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Old 08-17-2024, 09:39 PM
  #1301  
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I'm hearing that, going forward, the company has decided to lean heavier into A350s rather than more 330-900s. It sounds like the 350 is what they'll need for range/lift. Just had a senior WB LLCP tell me we're going to order approximately 40+ more soon. Mainly -1000s. They'll be going to west coast bases to open up more Pacific routes (Manila, Singapore, Hong Kong, Vietnam, possibly Bangkok and eventually India - although I'd imagine that'll be out of NYC). Also expecting to add more southern Europe and more deep S America but those will likely be east coast 330s, as they arrive. (The Pacific & other network info was from the Network guy at a Velvet.) As always, I'll believe it when I see it but the "plan" came from a guy who was very confident in it.
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Old 08-18-2024, 01:55 AM
  #1302  
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Originally Posted by Planetrain
Heres when the Maxes show up and dilute the 73Na seniority. Maybe they come, *maybe* they don’t.

Does the Max fly the same 321N trips? Do they go west coast to Hawaii? Or does the company fly these on the medium haul domestic.
Originally Posted by Eldee5
Would you then say that 2030ish will be a pivotal year(s) then? That is, if the 767s retire by then, only pilots south of 2016 could be displaced to a 330/350? The rest to NBA?
Originally Posted by Gone Flying
i’m guessing 320 will get a good chunk of the ER displacements that can’t hold WB.

1. The NEO rate is not a pay cut for them while the current 73N rate is. (MAX rate TBD, if we even get it). by 2030 I’m expecting all our 320s and most our 319s to be gone while we get more 321NEOs, that would drive the average rate for that fleet higher.

2. If they do want to go WB, the 320 will give them a short course to WB A when they can hold it. Plus allow them to learn AB on a domestic fleet if they have never flown it.
Originally Posted by Abouttime2fish
Funny how quiet the company has been on the future of our max order. I think we will see 787’s before we have max-10’s.
Originally Posted by Extenda
yeah that’s my plan. Won’t be able to hold WB A until at least 2033, so will go back to left seat of the little bus (flew it tor 4 years as an FO) for a few years. This is my plan so as to only have to do one more IQ the rest of my career.

what is the company going to do with the SNN, CPH, DSS, EDI, ARN type routes? Incrementally upgauge to 330/350 as they come online or abandon them entirely when the smaller 767-300s go away?
Originally Posted by Gone Flying
I really don’t see us ending up with 787s at this point. We have a substantial amount of a330NEOs at this point and I don’t see us getting a different plane in that size range. The cost to stand up a new fleet with little commonality to any of our existing fleets just does not seem likely.

While I’m not sure we get the max 10s, I think we end up with something from the max family unless AB gives us a sweetheart deal on a large 220/320 family order.
I've posted this before and will repeat it here since it keeps coming up.

First the demise of the 75/76 fleet is premature as you post about it here in APC. They aren't going well away for at least another 8-12 years. Maybe a few 76s get retirement from time, but plan is to keep them flying for the timeframe I mentioned.

We are getting MAX 10. For 2 reasons. One, Boeing is paying us for the late delivery schedule. ,Two Max and NEO have similar seating capacity with the MAX having lie flat. The plan is to use them on transcons and deep Caribbean central and South America flying. Max will resume much if the Caribbean flying from JFK direct to island destinations. We don't want the 7,8 or 9.

I haven't heard the more 350 sub for 330-9. It might just be rumor and nothing more.

We'll see max late 2026 early 2027. When we get them it won't be a trickle either.

Max won't be flying shorter stages as some have indicated. Maybe some ATL-MCO stuff as we can always use more capacity there. My rumor is max pays same as 757/767 rates.

As far as where our pilots are going to flow as the ER fleet is eventually wound down is anyone's guess. Mine is they go to MAX or 330/350 on the A side. I would expect our 1-2 years captains in it to be displaced to something else. They might be able to hold 73 left seat. I do see baby bus going more senior though for the left seat. I think that will likely be a function of the "combined" Airbus training i.e. limited exposure to VA Avenue.
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Old 08-18-2024, 03:28 AM
  #1303  
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Originally Posted by 170Till5
yeah I would take that bet.. last I heard is hiring 1,000/year for the next few years. DL wants to grow. Recession isn’t here and rates about to be lower
Plato Rhyne once said "we're gonna continue to hire 60 a month for the foreseeable future..." (that was the equivalent of 1,000/yr on a 9,000+ seniority list) and then we inked C2K and hiring stopped almost immediately. Bottom line, don't put too much faith in the pronouncements of management.
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Old 08-18-2024, 04:15 AM
  #1304  
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Originally Posted by FL370esq
Plato Rhyne once said "we're gonna continue to hire 60 a month for the foreseeable future..." (that was the equivalent of 1,000/yr on a 9,000+ seniority list) and then we inked C2K and hiring stopped almost immediately. Bottom line, don't put too much faith in the pronouncements of management.
it’s economy driven. If people are spending and flights are full, why would Delta stop hiring and go park planes? Rate cuts are going to drastically improve the economy.. and it’s not even bad right now
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Old 08-18-2024, 04:23 AM
  #1305  
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Originally Posted by 170Till5
it’s economy driven. If people are spending and flights are full, why would Delta stop hiring and go park planes? Rate cuts are going to drastically improve the economy.. and it’s not even bad right now
Because yields are down? The prices are being lowered to fill the planes. If the prices get low enough, the airline starts losing money.

