Prepare yourselves… 2023 AEs
11-19-2023, 02:32 PM
#5921
Moderator
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Position: DAL 330
Posts: 6,990
The stickied post is locked, so I thought I'd update it here for the nov AE.
Nov AE Plug
WB A 449X, 26.8% (Note: Non NYC 330 plug 345X, 20.7%)
WB B 129XX, 77.4% (Note: 2 awards higher than plug was 117XX, 70.0%)
NB A 145XX, 87.0%
NB A is holding rock solid at 87%, for 5 AE's now. Also, when you toss out two statistcal outliers (in parenthesis above), this AE is very much in line with the recent trends bolded above: 1.) WB B, which has a mere 2 awards junior to the runing avarage, with huge gap of nearly 1000 numbeers in those last 2 awards. IOW, if that last award didn't happen, it would be right where the average has been 2.) NYC 330A, which had so dang many vacancies in a very unpopular base.
All that said, with future deliveries and some growth, I do think the WB A will drop below both historical and recent trends (don't call it a wall!
). 2007 hires can almost taste it. I'm still not sure 2014 hires will see WB A in the next 22 months, but I'm much less sure than I was a couple months/AE's ago. I'll say it again, I'd love to be wrong, and for Trip's optimism to bear fruit. A rising tide lifts all boats.
Nov AE Plug
WB A 449X, 26.8% (Note: Non NYC 330 plug 345X, 20.7%)
WB B 129XX, 77.4% (Note: 2 awards higher than plug was 117XX, 70.0%)
NB A 145XX, 87.0%
NB A is holding rock solid at 87%, for 5 AE's now. Also, when you toss out two statistcal outliers (in parenthesis above), this AE is very much in line with the recent trends bolded above: 1.) WB B, which has a mere 2 awards junior to the runing avarage, with huge gap of nearly 1000 numbeers in those last 2 awards. IOW, if that last award didn't happen, it would be right where the average has been 2.) NYC 330A, which had so dang many vacancies in a very unpopular base.
All that said, with future deliveries and some growth, I do think the WB A will drop below both historical and recent trends (don't call it a wall!
). 2007 hires can almost taste it. I'm still not sure 2014 hires will see WB A in the next 22 months, but I'm much less sure than I was a couple months/AE's ago. I'll say it again, I'd love to be wrong, and for Trip's optimism to bear fruit. A rising tide lifts all boats.I just updated the sticky thread - thanks for the information.
Scoop
11-28-2023, 06:44 AM
#5924
Line Holder
Joined APC: Apr 2013
Posts: 56
Any ideas on when the next AE will be published. Still nothing, it's rediculous.....
11-28-2023, 07:22 AM
#5926
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2009
Position: Middle Seat
Posts: 1,225
The poster just got off probation a few months ago, has to know the lay of the land by now.
12-04-2023, 05:04 AM
#5929
Moderator
Joined APC: Sep 2011
Posts: 4,792
Dec 4 AE memo out. 47 NY 330 A, 47 other WB A. 94 Total.
That NY 330 category is clearrly growing bigly, and based on the last AE, will likely drive the juniority of WB A down evern further.
That NY 330 category is clearrly growing bigly, and based on the last AE, will likely drive the juniority of WB A down evern further.
12-04-2023, 05:04 AM
#5930
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2011
Position: Hoping for any position
Posts: 2,519
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
