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Old 09-15-2009, 04:23 AM
  #14591  
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Rivals jostle for JAL stake; Asia access prized
By: Reuters | 15 Sep 2009 | 07:25 AM ET

By Nobuhiro Kubo

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan Airlines Corp <9205.T> is likely to opt for a tie-up with Delta Air Lines Inc <DAL.N> or AMR Corp's <AMR.N> American Airlines, among rivals seeking to invest in the loss-making carrier, if Japan and the United States can reach an "open skies" agreement.

The U.S. airlines, and others, are chasing a stake in Asia's biggest carrier by revenue to help them grow in China and get access to JAL's other Asian routes via code-sharing agreements.

One source, not authorized to discuss the talks publicly, said the carriers were each discussing investing $200-300 million in JAL for a minority stake and a code-sharing deal.

Asked if JAL would choose either Delta or American as a partner, CEO Haruka Nishimatsu told reporters on Tuesday: "Yes, I think so, if an open skies agreement looks likely."

Such a deal would allow closer cooperation on flight scheduling and profit-sharing between U.S. and Japanese airlines.

Air France-KLM <AIRF.PA> is also in talks to invest in JAL, said the source who was familiar with the matter. Air France-KLM said it had no comment.

Investing in JAL would bring access to Haneda, the world's third-busiest airport by passenger numbers. Both Haneda and Tokyo's Narita international airport are expanding, adding international flights and airline slots.

The decision by JAL, which is undergoing a state-supervised restructuring after years of losses, could reshape the alliances that dominate the global airline industry. The company said it hoped to wrap up the capital tie-up talks by mid-October.

ONEWORLD

If JAL opts for investment from Delta or Air France-KLM, it would be defecting from the Oneworld Alliance, a move analysts say would deal a huge blow to a group that includes British Airways <BAY.L>, Cathay Pacific <0293.HK> and American.

Oneworld would lose JAL's more than 400 flight slots a week at Narita, twice those of Japan's No.2 carrier All Nippon Airways (ANA) <9202.T>, as well JAL's growing business in China.

JAL flies to nine cities in mainland China using its own fleet, three cities in South Korea, two in Taiwan, as well as to Manila, Singapore and Bangkok.

ANA is in the Star Alliance, with Air China Ltd <601111.SS>, Singapore Airlines Ltd <SIAL.SI> and others.

"Losing JAL would mean Oneworld suddenly has to rely more on American Airlines' few slots in and out of Narita," said Nomura analyst Makoto Murayama. "American (AMR) in particular would be harmed, and is likely to fight that at all costs."

American Airlines, which is seeking U.S. approval by next month to form a transatlantic alliance with BA and Spain's Iberia <IBLA.MC>, is the No.4 international carrier at Narita, with about 70 slots a week. Northwest Airlines, acquired by Delta last year, is the leading foreign airline at Narita.

Analysts said JAL would have to weigh the advantage of teaming up with Delta, the world's biggest airline, against the significant cost of leaving Oneworld.

"If you just look at what the companies can offer, then Delta would make more sense as an ally because it has more services between Japan and North America," Credit Suisse analyst Osuke Itazaki said, adding that a tie-up with Air France-KLM would not expand JAL's network by much.

For related graphic, click: http://r.reuters.com/tup66d

Delta and Air France-KLM are members of SkyTeam, with Korean Air <003490.KS> and Russia's Aeroflot <AFLT.MM>. JAL, which joined Oneworld in 2007, has a separate flight incentive partnership with Air France-KLM.

JAL shares, which had dropped by more than a fifth this year before news of the talks with Delta and AMR, fell 3.4 percent on Tuesday in a flat market <.N225>, erasing nearly half their previous day's gains.

BIG JOB CUTS

JAL prefers American Airlines because of the Oneworld alliance, the source said, but the Japanese government prefers the financially healthier Delta or Air France-KLM.

JAL lost about $1 billion last quarter and is under growing pressure to raise money and slash costs after securing a 100 billion yen ($1.1 billion) government-backed credit line.

The airline has forecast a net loss of 63 billion yen ($693 million) for the year to end-March.

For related graphic, click: http://r.reuters.com/hak66d

As of end-March JAL had total liabilities of 1.44 trillion yen, with the Development Bank of Japan its biggest long-term lender.

As it looks to cut operating costs by 30 percent, CEO Nishimatsu said JAL faced its "largest-ever downsizing" through 2011, with plans to cut 6,800 jobs, or 13 percent of its total staffing.

Nishimatsu was talking briefly to reporters after meeting an independent panel reviewing JAL's turnaround.

The carrier will also cut its overseas routes to below half its total flights, Transport Ministry official Yasuhiro Shinohara told reporters.

