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Old 07-17-2024, 06:49 AM
  #1131  
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We can sit here and wet our pants, or look at the actual guidance Delta publishes in investor reports. There is a breakdown of all expected aircraft deliveries there.
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Old 07-17-2024, 08:20 AM
  #1132  
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Originally Posted by PilotWombat
Well, let's see. 91 awards:
  • 37 Base transfers (1 bypass)
  • 6 WBA-WBA
  • 13 WBB-WBA (1 bypass)
  • 35 NBA-WBA (7 bypasses)
Those numbers match up then, 40 open positions on the AE plus 8 bypasses. So while there were 91 total awards to a WB-A position, only 48 were actual movement. Still really good, but not 91 good.
I guess it's just a crap-ton of base changes (and a few WBA-WBA) then. There were 42 "Previous Category" WB A's. If you take 42 and the 9 WBA Bypassss from the 91 awards, the remainder is 40 - exactly the # of posted vacancies. I guess I bit off on the big number. I should have known. My apologies for distaction.
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Old 07-17-2024, 09:55 AM
  #1133  
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Originally Posted by CrazyEight
Fall '25 for 2007 and 2008, of which there are over 1000 of. They will have 18 years on the property AND hired on after massive post 9-11 stagnation. If those pilots are sick of domestic, they will take WB-A and 2014 positions will be a few years past that. Most have figured out that 99% WB-A > 15% NB-A, by a wide margin. There are also 2000 and 2001 pilots ahead of 2007 and 2008. As a percentage of the list, WB-A is still fairly small. It wouldn't take much of a percentage of 2000-2008 wanting to transition to WB-A to lock up some seats for 15 to 20 years. There were more than a few 2007 and 2008's hired in their mid-twenties.
Widebody A has already gone about 50 numbers into the South 07 hires (they were about 4750 at the time of award). Fall of 25 will see early 14s cracking 5000 on the list. With just some slight WB growth Widebody A falls to 2014s by the end of 25 easy. If not, everything has come to a screeching halt.
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Old 07-17-2024, 10:11 AM
  #1134  
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Originally Posted by Jonny Drama
… If not, everything has come to a screeching halt.
I think that’s going too far. The 763 is a flex fleet. If things simply stay flat (which still means 500 retirements annually), they will simply retire a 763 for every WB delivery. There would still be movement in that scenario. Lots of shades of grey there too.

Last edited by FangsF15; 07-17-2024 at 10:42 AM.
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Old 07-17-2024, 10:32 AM
  #1135  
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Originally Posted by CrazyEight
Fall '25 for 2007 and 2008, of which there are over 1000 of. They will have 18 years on the property AND hired on after massive post 9-11 stagnation. If those pilots are sick of domestic, they will take WB-A and 2014 positions will be a few years past that. Most have figured out that 99% WB-A > 15% NB-A, by a wide margin. There are also 2000 and 2001 pilots ahead of 2007 and 2008. As a percentage of the list, WB-A is still fairly small. It wouldn't take much of a percentage of 2000-2008 wanting to transition to WB-A to lock up some seats for 15 to 20 years. There were more than a few 2007 and 2008's hired in their mid-twenties.
Decent seniority NB-A gives a pilot much better pay and flexibility than plugish WB-A. NYC330A or NYC765A will likely hit 2014 hires next fall. Personally as a 2014 hire either of those plugish positions would be a significant pay and QOL hit. Heck there's senior WB As on FB complaining about only having a 60ish line with nothing in opentime. I imagine part of the reasoning for opening up BOS330 was to avoid NYC330A getting extremely junior similar to how unawarded NYC7ERA positions were just scrapped.
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Old 07-17-2024, 10:50 AM
  #1136  
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Originally Posted by Trip7
Decent seniority NB-A gives a pilot much better pay and flexibility than plugish WB-A. NYC330A or NYC765A will likely hit 2014 hires next fall. Personally as a 2014 hire either of those plugish positions would be a significant pay and QOL hit. Heck there's senior WB As on FB complaining about only having a 60ish line with nothing in opentime. I imagine part of the reasoning for opening up BOS330 was to avoid NYC330A getting extremely junior similar to how unawarded NYC7ERA positions were just scrapped.
What I would give to be a WB A with a 60 hour line. That's the dream.
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Old 07-17-2024, 11:00 AM
  #1137  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
I think that’s going too far. The 763 is a flex fleet. If things simply stay flat (which still means 500 retirements annually), they will simply retire a 763 for every WB delivery. There would still be movement in that scenario. Lots of shades of grey there too.
And folks forget that even a 1-1 763 to 350 or whatever replacement still brings the WB A bar lower.
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Old 07-17-2024, 11:57 AM
  #1138  
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Originally Posted by Trip7
Decent seniority NB-A gives a pilot much better pay and flexibility than plugish WB-A. NYC330A or NYC765A will likely hit 2014 hires next fall. Personally as a 2014 hire either of those plugish positions would be a significant pay and QOL hit. Heck there's senior WB As on FB complaining about only having a 60ish line with nothing in opentime. I imagine part of the reasoning for opening up BOS330 was to avoid NYC330A getting extremely junior similar to how unawarded NYC7ERA positions were just scrapped.
God forbid someone with 10 years at the Company fly as a Captain on the 330
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Old 07-17-2024, 12:49 PM
  #1139  
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Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
Got it. We’re going to grow forever and no one is ever going backwards again. Lol. You’re going to be disappointed. If the profits keep shrinking, the growth will stop.
“shrinking profits? We had record revenue, record passenger levels, record credit card revenue. Did you notice that the “profit shrinkage” was pretty close to pay raises for pilots and other employees? This is what we all hoped for, get paid more and the company is doing great still. But no let’s paint the picture of shrinking profits, woke culture destroying the company all to support a narrative. I know it’s an election year but what happened to intellectual honesty.

But carry on Hockey, you can’t hold the left seat on Mon-Wednesday doing Caribbean turns because 21 hires who are millennials and definitely woke took your upgrade somehow.

This career serves up some tough times but I feel like we are inventing problems sometimes.
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Old 07-17-2024, 03:02 PM
  #1140  
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Originally Posted by Gooner
“shrinking profits? We had record revenue, record passenger levels, record credit card revenue. Did you notice that the “profit shrinkage” was pretty close to pay raises for pilots and other employees? This is what we all hoped for, get paid more and the company is doing great still. But no let’s paint the picture of shrinking profits, woke culture destroying the company all to support a narrative. I know it’s an election year but what happened to intellectual honesty.

But carry on Hockey, you can’t hold the left seat on Mon-Wednesday doing Caribbean turns because 21 hires who are millennials and definitely woke took your upgrade somehow.

This career serves up some tough times but I feel like we are inventing problems sometimes.
some of the lost profits is from CC. Skymiles are devalued and so is status. People aren’t staying loyal to Delta due to 4th floor devaluing Delta Status for pax
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