Prepare yourselves… 2023 AEs

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11-03-2023, 11:23 AM

#5661

tunes

Gets Weekends Off

Joined APC: Nov 2011

Posts: 4,535

Quote:

Originally Posted by JamesBond

So they say THIS, and it is something that you can count on.

Fascinating

yeah, go with the double down, good play

11-03-2023, 12:32 PM

#5662

Lifeisgood

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Joined APC: Sep 2006

Posts: 1,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scoop

35 330A in NYC. Seems like a lot - I wonder how low it will go?

Scoop

5100!!! Think good thoughts!

11-03-2023, 12:50 PM

#5663

CX500T

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Joined APC: Nov 2017

Position: NYC 7ERA

Posts: 2,054

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lifeisgood

5100!!! Think good thoughts!

5150

Think VanHagar

11-03-2023, 12:59 PM

#5664

Nantonaku

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Joined APC: Dec 2013

Posts: 2,301

Quote:

Originally Posted by JamesBond

What they will probably do is go back to mega bids instead of monthly. They control the process.

I could see that happening too but it would probably make more people gamble on a bypass and screw up their numbers more than these monthly bids.

11-03-2023, 01:41 PM

#5665

FangsF15

Moderator

Joined APC: Sep 2011

Posts: 4,807

Quote:

Originally Posted by CX500T

5150

Think VanHagar

That’s funny right there!

11-03-2023, 02:00 PM

#5666

JamesBond

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Joined APC: May 2015

Position: A350 Both

Posts: 7,292

Quote:

Originally Posted by tcco94

You’re right. Hiring will screech to a halt in 2 months. Huge displacement bid Q1 2024.

finally something typed that you can agree with on this forum

I didn't say that. I didn't even suggest it.

But it's nothing you have to worry about.

11-03-2023, 02:01 PM

#5667

Hotel Kilo

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Joined APC: Jan 2023

Posts: 1,511

Quote:

Originally Posted by CX500T

5150

Think VanHagar

Don't lock me up brah!

#GoFlex (for WB A)

11-03-2023, 02:02 PM

#5668

JamesBond

Gets Weekends Off

Joined APC: May 2015

Position: A350 Both

Posts: 7,292

Quote:

Originally Posted by tunes

yeah, go with the double down, good play

LOL Some of ya'lll crack me up.

11-03-2023, 02:04 PM

#5669

tennisguru

Roll’n Thunder

Joined APC: Oct 2009

Position: Pilot

Posts: 3,835

I think overall seniority percentage is the only proper way to judge a "wall". A 4000 number seniority pilot today is not the same as a 4000 number pilot when we had 10k pilots. Given how WBA has been in the ~23% range, I'd call hitting 25% to be a mini-wall. Consistently hitting 30%, probably more like 33% as a nice 1/3 number, to be a real wall falling showing true growth in WBA positions.

11-03-2023, 02:07 PM

#5670

Hotel Kilo

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Joined APC: Jan 2023

Posts: 1,511

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jonny Drama

I’ll help carry Trip’s water a bit. We had already seen 765A fall to 4000 pre Covid. Our Widebody fleet will be significantly larger by the end of 2025 than it was in 2019. The Seniority list could be at least 15% larger by then as well. I believe 330/765/350 at 5500 is pretty realistic by the end of 2025. And 5500 at the end of 2025 would be close to 2015s.

edited

Ok, I'm in the WB fleet, and I'm curious what you mean by "WB fleet will be significantly larger" Those orders on book in 2025 are replacements, not growth aircraft. Please elaborate your thesis here.