Kyodo news agency said Korean Air <003490.KS> was also in talks with JAL.

(Additional reporting by Mariko Katsumura and in TOKYO and Jui Chakravorty in New York, writing by Mayumi Negishi, Editing by Ian Geoghegan)
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Old 09-15-2009, 04:23 AM
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Transport min official: JAL plans drastic route cuts
By: AFX | 15 Sep 2009 | 05:40 AM ET
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TOKYO, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Japan Airlines Corp plans to drastically but routes, mainly international ones, as part of the struggling carrier's turnaround efforts, a transport ministry official said. Yasuhiro Shinohara, director of the ministry's aviation industries division, also told reporters that the airline plans to reduce the number of its international routes to less than half of its total routes.
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Old 09-15-2009, 04:24 AM
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JAL CEO: may pick Delta, American if open-sky agreed

TOKYO, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Japan Airlines Corp's chief executive officer said the loss-making airline was likely to pick Delta Airlines or American Airlines for a tie-up partner, but only if an "open-sky" agreement could be reached. Haruka Nishimatsu, CEO, also told reporters JAL has not begun talks with some tie-up candidates. But when he was later asked if JAL was in talks with multiple candidates, he declined comment.
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Old 09-15-2009, 05:03 AM
  #14594  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot
Transport min official: JAL plans drastic route cuts
By: AFX | 15 Sep 2009 | 05:40 AM ET
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TOKYO, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Japan Airlines Corp plans to drastically but routes, mainly international ones, as part of the struggling carrier's turnaround efforts, a transport ministry official said. Yasuhiro Shinohara, director of the ministry's aviation industries division, also told reporters that the airline plans to reduce the number of its international routes to less than half of its total routes.
It appears from this statement that our pilot group would benefit from this, BUT we would still need to look over any agreement very thoroughly.
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Old 09-15-2009, 05:32 AM
  #14595  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot
JAL CEO: may pick Delta, American if open-sky agreed

TOKYO, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Japan Airlines Corp's chief executive officer said the loss-making airline was likely to pick Delta Airlines or American Airlines for a tie-up partner, but only if an "open-sky" agreement could be reached. Haruka Nishimatsu, CEO, also told reporters JAL has not begun talks with some tie-up candidates. But when he was later asked if JAL was in talks with multiple candidates, he declined comment.

It certainly does appear as if a stage is being set, doesn't it?!?
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Old 09-15-2009, 05:33 AM
  #14596  
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Options Guide
Bulls Target Mattel, Delta: Options Recap
09/15/09 - 09:15 AM EDT
KR , MWW , RF , KEY , BBT , FTO , DAL * OptionMonster

Trader expects Delta Air Lines(DAL Quote) to keep climbing: The airline has climbed 12% in the last month, and one big investor is positioning for the shares to keep gaining altitude.
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Old 09-15-2009, 05:57 AM
  #14597  
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DAL stock has performed nicely since the merger distribution back in early March (when the market was very near its lows).

IIRC the distribution price was about $4.25/share. Right now DAL is $8.96; that's up 110% in a little over six months. Not too shabby...
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Old 09-15-2009, 06:14 AM
  #14598  
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Originally Posted by Wasatch Phantom
DAL stock has performed nicely since the merger distribution back in early March (when the market was very near its lows).

IIRC the distribution price was about $4.25/share. Right now DAL is $8.96; that's up 110% in a little over six months. Not too shabby...
I know trading airline stock is "hazardous to your financial health," but I bought a bunch of Delta back at the beginning of March at $4.06 a share. I'm pretty happy with that decision
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Old 09-15-2009, 06:18 AM
  #14599  
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Originally Posted by Wasatch Phantom
DAL stock has performed nicely since the merger distribution back in early March (when the market was very near its lows).

IIRC the distribution price was about $4.25/share. Right now DAL is $8.96; that's up 110% in a little over six months. Not too shabby...
True, but when the shares were given to ALPA the price was 8.99 so really we have just broke even.
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Old 09-15-2009, 06:28 AM
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Originally Posted by RockyBoy
True, but when the shares were given to ALPA the price was 8.99 so really we have just broke even.
No, what the nice thing is with where the shares were when they were deposited in to your account is, being so low, you will not hit the max IRS limit this year because of this. Only senior guys have that chance. As a junior guy, it allows you do dump a ton of money in to your 401K.

I like the stock to. It is currently trading at the top of the range it was given a few months back, but the range prior to the adjustment was in the 12-15 dollar range. I have always felt that it would be near 18-22 a share by the end of 2010. I too bought a ton, I keep readjusting my triggers upward. To date it is a six figure gain.
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