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Old 11-12-2012, 12:31 PM
  #115301  
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Originally Posted by shiznit
My original question is better paraphrased: "Why are you surprised by these AE's?
You're right, that is better paraphrased than it was written. You originally asked about the "surprise and negativity". Since you characterized it as negativity, I answered it in the terms in which you framed the discussion.

I'm not really surprised by these AE's, I'm just not commiting to the notion that we're going to see great progression next year. I just want to see the progression before I call it great. Is that unrealistic?
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:31 PM
  #115302  
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Originally Posted by Gunfighter
This is great data. Does it show only mainline seats, mainline + DCI, or any seat sold by Delta?
This is total mainline+DCI.

One thing that this illustrates once again that I don't quite understand (and I wonder every time I pass through) is why isn't MCO a pilot domicile?

I found the data overall very interesting.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:36 PM
  #115303  
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Originally Posted by Sink r8
About this shortage of inexpensive pilots...

I saw an interesting post elsewhere that made me think about the "shortage", and the leverage it would produce for us. I've been thinking that, with the supply of pilots going down, our value would go up. After all, considering what we make now, who is going to want to risk the intial investment, and the uncertain outcome, of starting an airline pilot career?

Which answers my own question. You don't have to make the career worth the investment, you just need to remove the investment hurdle. What if, in lieu of a signing bonus, airlines provided free training in a 2-year program for hand-picked applicants? College requirement: waived. College debt: zero. Time to graduate: cut in half.

Negotiate something with the FAA to further loosen the 750-hour requirement under the excuse of needing to match the JAA Multi-Crew Pilot license, invest a few million in lobbying, say... 500 hours (more than the Europeans). Put in proper training notes so that people have a lengthy commitment, and you have a program.

Think that wouldn't attract some pretty bright people?

Depressing, I know, but it seems to me you could get pilots cheaper by investing heavily in the new pilots, not the old pilots. I wonder if the contract allows the company to have future pilots on the book that aren't pilots yet?
Multi crew is the wrong answer. Add this to the list of things to vehemently hate. The MCL theory is a sure fire way to recruit career FOs with the promise of $100k a year jobs. Think of how many sharp video game players would show up for that. They may be bright, but these people need to fly. I've seen the decision making produced by ab initio pilots in both seats. This may be convenient sounding but it's an absolute death sentence. Take notice of India's safety record.

The right answer is to drive wages and additionally the prestige of the profession to a level that attracts highly qualified and highly paid applicants. We were there in 98 when I jumped at this mess but now...nope.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:47 PM
  #115304  
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Originally Posted by cni187
Lufthansa trains its own pilots. When I lived in Germany I dated a girl who was going to take their test and apply. She said they take people with no experience at all and train them.
Exactly; and they're not alone. It just dawned on me today that in order to make it attractive for people to work for Delta, you can invest in everyone, and make Delta attractive, or I suppose you can simply invest in a select few.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:56 PM
  #115305  
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Originally Posted by LeineLodge
Anyone elect this? I'm going through the open enrollment stuff one final time and can't decide if it's worth it.

It looks pretty cheap, so I'm thinking about just doing it. Anyone have anythoughts, pros/cons, etc??

Thanks
One suggestion: Run some numbers and see how often you would have to be out on medical to break even.

For example, using the numbers from a TOTALLY DIFFERENT insurance offer from ALPA, I figured I would need to be injured and off work at least six months out of every three years to break even.

If I missed more work than that, it would pay off. Needless to say, I wasn't Negateer enough to spring for the coverage.

Your situation may be different, but that is one way to figure out if that coverage is "worth it" to you.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:56 PM
  #115306  
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Originally Posted by SailorJerry
Multi crew is the wrong answer. Add this to the list of things to vehemently hate. The MCL theory is a sure fire way to recruit career FOs with the promise of $100k a year jobs. Think of how many sharp video game players would show up for that. They may be bright, but these people need to fly. I've seen the decision making produced by ab initio pilots in both seats. This may be convenient sounding but it's an absolute death sentence. Take notice of India's safety record.

The right answer is to drive wages and additionally the prestige of the profession to a level that attracts highly qualified and highly paid applicants. We were there in 98 when I jumped at this mess but now...nope.
I agree 100%, and I am NOT a fan of the MCL, for the reasons you stated. We would be the poor [deleted] that have to work with these skyGods, that know everything, and yet can't seem to fly an airplane, and our lives would be hell. I've had to do something similar in a previous life, where I worked with both ab-initio and off-the-street people. For the most part, experience won. At the regional level, there are cases where the more experienced piltos just had more bad habits, but not at the global carriers.

I'm not promoting a method here. I was simply speculating on what approaches airlines might take to replace retiring pilots, and it seems to me that some of our assumptions about Delta wanting to pay us more to get someone else to come over, are a little simplistic.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:57 PM
  #115307  
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Originally Posted by Check Essential
It means all pilots will be CONVERTED by May.

Hasn't happened recently but in the past guys have been converted before they were trained. Basically a paid vacation.
2.5 months for me (Dec. 2010-Feb 2011). Completely reaffirmed my suspicions that I am, in fact, lazy and would be quite happy never working another day in my life.
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Old 11-12-2012, 01:00 PM
  #115308  
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Originally Posted by Sink r8
I agree 100%, and I am NOT a fan of the MCL, for the reasons you stated. We would be the poor [deleted] that have to work with these skyGods, that know everything, and yet can't seem to fly an airplane, and our lives would be hell. I've had to do something similar in a previous life, where I worked with both ab-initio and off-the-street people. For the most part, experience won. At the regional level, there are cases where the more experienced piltos just had more bad habits, but not at the global carriers.

I'm not promoting a method here. I was simply speculating on what approaches airlines might take to replace retiring pilots, and it seems to me that some of our assumptions about Delta wanting to pay us more to get someone else to come over, are a little simplistic.
DAL has recently announced some partnerships with flight schools. I honestly would not be surprised to see A4A push for MCL programs. They seem to be laying the framework in today's pilot shortage article published by the Wall St Journal.
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Old 11-12-2012, 01:07 PM
  #115309  
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
One thing that this illustrates once again that I don't quite understand (and I wonder every time I pass through) is why isn't MCO a pilot domicile?
Cheap hotel rooms and variety of airplanes. MCO may have lots of airplanes overnighting, but it's a lot of variety of airplanes. 757/767, A320, M88 and 737 all visit. Bases for all of them would mean small bases of each category with lots of extra reserve coverage.

And since I imagine hotels rooms aren't that expensive, the two combine to make it not a base. The same question was asked about BOS at a pilot meeting (in JFK) and the answer was "we look at it every so often but hotel rooms are cheap in BOS".
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Old 11-12-2012, 01:08 PM
  #115310  
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Originally Posted by cni187
Lufthansa trains its own pilots. When I lived in Germany I dated a girl who was going to take their test and apply. She said they take people with no experience at all and train them.
And guess what, the Lufthansa trainees are trained in the US...

Similar to Lufhansa, ANA does the same with their newhires.
Hire with no flight experience, they come to the US for 18 months to be trained, then go back to Japan to fly 767s. They do quite well.

EVA air (Taiwan) trainees come here for 9 months.

BTW, for their newhire pilot trainees, the ANA pilot union negotiated a 3-day work week while in training and continuous per-diem.

Those guys are in Vegas every weekend...

Cheers
George
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