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Old 10-04-2024, 09:32 AM
  #1671  
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Originally Posted by konabear
I bet all of the A positions get awarded to pilots who are already qualified and don't have a seat lock. Maybe a handful, <10, will require training, but half of those will be awarded a bypass. The B positions will all get filled, too. Very senior, no seat lock breaks required. I wouldn't be surprised to see some NYC 320 As bid BOS 330B.
That would be a huge strain on the training system. Unless they don’t backfill the holes created by people leaving NYC. This isn’t the first time they have posted pie in the sky numbers and don’t fill them. Time will tell.
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Old 10-04-2024, 10:04 AM
  #1672  
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Originally Posted by konabear
I bet all of the A positions get awarded to pilots who are already qualified and don't have a seat lock. Maybe a handful, <10, will require training, but half of those will be awarded a bypass. The B positions will all get filled, too. Very senior, no seat lock breaks required. I wouldn't be surprised to see some NYC 320 As bid BOS 330B.
​​​​​I could see them award all the positions, but selectively backfill only half of the vacated 330A/B positions.
Depending on depth of backfill NYC 330A could hit high 4K seniority. I don't think this is the bid that breaks 5,000.
​​​​​​

Last edited by Gunfighter; 10-04-2024 at 10:42 AM.
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Old 10-04-2024, 10:27 AM
  #1673  
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Originally Posted by Gunfighter
​​​​​I could see them award all the positions, but selectively backfill only half of the vacated 330A/B positions.
Depending on depth of backfill NYC 330A could hit high 4K seniority. I don't think this is the bid that breaks 5,000.
​​​​​​
Is this the GF to WBA AE?
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Old 10-04-2024, 11:09 AM
  #1674  
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Originally Posted by Vsop
Is this the GF to WBA AE?
​​​​Maybe. The recent increase in WB SC makes senior WBB less attractive.
​​​​​​

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Old 10-04-2024, 11:28 AM
  #1675  
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This AE has a good chance of having the largest swing between the mock and final award. Since they award literally every position on the mock it could be a very different picture if they cut way back on the final award.
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Old 10-04-2024, 11:28 AM
  #1676  
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Originally Posted by Gunfighter
​​​​​I could see them award all the positions, but selectively backfill only half of the vacated 330A/B positions.
Depending on depth of backfill NYC 330A could hit high 4K seniority. I don't think this is the bid that breaks 5,000.
​​​​​​
I think you’re on to something. The hard part is the mock award could be amazing and then the real award could turn Debbie downer and be missing a ton of backfill.
I agree, this doesn’t break 5,000 WBA…. But it’s getting close.


Edit: What he said^
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Old 10-04-2024, 12:06 PM
  #1677  
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Originally Posted by tennisguru
This AE has a good chance of having the largest swing between the mock and final award. Since they award literally every position on the mock it could be a very different picture if they cut way back on the final award.
This is an underrated post.
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Old 10-04-2024, 12:27 PM
  #1678  
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Originally Posted by GogglesPisano
Multiple previous AE's.
You must be reading different AE's than I am...

July AE: "As we open BOS, we will evaluate the specific pilot AE awards, specifically base transfers to determine how to open BOS with the largest number of pilots for the first bid-month of operation. This will likely be accomplished by holding the first month or two of base transfer pilots in their current 330 categories and coordinating their base transfer to BOS to coincide with the first group of pilots completing IQ training into the BOS 330 category"

They repeated that for Aug and Sept.

They used terms like "when fully staffed"...and "specifically base transfers, to determine how to open BOS with the largest number of pilots for the first bid-month"....

To me that reads as they aren't going for 100% first bid out the gate and they will only fill as much as possile via base transfers but they aren't willing to go more if it requires training, especially durng the first 60 days when seat locks don't apply.
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Old 10-04-2024, 12:29 PM
  #1679  
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Originally Posted by konabear
I bet all of the A positions get awarded to pilots who are already qualified and don't have a seat lock. Maybe a handful, <10, will require training, but half of those will be awarded a bypass. The B positions will all get filled, too. Very senior, no seat lock breaks required. I wouldn't be surprised to see some NYC 320 As bid BOS 330B.
Thing is, looking at the staffing projections between the SEP and OCT AE's, they're not drawing down on the other 330 bases when creating the Boston spots. This suggests that base transfers will then have to be backfilled (vs say, shrinking NYC330 while growing BOS330.)

Sep AE projection had 2,084 330 pilots forecast for Feb 2025.
Oct AE projection has 2,198 330 pilots forecast for Mar 2025.
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Old 10-04-2024, 12:30 PM
  #1680  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
This is an underrated post.
especially if cr could figure out how many ae candidates would be likely to bid the same bos position next time or the time afterwards.
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