Gunfighter

Your timing is still great. Pilots hired from 2000-2007 were 90% or lower for 7-14 years.

Apophis

Thanks again!

My brain is at critical mass with all of this training material, so I appreciate being patient with me!

tripled

interesting note about the 220. Potentially No backfills so is there too little movement off the plane? Reduction in block hours? Will the fleet honeybadger become the 717dtw? 737nyc? 320nyc?

tunes

they are parking a lot due to the engine issues.

tripled

eep. Where do those block hours go. 320/73/71 I assume. Maybe it’s a nice time to be sr on the 220

FangsF15

Their fleet newsletters have a lot of info about the background, as well as numbers for anyone interested.

In addition, the 220 has a super low turnover. Very few people leave the airframe once them get on it.

TED74

I think two months is all it takes. After two months of a dry well, staring at PBS and deciding how to optimize B pay in the absence of green slips will probably make some folks make the jump. Those who held out to really make sure the spigot was dry could find themselves stuck at a significantly lower hourly rate than they could have had an AE bid or two behind them. I’m encouraging my buddies to make a jump now if they think they might any time in the next year.

tcco94

I think it was quite dramatic at how fast people thought the ER was going to shrink to a 2 domicile airplane. There’s way too much international left with 330’s delayed and 350’s slow. 321neo’s are delayed. Charter flying contracts still have at minimum another year of a full season left into mid 2025. Way too much ER flying in the system (I mean now in LAX we are flying SEA to HNL/OGG seasonally). This airline is in no way prepared for an ER downturn yet. And the FO to CA disparity is way too big to build effective rotations. My guess is LAX ER has a couple years left before it’s true SEA-like demise and closure is inbound. There’s just too much flying everywhere. But hey I knew that wasn’t going to last so I’m not that shocked. But yeah I think people jump the gun a bit prematurely with how fast they think ER will be on the chopping block. Only because everything is so delayed

Nantonaku

What fleet are we talking about? On certain bases green slips have always been few and far between for WB's. On NB's for the work horse fleets green slips aren't going anywhere. Staffing is at an all time high and even in high reserve months like Feburary there is no evidence that they are drying up at all. As it is now they will go hot and heavy through fall. A senior FO on the 73 or Airbus will not have two dry months in the next year unless flying unexpectedly shrinks. We are 3 years into a continous GS waterfall for senior pilots. It isn't going to change drastically for the senior anytime soon. Only by choice would someone not get at least 1 a month.

FangsF15

I don’t disagree, but… 1-2 GS a month ain’t nearly enough to roll thunder. And for those lineholders snagging that 1 GS a month, they are still flying 15-16+ days minimum just to maybe break 100 credit hours. Yes, there will always be the outlier ninjas who manage to drop/WS a 120 hour month, but that’s not the norm for many FO’s. The super senior FO may stay put, but…

There will still be a very sizable number of mid seniority FO’s who have gotten used to big months and addicted to that pay level. Realizing a Capt simply making the ALV is equivalent to an FO ‘hustling’ to making 107-117ish credit hours might drive many of them to take an upgrade…. Even WB B roughly splits the difference with a super easy QOL. Time will tell.