Prepare Yourselves… 2022 AEs
01-07-2022, 08:48 PM
#463
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2019
Posts: 1,068
As near as I can tell, when he references a deadline by day of the week (like AE results for example) he’s secretly referencing Pi. Take his estimate and add 3.14 days and you’ve got a pretty accurate date. When speaking in monthly terms you have to factor in the gravitational constant of the universe. Divide Pi by 9.81 and you get approximately 0.32. Add this in months to his estimate and round up to the nearest month and voila. Late February or early March. The man is a genius.
01-08-2022, 09:06 AM
#464
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Joined APC: Apr 2006
Position: Slingin' Gear and Drinkin' Beer
Posts: 598
So what are everyone’s guesses for junior captain in each base/fleet? Obviously 220/717 will trend junior, but do you think 320/737/7ER will go crazy junior?
01-08-2022, 09:15 AM
#465
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2020
Posts: 2,469
NYC 320 isn’t markedly more senior than 220 IIRC. With 155 jets coming over the next few years, I don’t think it’ll be that much more senior than the small narrowbodies. 737 might be about equal when the used 900s come online. I think any NYC NB A will be attainable in about 2 years. ER not included in the calculus. I also think NB A will be more junior than WB B for a good while. 765 is hard to tell, much more junior than 330, with more domestic flying, but 330 fleet will grow over the next few years and perhaps help level the gap between them seniority wise.
01-08-2022, 09:23 AM
#466
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,138
Both of those are now not the case. The planes are sticking around longer as a “flex fleet”, and they recently announced a decent amount of increased international.
I don’t think it will go as junior given the turn of events. Maybe I’m wrong.
The 737 is loud and uncomfortable and the 320 trips are horrendous in NYC so they’ll both vie for being junior. The A220 has vastly better trips than the 320 but for $20-25 less per hour.
01-08-2022, 09:41 AM
#467
Moderator
Joined APC: Sep 2011
Posts: 4,990
On the bid last spring when 5-7 year guys were awarded 7ER Captain, the airplane was “going to be retired sooner rather than later”, and there was basically no international flying with a few small exceptions.
Both of those are now not the case. The planes are sticking around longer as a “flex fleet”, and they recently announced a decent amount of increased international.
I don’t think it will go as junior given the turn of events. Maybe I’m wrong.
Both of those are now not the case. The planes are sticking around longer as a “flex fleet”, and they recently announced a decent amount of increased international.
I don’t think it will go as junior given the turn of events. Maybe I’m wrong.
01-08-2022, 09:47 AM
#468
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2016
Posts: 393
NYC 320 isn’t markedly more senior than 220 IIRC. With 155 jets coming over the next few years, I don’t think it’ll be that much more senior than the small narrowbodies. 737 might be about equal when the used 900s come online. I think any NYC NB A will be attainable in about 2 years. ER not included in the calculus. I also think NB A will be more junior than WB B for a good while. 765 is hard to tell, much more junior than 330, with more domestic flying, but 330 fleet will grow over the next few years and perhaps help level the gap between them seniority wise.
01-08-2022, 11:49 AM
#469
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2010
Posts: 631
Itll be interesting to see with the 330 and 350 going forward if people avoid those with all the intl covid restrictions (namely Australia and asia) or if that doesn't affect bidding much. Going to Europe loses a lot of the appeal when you can't get out and enjoy the sights as much. But who knows.
IMO: so long as domestic flying stays as undesirable as it has been since FAR117, WB positions will continue to be relatively senior regardless of covid regs.
01-08-2022, 11:58 AM
#470
Line Holder
Joined APC: Apr 2011
Posts: 32
That is debatable. Being stuck in the hotel days in end is getting really old. The domestic flying may be a pain but you can still go out.
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