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Old 06-21-2023, 09:31 AM
  #3151  
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Originally Posted by Tropical
Just like they did to those above them back in the 80s and 90s.

I also doubt many pilots below 40, in my age group, plan to work to 60 much less 67. We have been investing aggressively and value work life balance, unlike the older group.
lots of people will say they’ll leave early. Very few healthy pilots actually do
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Old 06-21-2023, 09:32 AM
  #3152  
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Originally Posted by Buck Rogers
I'm not sure the relevant question is whether they stay or don't stay. I would think the more important metric would be, "What is the perceived impact".
Last time compared to this time......

You are talking 2 years not 5.
You are talking massive retirements vice paltry retirements
You are talking current massive hiring compared to virtually none before due to economic malaise.
You are talking great wages compared to 46% pay cuts.(pro and/or con...cuts both ways)

To me, the concer may be the same(stagnation) but it won't play out like last time. It would be more of a slowing of hiring and progression.... might not be the current "Full speed ahead", or "Flank speed ahead".... but more like " Half ahead, both engines"

The issue here is that you assume the junior folks will never face any headwinds. I don't know how you square that while pointing to all the bad times the older generation faced. Single pilot, cabatoge, WW3... If the last few years has taught us anything, it shows we have no idea what the future has in store. We were lucky the gov stepped in last time, who knows if they will again.
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Old 06-21-2023, 09:40 AM
  #3153  
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Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
Met a captain on my deadhead the other day who was retiring in a couple months at 56. The guy was super healthy, flew domestic his entire career, happy as could be. I invest aggressively so that hopefully I can one day be like this. The thought of working until 67 makes me shudder!! (But if others want to, then go for it)
I'm of the same thought, as my original plan is setup to retire when I hit 57, when I get my Guard pension. But I've shifted to a, work less and enjoy life now, type of mindset (when I'm more physically able). That will likely mean working longer in life (or maybe not...we'll see), just at a reduced rate over the span of my entire career. My old man worked hard his whole life, then died of cancer less than 2 years into retirement (at age 65)...Carpe diem gents!
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Old 06-21-2023, 09:54 AM
  #3154  
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I always figured I’d retire the day I walk through my front door and say “yeah that’s enough”. 55, 64.5, don’t know. My goal is to be in the spot to retire anywhere above 55. If I can drop most stuff then woohoo. If it’s 75 hours a month, I’m out.
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Old 06-21-2023, 10:14 AM
  #3155  
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Originally Posted by TED74
This isn’t a stagnation concern, it’s dreading the race to the bottom of just how long one has to stay at the grindstone to achieve their career zenith.
Exactly. Of course those at their zenith want to stay there another 2 years.

This now causes me to reevaluate my plan is it worth to hang around another 2 years to get to the same place I would have otherwise been.
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:07 AM
  #3156  
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Originally Posted by SideStickMonkey
Exactly. Of course those at their zenith want to stay there another 2 years.

This now causes me to reevaluate my plan is it worth to hang around another 2 years to get to the same place I would have otherwise been.
What is your zenith?

Is it a money thing or a destination thing or a plane thing?

For those that say "enough is enough", even if you are delayed, you wouldn't have to work very long(coupla/few months) to be where your zenith would have taken you money wise. Especially with pay banding.(Which BTW helps the newer pilots much more than the more senior pilots).(Any college educated pilot could understand and acknowledge this as someone previously said)
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:08 AM
  #3157  
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What's everyone's best guess on junior captain on this small AE? I my guess is a 2021 hire.
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:17 AM
  #3158  
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Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
What's everyone's best guess on junior captain on this small AE? I my guess is a 2021 hire.
Nothing surprises me anymore. Junior A on this bid will be a February 2023 hire.
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:38 AM
  #3159  
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Originally Posted by Buck Rogers
What is your zenith?

Is it a money thing or a destination thing or a plane thing?

For those that say "enough is enough", even if you are delayed, you wouldn't have to work very long(coupla/few months) to be where your zenith would have taken you money wise. Especially with pay banding.(Which BTW helps the newer pilots much more than the more senior pilots).(Any college educated pilot could understand and acknowledge this as someone previously said)
No matter what one’s zenith might be (pay, schedule control, aircraft, destinations, layovers), age extension delays that zenith for all but a small few - a few few whose zenith is only elongated (so to speak).

I have a decent education. It’s not clear to me how pay banding is universally better for younger or newer pilots. That is, unless you’re of the school that believes any contractual benefit is weighted toward newbies who will have more time to exploit that benefit…which is simultaneously ridiculous and obvious.
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Old 06-21-2023, 11:58 AM
  #3160  
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Originally Posted by Dayzzofff
The bill in question references Age 67 and 364 days. That is 2.997 years which rounds to 3 years, not 2.
The amendment to the house bill says “until 67 years of age.” So at least now it’s just 2 years
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