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Old 09-07-2014, 05:23 AM
  #167861  
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Originally Posted by tsquare
No leverage is necessary, as this is not a leverageable issue. I can't reconcile just who we are trying to protect here. It is a pretty senor airplane. Not as "old" as the 777, but old nonetheless. 4 are leaving, and that is all that has been officially announced. Let's say that's 50 displacements for discussion. The bottom 25 cannot hold the 777, and are probably not 63, so they ain't leaving. They will displace anyway. OR... you get 25 other guys with retirement packages firmly in hand to walk away. The 25 are saved and get to go on flying for NWA for a few more years. Then the next batch comes along. What then? Oh... but the fences will be down by then....

What if they displace? So what. The 747s are not going away tomorrow, so when the ones that remain DO retire, they will probably be able to go back.... or not, because the fences will be down by then and they are likely not senior enough to hold it. Hmmmmmm.

If this skips seniority, it is flat out wrong.

This whole thing REEKS of a GASSS KLOWD.
Frankly, I agree that I don't like the skipping seniority part -- but it makes zero economic sense to do it straight seniority wise, so that was never a realistic option. You'd have a hundred non-747 guys, who are 64+ take the money and run and it just creates a massive training waterfall.

My prediction is if they needed to get rid of 50 (for 4 aircraft), there will still be displacements coming in early 2015, as the guys most likely to take the ER will be the 747 Captains over age 64, meaning they haven't really solved the manning issue. And when sorted by age, the 50th oldest 747A doesn't turn 65 until Sep 2017, three years from now. They're not gonna hold guys that long.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:26 AM
  #167862  
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Originally Posted by tsquare
So the 747 guys will get preference over seniority? KMFA.
Leave it overmanned until attrition takes care of it. DALPA doesn't need to solve the company's problems caused by a dysfunctional fleet plan.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:26 AM
  #167863  
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Originally Posted by Check Essential

As far as the leverage -- I don't know what we should get because I don't have the cost figures. ALPA presumably does. I have lots of suggestions. Instead of paying all the money to 25 of the most senior captains why don't we give a little to everyone. Make vacation pay 3:30. Bump international override by a few cents. etc. etc. Take your pick.
If they don't pay the senior guys, they're not gonna leave. Meaning there's no money for the rest of us.....just displacements, or the company can keep the category over staffed, which also doesn't benefit you or me. I'll ask again, what's our leverage?
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:28 AM
  #167864  
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Originally Posted by Pineapple Guy
Frankly, I agree that I don't like the skipping seniority part -- but it makes zero economic sense to do it straight seniority wise, so that was never a realistic option. You'd have a hundred non-747 guys, who are 64+ take the money and run and it just creates a massive training waterfall.

My prediction is if they needed to get rid of 50 (for 4 aircraft), there will still be displacements coming in early 2015, as the guys most likely to take the ER will be the 747 Captains over age 64, meaning they haven't really solved the manning issue. And when sorted by age, the 50th oldest 747A doesn't turn 65 until Sep 2017, three years from now. They're not gonna hold guys that long.
I believe the did hold guys that long on the whale initially. It has been very overmanned for most of the fence...until recently.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:30 AM
  #167865  
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Originally Posted by Dirtdiver
Leave it overmanned until attrition takes care of it. DALPA doesn't need to solve the company's problems caused by a dysfunctional fleet plan.
Look at the ages - available by downloading the most recent seniority list off Deltanet. Attrition would take 2-3 years; Delta's not gonna wait that long, so at least some displacements would be likely.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:30 AM
  #167866  
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Originally Posted by Pineapple Guy
Frankly, I agree that I don't like the skipping seniority part -- but it makes zero economic sense to do it straight seniority wise, so that was never a realistic option. You'd have a hundred non-747 guys, who are 64+ take the money and run and it just creates a massive training waterfall.

My prediction is if they needed to get rid of 50 (for 4 aircraft), there will still be displacements coming in early 2015, as the guys most likely to take the ER will be the 747 Captains over age 64, meaning they haven't really solved the manning issue. And when sorted by age, the 50th oldest 747A doesn't turn 65 until Sep 2017, three years from now. They're not gonna hold guys that long.

Then tell them to get in a displacement bid.

I don't think it will target anyone over 64. I'll betcha it will be guys between 62 and 64, because the 64 year old guys won't ever have to displace anyway.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:31 AM
  #167867  
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Originally Posted by Check Essential
Instead of paying all the money to 25 of the most senior captains why don't we give a little to everyone. Make vacation pay 3:30. Bump international override by a few cents. etc. etc. Take your pick.
Because then those senior guys would not leave early, and isn't that the whole point? Or are you saying to give the rest of us something as well?
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:36 AM
  #167868  
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Originally Posted by Pineapple Guy
Look at the ages - available by downloading the most recent seniority list off Deltanet. Attrition would take 2-3 years; Delta's not gonna wait that long, so at least some displacements would be likely.
Right. Operative word is "some". Probably not enough to cause a cascade of any significance either, and I'll betcha that the company WILL carry the categories they displace into fat because if a 63 year old goes there, the training turnaround is 2 years and I'll betcha that won't pay back to displace further... These airplanes are not going to go away in 18 months. It will probably take a couple of years at best. So you gonna target 60 year olds in this? This whole thing is ridiculous.

Actually I'll go one step further, If WE went to the company asking for this, we wasted future leverage opportunity by asking for something out of section 6. Again, I am not saying we had any leverage in THIS event, but it could have been a throwaway in later negotiations.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:36 AM
  #167869  
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Originally Posted by Alan Shore
Because then those senior guys would not leave early, and isn't that the whole point?
No ER program required. Put BKK and MNL on the 777 and post a displacement bid. Problem solved.
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Old 09-07-2014, 05:38 AM
  #167870  
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Originally Posted by tsquare
Then tell them to get in a displacement bid.

I don't think it will target anyone over 64. I'll betcha it will be guys between 62 and 64, because the 64 year old guys won't ever have to displace anyway.
I have no problem with that. The average age of the bottom 50 guys is 59, so they could displace 30 of those guys, and let attrition handle the rest.

But I have to ask, is that better for you and me than the ER?
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