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Old 02-13-2013, 07:35 AM
  #122661  
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Originally Posted by Scoop
The thing that is being left out of this discussion is revenue per pilot. Although SWA Pilots and DAL pilots are pretty close the last time I checked it DAL pilots actually produce more revenue per pilot despite these inefficiencies.

Scoop
Ding Ding Ding, that's the closest yet.
In accountants terms, the things that matter are:
  • what is being produced
  • what is the cost of production
  • what can I sell it for
Then you can subtract the cost from the sales and you get your margin.
Delta doesn't sell block hours. Never has and never will.
Delta sells seat miles.

That's why the Annual report breaks down everything on that basis.
  • ASM
  • RPM
  • CASM
  • RASM
So the real question to ask is:
What is the pilot portion of CASM.
That number will get you the comparison that matters economically to the corporation, whether it's DAL, AA, UA or WN.

Cheers
George
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:43 AM
  #122662  
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Originally Posted by Jack Bauer
This is based on the current "over staffing" due to nonstop capacity reductions the past few years, but you already knew that. The situation will dramatically change as management continues to not replace retiring pilots "right sizing" staffing while continuing to outsource. Give it 24 months. Instead of guys reporting lots of time off on reserve, every reserve Jr and Sr, will be flying up to contract limits that were just increased (including more SC periods) in C2012
I'll would reserve judgement til after the final 717 hits the line
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:45 AM
  #122663  
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Originally Posted by Scoop
Timbo,


We are pretty inefficient in this regard but as you point out that is due to the complexity of our system. This is countered however, by our system wide revenue premium.

The thing that is being left out of this discussion is revenue per pilot. Although SWA Pilots and DAL pilots are pretty close the last time I checked it DAL pilots actually produce more revenue per pilot despite these inefficiencies.
Scoop
Further, wouldn't it be fair to say anything currently based upon average per pilot (block hours or any other metric) will continue to move the other way as management "right sizes" staffing, bleeding off what they would call bloat by not replacing retiring pilots?

You won't have the current anomaly of guys in some categories sitting at home for a month skewing the ratios. That said, it was a huge mistake moving the needle toward more productivity in c2012. It should be more pay (nobody hardly ever uses the word restoration anymore), less hours, scope that puts a stop to outsourcing including making RJ's viable for the rest of our careers which is precisely what just happened. In most cases ALPA has taken us in the opposite (read wrong) direction.
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:46 AM
  #122664  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
Called tech ops. He believes the average usage on the MD88/90 fleet is right at 8 hours a day. He is going to try and get the exact numbers and get back to me however he said its the lowest fleet. That compares to 10.8 I think you posted for 2012 and the 10.5 number I posted for SW in 2011. Highest utilization rates are the international aircraft which exceed 16 hours a day in many cases and bring our overall fleet average way up.
On the comment about NRT I was not referring to aircraft utilization but rather pilot block hours. The operation is very inefficient on a block hour basis with tons of credit. The same applies to our limited inter Africa flying. That also has to be considered when looking at numbers but aids your side of the discussion not mine.
Airbus trips are starting to look like DC9 flying. Many have 4-5 legs days with segments under an hour. Plus...the 320A had a max of 91+30 with 84 ALV for March.
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:51 AM
  #122665  
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Originally Posted by johnso29
Sorry Jack. You're wrong again. What you suggest will happen is not contractually allowed.
I know what you are getting at. Even with the 60 hour rule reserves will be flown more than they have been. This decreases staffing requirements across the board while decreasing the average reserves QOL. A lose/lose.
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:54 AM
  #122666  
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Originally Posted by Jack Bauer

Further, wouldn't it be fair to say anything currently based upon average per pilot (block hours or any other metric) will continue to move the other way as management "right sizes" staffing, bleeding off what they would call bloat by not replacing retiring pilots?

You won't have the current anomaly of guys in some categories sitting at home for a month skewing the ratios. That said, it was a huge mistake moving the needle toward more productivity in c2012. It should be more pay (nobody hardly ever uses the word restoration anymore), less hours, scope that puts a stop to outsourcing including making RJ's viable for the rest of our careers which is precisely what just happened. In most cases ALPA has taken us in the opposite (read wrong) direction.
I think a critical component of your hypothesis, which I actually partially agree with, that you're missing, is the unreliable actual retirement data. It'd be one thing for the company to have 120 day notice of each actual retirement, but given our vacancy process, and the variability in actual retirement age (which hasn't been proven yet), the company will need to carry extra heads to prevent a massive retirement surge from toppling our operational performance. So for the next 18-24 months I think you'll see them bleed off bloat. Any growth, or any perceived spike in retirements will likely drive small hiring - which with the flow agreements, furloughs, and PNCL bridge, is exactly what they're now fooled to do. 10 here, 15 here - just like the military leave returns all year.

I wouldn't discount crew resources fiscal prowess as a DALPA conspiracy though. I think they're actually just doing the right thing for the company. Which just may happen to be awful for you, but given my free money coming tomorrow, which I'm not technically contractually obligated to receive, I'll take every dime I can get as a result of their expertise.
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Old 02-13-2013, 07:55 AM
  #122667  
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Originally Posted by buzzpat
36.8% in taxes taken from my profit sharing........Holy Cow! Is that mandated by the government?
Well, this is nothing but a god danm shakedown and a screwjob, any way you look at it!
-Nathan Arizona, Sr.
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Old 02-13-2013, 08:00 AM
  #122668  
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Originally Posted by Jack Bauer

I know what you are getting at. Even with the 60 hour rule reserves will be flown more than they have been. This decreases staffing requirements across the board while decreasing the average reserves QOL. A lose/lose.
I'm actually flying more than 60 credit and 14 duty periods a month in a +20% category. You're welcome.
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Old 02-13-2013, 08:03 AM
  #122669  
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Originally Posted by RockyBoy
Mine was a total of 43% of the check to taxes and ALPA.
Gotsta pay for the oil painting somehow.
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Old 02-13-2013, 08:07 AM
  #122670  
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Originally Posted by johnso29
Sorry Jack. You're wrong again. What you suggest will happen is not contractually allowed.
Until it happens.
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