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Old 06-18-2022, 09:13 AM
  #671  
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Originally Posted by gloopy
They don't care at all about a conventional land invasion. EU is a paper tiger, China is too plus they'd never invade them anyway and the US would go Ch 7 quickly if we even attempted an unwinnable blunder as stupid as that.



I don't think its so much territorial restoration for the reasons you mentioned, but a combination of egotistical manifest destiny...he fancies himself a modern day Alexander the Great (among others)...and an socio-economical desire to protect that he (and many in his country) see as their countrymen as well as getting control of any additional amount of food or energy materials and infrastructure.



He very well may think that but he'd be wrong. The clear military blunders he made were the direct result of the long obsolete military-industrial/war college insanity that still thinks old school armor and artillery is how future wars will be won. All they are in reality are nation/economy busting, resource draining, supply chain and logistics nightmares that only serve to present extremely expensive and comically easy targets to be busted by asymmetrically cheaper opposition. Gary Heart of all people tried to warn us of this nonsense decades ago but also warned that its an expensive, obsolete paradigm that will take a very long time and die very hard.



I don't think so. This is just another big statist war machine version of the "domino theory" that tried to justify the insanity of the US going into Viet Nam and even WWI. There is zero danger of him trying to roll tanks into (actual) Europe and "taking over the world" and even if there was such a danger (which there isn't) why aren't the imbeciles in Europe who have been leeching off our military for 3+ generations finally capable of defending themselves from a significantly depleted obsolete conventional force that one ill equipped nation is giving them an extremely hard time with?



There's zero chance either could defeat the other and still have a standing economy. And even if we "won" we'd lose as threatening to take over their nation with a Western dominating victory (even if achievable which it isn't) would push them deep into the envelope where people in bunkers or subs would be turning keys.



Right. And likewise if we threaten to "defeat" them and back them into a corner.



Again, disagree. There is no credible "domino theory" at play here. Moving toy tank and artillery pieces around on a WWII style map is played out nonsense. No one is on the verge of taking over the world here. Both economies are fragile, but every move we're making is ultimately weakening the vulnerable petro-dollar we've desperately become dependent upon for our very existence.

Good times make weak societies and we've had it ridiculously good for a long time and have gotten very arrogant, ungrateful, soft, hyper dependent and entitled about it.
Well, you’re also disagreeing with a handful of renowned geopolitical strategist. Namely Peter Zeihan and George Friedman. But you do you.
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Old 06-18-2022, 11:51 AM
  #672  
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How bout that crypto?
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Old 06-18-2022, 01:31 PM
  #673  
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Originally Posted by mispoken
How bout that crypto?
There's certainly Blood in the Streets.

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Old 06-18-2022, 04:06 PM
  #674  
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Originally Posted by Trip7
There's certainly Blood in the Streets.

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At least you could add tulip bulbs to your salad....
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Old 06-18-2022, 04:25 PM
  #675  
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Originally Posted by Trip7
There's certainly Blood in the Streets.

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What’s the latest on the investing contest that you guys were running on here? Aren’t we do for an update?
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Old 06-18-2022, 05:04 PM
  #676  
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Originally Posted by blue vortex
What’s the latest on the investing contest that you guys were running on here? Aren’t we do for an update?
As much as it will pain me to post my 12 month results, I believe the updates happen at the end of June. Most of the blood in the streets will be from yours truly and it ain’t from crypto. It’s gonna be a loooooooong climb back to the top for me!
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Old 06-18-2022, 05:12 PM
  #677  
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Originally Posted by JustNarced
It looks like #1 is in play.

Most countries in the EU are willing to carve up Ukraine vs hold a line in the sand. If so, expect Russian oil back on the market, cruise and airline stocks to soar. China still an unknown, but the US is increasingly stepping back from direct military conflict with China over Taiwan, adopting an approach more like they did in Ukraine.

This explains the bearishness on oil. I am always amazed how traders stay ahead of official US policy shifts.

https://rmx.news/european-union/publ...ussian-defeat/
It doesn’t sound like Washington wants anything more than a continuous war. Why else would we send 80 billion after sending 40 billion? We don’t even have any clue where this money went but it got spent(Listen to Krystal and Sagaar’s Breaking Points). Europe is in shambles and despite what the media reports the Russians have been kicking butt and taking names. They are taking all of eastern Ukraine - end of story. Do you think our war-mongering overlords are going to accept that? Everything our government touches turns to ruin. The Russia Ruble is doing great and their main export, oil, is at an all time high. Good plan we worked out over there…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas...=1000566996643
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Old 06-18-2022, 06:19 PM
  #678  
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Originally Posted by blue vortex
What’s the latest on the investing contest that you guys were running on here? Aren’t we do for an update?
2Q is complete at the end of June so will give a full update then. HEAVY allocation in Energy plus leverage with $BTU LEAPS so I'm up over 20% YTD in Brokerage and 16% in 401k. BABA is still slacking so that's added some headwinds.

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Old 06-18-2022, 06:21 PM
  #679  
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Originally Posted by NuGuy
At least you could add tulip bulbs to your salad....
Haha, good point!

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Old 06-18-2022, 07:03 PM
  #680  
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Originally Posted by Nantonaku
It doesn’t sound like Washington wants anything more than a continuous war. Why else would we send 80 billion after sending 40 billion? We don’t even have any clue where this money went but it got spent(Listen to Krystal and Sagaar’s Breaking Points). Europe is in shambles and despite what the media reports the Russians have been kicking butt and taking names. They are taking all of eastern Ukraine - end of story. Do you think our war-mongering overlords are going to accept that? Everything our government touches turns to ruin. The Russia Ruble is doing great and their main export, oil, is at an all time high. Good plan we worked out over there…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas...=1000566996643
From what i understand of this stupid war- sometime about now russia has lost so much material that they have to stop exporting hardware for a while. This supposedly cripples china and iran. I dont know if its true, but thats the excuse being passed around.
​​​​​​
trump gets re elected or even desantis, i would bet we are done with this crap in 60 days and ukraine sues for peace or holds what theyve got. Either way, i dont think this is our circus.
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