Prepare yourselves… 2023 AEs
11-15-2023, 06:36 AM
#5871
Moderator
Joined APC: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,806
That's the shangri-la of staffing and it's always felt very fleeting here. My category was well staffed over the last few years (but still plenty of GS), but we've gone from good to bad, yet they keep not backfilling on these AE's. Enjoy decent staffing while it lasts lol. I'm with you, I much prefer good staffing that allows for easy dropping/swapping with only the occasional GS to cover short notice stuff.
11-15-2023, 08:03 AM
#5872
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Posts: 5,594
The stickied post is locked, so I thought I'd update it here for the nov AE.
Nov AE Plug
WB A 449X, 26.8% (Note: Non NYC 330 plug 345X, 20.7%)
WB B 129XX, 77.4% (Note: 2 awards higher than plug was 117XX, 70.0%)
NB A 145XX, 87.0%
NB A is holding rock solid at 87%, for 5 AE's now. Also, when you toss out two statistcal outliers (in parenthesis above), this AE is very much in line with the recent trends bolded above: 1.) WB B, which has a mere 2 awards junior to the runing avarage, with huge gap of nearly 1000 numbeers in those last 2 awards. IOW, if that last award didn't happen, it would be right where the average has been 2.) NYC 330A, which had so dang many vacancies in a very unpopular base.
All that said, with future deliveries and some growth, I do think the WB A will drop below both historical and recent trends (don't call it a wall!
). 2007 hires can almost taste it. I'm still not sure 2014 hires will see WB A in the next 22 months, but I'm much less sure than I was a couple months/AE's ago. I'll say it again, I'd love to be wrong, and for Trip's optimism to bear fruit. A rising tide lifts all boats.
Nov AE Plug
WB A 449X, 26.8% (Note: Non NYC 330 plug 345X, 20.7%)
WB B 129XX, 77.4% (Note: 2 awards higher than plug was 117XX, 70.0%)
NB A 145XX, 87.0%
NB A is holding rock solid at 87%, for 5 AE's now. Also, when you toss out two statistcal outliers (in parenthesis above), this AE is very much in line with the recent trends bolded above: 1.) WB B, which has a mere 2 awards junior to the runing avarage, with huge gap of nearly 1000 numbeers in those last 2 awards. IOW, if that last award didn't happen, it would be right where the average has been 2.) NYC 330A, which had so dang many vacancies in a very unpopular base.
All that said, with future deliveries and some growth, I do think the WB A will drop below both historical and recent trends (don't call it a wall!
). 2007 hires can almost taste it. I'm still not sure 2014 hires will see WB A in the next 22 months, but I'm much less sure than I was a couple months/AE's ago. I'll say it again, I'd love to be wrong, and for Trip's optimism to bear fruit. A rising tide lifts all boats.Im going to repeat my call with more conviction and specificity as I think a 350-1000 order is coming soon... within 22 months a 2014 hire will hold NYC765A and/or NYC330A. As the 350 fleet expands and gets more variety, more pilots will be waiting for that fleet, especially with the allure of being in command of a 350-1000 climbing out of JNB or SYD
11-15-2023, 08:31 AM
#5873
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2011
Position: Scratching my head in the right seat of a Douglas product
Posts: 239
How far out have people typically been getting training assigned? I am still waiting from the OCT AE. Just a right to left short course.
11-15-2023, 08:32 AM
#5874
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Joined APC: Sep 2015
Position: UNA
Posts: 4,630
if we continue to take 330 deliveries and use them in NYC I think you are right.
how is that any different than doing the exact same thing we currently do in a -900?
11-15-2023, 09:14 AM
#5877
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Posts: 5,594
our management has balked twice at an A35j order. We seem to have a very stubborn management who is only willing to buy on their terms in what is very much a seller’s market. Especially since we seem they are only willing to buy from one airframe manufacturer which limits us to one engine manufacturer.
if we continue to take 330 deliveries and use them in NYC I think you are right.
how is that any different than doing the exact same thing we currently do in a -900?
if we continue to take 330 deliveries and use them in NYC I think you are right.
how is that any different than doing the exact same thing we currently do in a -900?
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