It’s crazy to me. Our new guys think there will never be another downturn again. I’m also not as optimistic that the 757/767 or 717 fleets stay around as long as planned.
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Old 08-18-2024, 05:57 AM
  #1306  
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Can anyone that’s a junior WBA that lives in base give an idea on the credit per month you can get if willing to GS? I know it’s not easy but I’m trying to understand the allure of WBA. All my buddies that are FOs complain about being tired, long van rides, waiting on rooms, crap AC in hotels in summer, staring at the ceiling at night, just to have “dinner” at 2pm body clock in the same 6-10 cities over and over.

Or stay NBA and do transcons, no red eyes, short drives, weekends off, holidays off, etc basically everything opposite of the WBA.

I get WB commutability is great and maybe a morsel of “prestige” but what am I missing?

I can credit 90-100 as NBA without breaking a sweat. So how is it as junior WBA for pay? *I know senior WBA trumps all if flexible on schedule in terms of pay.
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Old 08-18-2024, 06:25 AM
  #1307  
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Originally Posted by Hotel Kilo
I've posted this before and will repeat it here since it keeps coming up.

First the demise of the 75/76 fleet is premature as you post about it here in APC. They aren't going well away for at least another 8-12 years. Maybe a few 76s get retirement from time, but plan is to keep them flying for the timeframe I mentioned.

We are getting MAX 10. For 2 reasons. One, Boeing is paying us for the late delivery schedule. ,Two Max and NEO have similar seating capacity with the MAX having lie flat. The plan is to use them on transcons and deep Caribbean central and South America flying. Max will resume much if the Caribbean flying from JFK direct to island destinations. We don't want the 7,8 or 9.

I haven't heard the more 350 sub for 330-9. It might just be rumor and nothing more.

We'll see max late 2026 early 2027. When we get them it won't be a trickle either.

Max won't be flying shorter stages as some have indicated. Maybe some ATL-MCO stuff as we can always use more capacity there. My rumor is max pays same as 757/767 rates.

As far as where our pilots are going to flow as the ER fleet is eventually wound down is anyone's guess. Mine is they go to MAX or 330/350 on the A side. I would expect our 1-2 years captains in it to be displaced to something else. They might be able to hold 73 left seat. I do see baby bus going more senior though for the left seat. I think that will likely be a function of the "combined" Airbus training i.e. limited exposure to VA Avenue.
You do know the NEOs are getting lie flat seats? FAA hast approved yet, but they were supposed to be flying already last January.
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Old 08-18-2024, 06:53 AM
  #1308  
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Originally Posted by marcal
Can anyone that’s a junior WBA that lives in base give an idea on the credit per month you can get if willing to GS? I know it’s not easy but I’m trying to understand the allure of WBA. All my buddies that are FOs complain about being tired, long van rides, waiting on rooms, crap AC in hotels in summer, staring at the ceiling at night, just to have “dinner” at 2pm body clock in the same 6-10 cities over and over.

Or stay NBA and do transcons, no red eyes, short drives, weekends off, holidays off, etc basically everything opposite of the WBA.

I get WB commutability is great and maybe a morsel of “prestige” but what am I missing?

I can credit 90-100 as NBA without breaking a sweat. So how is it as junior WBA for pay? *I know senior WBA trumps all if flexible on schedule in terms of pay.
Other than ego there is no good reason to bid junior WBA over senior NBA. It's a miserable existence just to pretend you have a 5th stripe. Your comment of 6-10 cities overstates the variety. A junior WBA will see 3-5 destinations depending on base.
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Old 08-18-2024, 07:04 AM
  #1309  
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Originally Posted by Hotel Kilo

We'll see max late 2026 early 2027. When we get them it won't be a trickle either.
4800 Maxes on order. Boeing makes them at 20-30/month. 737-10 uncertified. I’m in the skeptic column.

Link to charts
Wiki on 737Max deliveries
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Old 08-18-2024, 07:23 AM
  #1310  
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Originally Posted by Planetrain
4800 Maxes on order. Boeing makes them at 20-30/month. 737-10 uncertified. I’m in the skeptic column.

Link to charts
Wiki on 737Max deliveries
The MAX 7 isn’t even certified yet and at least that’s a preexisting NG airframe.

The MAX 10 doesn’t even have an equivalent flying airframe.
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