even the always Yes voters would reject anything less than 16% 1/1/16.

We are not going to have rates lower than American 1/1/16. SWA and FedEx will exceed American and UAL opens next year.
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