Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta?
Can't abide NAI
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 12,037
We're doing everything but that... flow throughs, flow backs, pref hiring. Pretty minor tweak to say the guys flying those airplanes are Delta pilots.
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2006
Position: Boeing Hearing and Ergonomics Lab Rat, Night Shift
Posts: 1,724
George,
In reference to the bolded above. Okay I'll agree that we have not "taken back flying to mainline" from DCI if their block hours remain the same.....But if DCI block hours stay the same (albiet with a more modern fleet) have not mainline block hours increased significantly because of the ratio now required? There by requiring more jobs?
Denny
In reference to the bolded above. Okay I'll agree that we have not "taken back flying to mainline" from DCI if their block hours remain the same.....But if DCI block hours stay the same (albiet with a more modern fleet) have not mainline block hours increased significantly because of the ratio now required? There by requiring more jobs?
Denny
I do think its important to put into real prespective what realistic gains are achievable with the ratios and I'm afraid expectations are being set up such that the final ratio should we ever need it falls well below what pilots expected.
Most likely DCI will see a reduction in block hours (my rep hinted at that). That means the actual mainline block hour gain gain will be less than what the ratio increase from 1.19 to 1.56 would suggest.
Easy example:
100 DBH (1)
119 MBH (1.19)
Ratio 1.19 MBH to 1 DBH (this is where we are right now)
reduce DCI by 25%
80 DBH (1)
117 MBH (1.56)
So if we add 70 more 76-set jets at DCI and reduce their block-hours by 25%, the minimum mainline block-hours required will be nearly 2% less than we have today.
Because we have a ratio, a higher reduction in DCI block hours results in a lower baseline for mainline.
I'll leave it up to each individual to define "significant."
Cheers
George
Last edited by georgetg; 05-28-2012 at 11:58 AM.
Can't abide NAI
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 12,037
Actually ran those numbers some years ago. Using year 2000 hiring demographics and Contract 96 it seems the numbers were about 1.7 to 2 million per job for those already on the property and around $4 million (the value of a career) for those not on the property.
At the time, that model included stove pipe assumptions and straight seniority order staffing ....
With this TA, that model would show a gain (as there is any time mainline has more jobs).
At the time, that model included stove pipe assumptions and straight seniority order staffing ....
With this TA, that model would show a gain (as there is any time mainline has more jobs).
This may be ultimately correct. A lot will depend on the work rules effect. By keeping the pay raises very modest, the company keeps the pilots hungry. There may be a lot of reserves going for the +15. Who knows?
In any event, the block hour ratios are figured for the first time in
July, 2014. It will be over two years from now before those ratios are used for anything. The company doesn't even need to think about them until then.
In any event, the block hour ratios are figured for the first time in
July, 2014. It will be over two years from now before those ratios are used for anything. The company doesn't even need to think about them until then.
Can't abide NAI
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 12,037
(1) Find a phone
(2) Call Crew Scheduling
(3) Say whatever two magic words are necessary from the following list:
- I'm sick
- I'm fatigued
- I quit
- F U (will have the same effect as I quit)
- Whatever you do, don't be clever. A friend once asked a scheduler "does that jet have a pointy end? Good. Then use the pointy end and shove it ..." ALPA got him his job back after a year.
When I read the TA my thoughts were that the regional guys will instinctively respond to the "regional" like work rules with "regional" like defenses. The mission oriented folks will be in momentary conflict until they remember safety comes first.
You are absolutely correct. It's just the characterization of these ratios and what they do that is incorrect. And it is important to point out that the ratios represent a minimum "safety net." there is nothing to prevent Delta from adding more mainline flying.
I do think its important to put into real prespective what realistic gains are achievable with the ratios and I'm afraid expectations are being set up such that the final ratio should we ever need it falls well below what pilots expected.
Most likely DCI will see a reduction in block hours (my rep hinted at that). That means the actual mainline block hour gain gain will be less than what the ratio increase from 1.19 to 1.56 would suggest.
Easy example:
100 DBH (1)
119 MBH (1.19)
Ratio 1.19 MBH to 1 DBH (this is where we are right now)
reduce DCI by 25%
80 DBH (1)
117 MBH (1.56)
So if we add 70 more 76-set jets at DCI and reduce their block-hours by 25%, the minimum mainline block-hours required will be nearly 2% less than we have today.
Because we have a ratio, a higher reduction in DCI block hours results in a lower baseline for mainline.
I'll leave it up to each individual to define "significant."
Cheers
George
I do think its important to put into real prespective what realistic gains are achievable with the ratios and I'm afraid expectations are being set up such that the final ratio should we ever need it falls well below what pilots expected.
Most likely DCI will see a reduction in block hours (my rep hinted at that). That means the actual mainline block hour gain gain will be less than what the ratio increase from 1.19 to 1.56 would suggest.
