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Old 06-01-2013, 07:27 PM
  #131511  
Da Hudge
 
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
I think the 900 was mentioned as a 757/320/767 replacement.

In so many ways, there is no such thing as an MD-88 replacement... or at least a press release on it. They just said a few years back the jets were at their half life, hey, look, a



We're getting 717s!? Cool.

I'm so glad we said yes so that we got those things. Could you imagine if we had said no and Delta told SWA no thanks, we'll keep our 50 seaters.



What were talking about? MD-88s?
Whoops, you're right. Somehow I forgot the 767 and replaced that with MD88. One of them is going to run me down tomorrow now, I feel it...

+717!!
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Old 06-01-2013, 07:28 PM
  #131512  
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If they plan on dumping the 88's its funny they just signed a contract to put a bunch of money into the aircraft. So far the company has followed through 100 percent on the fleet plan they talked about when the contract was signed. The talk about the 757 retirements on here I find a bit surprising. Everyone acts like its something new. Its the exact fleet plan the company presented. The 100 737's were always discussed as replacement only aircraft. The 30 additional options were discussed as possible growth airframes. It now looks possible they company will take those airframes or take 30 A321's. We will know in September. If in fact they take those airframes the fleet projections will improve from the current plan of 796 to somewhere North of 820 not counting any possible wide bodies. I have some personal doubts on the widebody order because I think it hinges on routes to China we may or may not get.

There is also some consideration to slowing the 757 retirement more however it would not be to increase the fleet. It would be to convert the last 40 737's over to the max version which would delay those deliveries. I suspect fuel prices trends over the next 2 years will make that decision for the company.
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Old 06-01-2013, 07:35 PM
  #131513  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
Again your wrong Carl, Read my previous post.
Which previous wrong post would you like me to read sailingfun? This wrong post:

Originally Posted by sailingfun
If they don't grow the mainline they can't take delivery of a single one of the new 76 seaters for DCI.
Or this wrong post from March 2013:

Originally Posted by sailingfun
They have already put out that this bid clears the surplus copilots and follow on bids this year are expected to be almost all AE's.
Originally Posted by sailingfun
Still waiting on your answer to the bet. Lets make it at least 5 figures to keep it interesting!
First of all, I never bet on anything. Second, if I ever did, I would never bet with you. You're incapable of admitting you're wrong. You just change the subject, throw out false figures, then go radio silent. Why would anyone bet anything with a person like that?

Rather than making a fool of yourself, try to get things right when you post. It'll do wonders for your reputation.

Carl
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Old 06-01-2013, 07:38 PM
  #131514  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
If they plan on dumping the 88's its funny they just signed a contract to put a bunch of money into the aircraft. So far the company has followed through 100 percent on the fleet plan they talked about when the contract was signed. The talk about the 757 retirements on here I find a bit surprising. Everyone acts like its something new. Its the exact fleet plan the company presented. The 100 737's were always discussed as replacement only aircraft. The 30 additional options were discussed as possible growth airframes. It now looks possible they company will take those airframes or take 30 A321's. We will know in September. If in fact they take those airframes the fleet projections will improve from the current plan of 796 to somewhere North of 820 not counting any possible wide bodies. I have some personal doubts on the widebody order because I think it hinges on routes to China we may or may not get.

There is also some consideration to slowing the 757 retirement more however it would not be to increase the fleet. It would be to convert the last 40 737's over to the max version which would delay those deliveries. I suspect fuel prices trends over the next 2 years will make that decision for the company.
For someone who "says" he doesn't know too much, you sure seem to give a lot of info on what might happen. 820 planes would require close to 2000 additional pilots, get real. Seriously, just stop. You might as well say, "if we don't park the 757's and get all the 737's plus A320's, and 737MAx, we will have 1000 planes". A true statement math wise, but hardly reality.
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Old 06-01-2013, 07:42 PM
  #131515  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
If they plan on dumping the 88's its funny they just signed a contract to put a bunch of money into the aircraft. So far the company has followed through 100 percent on the fleet plan they talked about when the contract was signed. The talk about the 757 retirements on here I find a bit surprising. Everyone acts like its something new. Its the exact fleet plan the company presented. The 100 737's were always discussed as replacement only aircraft. The 30 additional options were discussed as possible growth airframes. It now looks possible they company will take those airframes or take 30 A321's. We will know in September. If in fact they take those airframes the fleet projections will improve from the current plan of 796 to somewhere North of 820 not counting any possible wide bodies. I have some personal doubts on the widebody order because I think it hinges on routes to China we may or may not get.

There is also some consideration to slowing the 757 retirement more however it would not be to increase the fleet. It would be to convert the last 40 737's over to the max version which would delay those deliveries. I suspect fuel prices trends over the next 2 years will make that decision for the company.
So the exact fleet plan presented was buying 100 B739s with 30 options from Boeing to buy Airbus A321s? Sweet.

As to parking the 88, anything can happen as far as I'm concerned. And who was it here the other day that mentioned the new cockpits would be installed on the 90 first before being installed on the by that point nearly 30 year old MD88s. I'm skeptical.

BTW, given our love for capacity discipline, where all of these domestic jets going to go? To replace the 5000 or so net lost seats from the parking of the CR2s?

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Old 06-01-2013, 07:43 PM
  #131516  
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I predict we'll hire 2000 pilots.

At some point. To replace 2300 pilots.
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Old 06-01-2013, 07:54 PM
  #131517  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
You can also explain why there have not been massive displacements with all the job loss you claim.
Once again, you're the only one talking about job losses. I've never claimed that. What I've said is that we have a very large surplus of pilots. Please ask your ALPA handlers how you should respond to that...not job losses.

Also, I've asked you to post the block hour plan that you've stated is "out there". Can you not find it?

Originally Posted by sailingfun
When the contract was signed we were staffed about right for Captains in most categories.
No we weren't sailingfun. In my category we routinely had between 1/3 and 1/2 the entire Captain list on reserve. Same with a number of other categories.

Originally Posted by sailingfun
Since the contract was signed we have seen a net increase of over 200 Captains. How can this be?
Because about that many took the latest early out program. The continuous and steady capacity reductions is one reason we continue to have such surpluses in all categories. The other reason is the large gains in productivity we gave up in the TA in order to fund our COLA pay increases. The TA you pushed so hard for us to vote in.

Originally Posted by sailingfun
There should have been displacements of hundreds of Captains out of their seats back to co pilot according to your statements. Is the company that screwed up they don't realize the bonanza they were handed in manning?
See above.

Carl
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Old 06-01-2013, 08:19 PM
  #131518  
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Can anyone confirm that DAL is not hiring untill Fall of 2014?
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Old 06-01-2013, 08:22 PM
  #131519  
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Originally Posted by flybywire44
Can anyone confirm that DAL is not hiring untill Fall of 2014?
Current mgmt plans state new bodies on property in January, 2014. Subject to change, of course. Given the current short state of bodies we have, I think it could trend sooner rather than later.

Of course, flows, recalls, and the pinnacle interview will dampen the amount of off the street hires for a little bit, but they will exist.
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Old 06-01-2013, 10:21 PM
  #131520  
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
Current mgmt plans state new bodies on property in January, 2014. Subject to change, of course. Given the current short state of bodies we have, I think it could trend sooner rather than later.

Of course, flows, recalls, and the Endeavor interview will dampen the amount of off the street hires for a little bit, but they will exist.
You stand corrected................
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