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Old 04-11-2024, 08:36 AM
  #641  
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Originally Posted by interceptorpilo
I could be wrong but if we are in a steady state of not hiring and not laying off , wouldn’t the Company pretty much leave things alone and not do displacements and possibly start with AEs (not VDs or MDs) and see if people move where they want?
EDIT: There has probably never been a steady state so you are right - either hiring or laying off therefore displacements.
Steady state usually means over-staffed, but not enough justify furloughs. Very little hiring from 2009-2014. A few hundred in 2010 was it. Numerous AE’s ran over those years. Movement was minimal and the majority of the AE’s had displacements.
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Old 04-11-2024, 09:14 AM
  #642  
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Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
When hiring stops, the bids become displacement bids to get people where they are needed.
We aren’t stopping hiring. Maybe slowing/pausing for a few months of summer. And then at a more normal rate after. Projected 1000 next year as well. Until Covid, 1000/year was a banner year.

We are a looooong way from displacements, excepting 7ER drawdown/consolidation for final closure in the 2030’s.
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Old 04-11-2024, 09:47 AM
  #643  
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Originally Posted by 2StgTurbine
What about something as simple as base trades? If hiring does stop in the future and two people on the same equipment want to swap bases, it would be nice if we had a monthly process for that at least.
Smells like it would abrogate seniority. I.e. if a senior person who also wants to swap to the other base gets passed over because junior made a deal with a pilot in the other base, abrogation. The AE process already provides a seniority-driven path to swapping bases. But yea, continuing to be monthly would be nice.
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Old 04-11-2024, 10:32 AM
  #644  
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Originally Posted by Verdell
Smells like it would abrogate seniority. I.e. if a senior person who also wants to swap to the other base gets passed over because junior made a deal with a pilot in the other base, abrogation. The AE process already provides a seniority-driven path to swapping bases. But yea, continuing to be monthly would be nice.
I don’t think they mean “pilot to pilot base swap side deal.” I understood that they essentially wanted an AE with no posted positions, for the hypothetical situation where there are no positions needed for new hires. Not sure if that’s a thing, but in that scenario the senior person would still get the swap.

edit: seems simple enough, but I also don’t think delta can limit it to swaps only. So Delta potentially eats a training bill if the senior person wants to change planes to a diff plane and base. Also creating another secondary opening that may require training.

Any other swap system would have to get some kind of Union approval and I’m sure whatever process they came up with would protect seniority.
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Old 04-11-2024, 11:50 AM
  #645  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
We aren’t stopping hiring. Maybe slowing/pausing for a few months of summer. And then at a more normal rate after. Projected 1000 next year as well. Until Covid, 1000/year was a banner year.

We are a looooong way from displacements, excepting 7ER drawdown/consolidation for final closure in the 2030’s.
Are the 717s staying until 2030 as well?
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Old 04-11-2024, 12:59 PM
  #646  
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Originally Posted by FourStripes
Are the 717s staying until 2030 as well?
Haven't heard any dates, but I would expect so. As I understand, they are pulling the last of them out of storage. Maybe a 717 guy/gal can weigh in with current projections.
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Old 04-11-2024, 01:15 PM
  #647  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
Haven't heard any dates, but I would expect so. As I understand, they are pulling the last of them out of storage. Maybe a 717 guy/gal can weigh in with current projections.
I haven't heard anything since the pandemic other than the 2030 drawdown date. With Boeing, and to a lesser extent Airbus, falling behind on deliveries, I would expect them to stay to 2030 or beyond unless there is a massive economic downturn.
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Old 04-11-2024, 01:17 PM
  #648  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
Haven't heard any dates, but I would expect so. As I understand, they are pulling the last of them out of storage. Maybe a 717 guy/gal can weigh in with current projections.
The long term plan changes every six months, but the latest is 85 717s active this year and remaining until 2030 ish. They have purchased 15+ in the last year or two only to be used for parts - so we're told.
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Old 04-12-2024, 09:05 AM
  #649  
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Originally Posted by interceptorpilo
I could be wrong but if we are in a steady state of not hiring and not laying off , wouldn’t the Company pretty much leave things alone and not do displacements and possibly start with AEs (not VDs or MDs) and see if people move where they want?
EDIT: There has probably never been a steady state so you are right - either hiring or laying off therefore displacements.
Even if we reached a 'no growth' state for whatever reason, we'll still be retiring 4-500 pilots per year into the mid-2030s. That will generate openings on both NB and WB fleets. They'd need to run AEs to fill the openings created by retirements, and hire that many pilots just to maintain the 'no growth' state.
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Old 04-12-2024, 09:37 AM
  #650  
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Originally Posted by Verdell
Smells like it would abrogate seniority. I.e. if a senior person who also wants to swap to the other base gets passed over because junior made a deal with a pilot in the other base, abrogation. The AE process already provides a seniority-driven path to swapping bases. But yea, continuing to be monthly would be nice.
It doesn’t need to be structured as a deal between individual pilots. A pilot would simply bid for a mutual base trade to another base. If another pilot bids to move in the other direction, then the swap is made via an automated process that the company runs every month. Everything is done in seniority order, so that only the most senior pilots desiring swaps are awarded them.

AA has this. It works well over there.
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