Easy example:
100 DBH (1)
119 MBH (1.19)
Ratio 1.19 MBH to 1 DBH (this is where we are right now)
reduce DCI by 25%
80 DBH (1)
117 MBH (1.56)
So if we add 70 more 76-set jets at DCI and reduce their block-hours by 25%, the minimum mainline block-hours required will be nearly 2% less than we have today.
Because we have a ratio, a higher reduction in DCI block hours results in a lower baseline for mainline.
I'll leave it up to each individual to define "significant."
Cheers
George
Not sure if it is a true reduction. Best case I see a mainline jet count like we did at SOC. If I am wrong, show me the work. With the work rule changes, we still would have less pilots and less pilots per seat.
In the bold:
Ratios are a funny thing, and the higher ratios at the end are a result of DCI being shrunk with 50's being parked.
I see this whole part of the PWA as a protection if we shrink, not a guarantee to grow. We hit the ratios with the known aircraft retirements and deliveries at mainline (possible sans the 717) and the retirements at DCI. The catch 22 is the non-compliance provision. It states "anything beyond Delta's control." Well we would generally shrink from a bad economy or a black swan event, and aren't those our of DAL's control? Its a lot more vague than force majure.
Three step checklist:
(1) Find a phone
(2) Call Crew Scheduling
(3) Say whatever two magic words are necessary from the following list:
When I read the TA my thoughts were that the regional guys will instinctively respond to the "regional" like work rules with "regional" like defenses. The mission oriented folks will be in momentary conflict until they remember safety comes first.
(1) Find a phone
(2) Call Crew Scheduling
(3) Say whatever two magic words are necessary from the following list:
- I'm sick
- I'm fatigued
- I quit
- F U (will have the same effect as I quit)
- Whatever you do, don't be clever. A friend once asked a scheduler "does that jet have a pointy end? Good. Then use the pointy end and shove it ..." ALPA got him his job back after a year.
When I read the TA my thoughts were that the regional guys will instinctively respond to the "regional" like work rules with "regional" like defenses. The mission oriented folks will be in momentary conflict until they remember safety comes first.
This may be ultimately correct. A lot will depend on the work rules effect. By keeping the pay raises very modest, the company keeps the pilots hungry. There may be a lot of reserves going for the +15. Who knows?
In any event, the block hour ratios are figured for the first time in
July, 2014. It will be over two years from now before those ratios are used for anything. The company doesn't even need to think about them until then.
In any event, the block hour ratios are figured for the first time in
July, 2014. It will be over two years from now before those ratios are used for anything. The company doesn't even need to think about them until then.
You are absolutely correct. It's just the characterization of these ratios and what they do that is incorrect. And it is important to point out that the ratios represent a minimum "safety net." there is nothing to prevent Delta from adding more mainline flying.
I do think its important to put into real prespective what realistic gains are achievable with the ratios and I'm afraid expectations are being set up such that the final ratio should we ever need it falls well below what pilots expected.
Most likely DCI will see a reduction in block hours (my rep hinted at that). That means the actual mainline block hour gain gain will be less than what the ratio increase from 1.19 to 1.56 would suggest.
Easy example:
100 DBH (1)
119 MBH (1.19)
Ratio 1.19 MBH to 1 DBH (this is where we are right now)
reduce DCI by 25%
80 DBH (1)
117 MBH (1.56)
So if we add 70 more 76-set jets at DCI and reduce their block-hours by 25%, the minimum mainline block-hours required will be nearly 2% less than we have today.
Because we have a ratio, a higher reduction in DCI block hours results in a lower baseline for mainline.
I'll leave it up to each individual to define "significant."
Cheers
George
I do think its important to put into real prespective what realistic gains are achievable with the ratios and I'm afraid expectations are being set up such that the final ratio should we ever need it falls well below what pilots expected.
Most likely DCI will see a reduction in block hours (my rep hinted at that). That means the actual mainline block hour gain gain will be less than what the ratio increase from 1.19 to 1.56 would suggest.
Easy example:
100 DBH (1)
119 MBH (1.19)
Ratio 1.19 MBH to 1 DBH (this is where we are right now)
reduce DCI by 25%
80 DBH (1)
117 MBH (1.56)
So if we add 70 more 76-set jets at DCI and reduce their block-hours by 25%, the minimum mainline block-hours required will be nearly 2% less than we have today.
Because we have a ratio, a higher reduction in DCI block hours results in a lower baseline for mainline.
I'll leave it up to each individual to define "significant."
Cheers
George
I would agree with all you state. My one comment would be....what can be done under the current contract? Couldn't we go below a 1 to 1 ratio? It does set a minimum on the down side and (if we ever grow again) it could be very advantageous. I know, I know, it would be even more advantageous if we did the 76 seat flying. I'm just trying to be realistic with what we have currently.
By the way, how ya been George?
Denny
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