5 year Market Outlook opinions
06-15-2022, 03:12 AM
#651
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2022
Position: :)
Posts: 464
This is definitely not advice, however there are a few articles floating around as of late. In summary, of the past 10 out of 12 bear markets, those who have invested AFTER entering a bear market have returned, on average, 22% within a year.
Also listened to a commentary where one investor is still shorting and in cash. He says too early and he would rather miss the appetizer and show up for the main course. If going forward is anything like 2008, the worse the news get the higher stocks will go as the Fed typically gets more dovish. Maybe things will be different this time.
DYODD.
Also listened to a commentary where one investor is still shorting and in cash. He says too early and he would rather miss the appetizer and show up for the main course. If going forward is anything like 2008, the worse the news get the higher stocks will go as the Fed typically gets more dovish. Maybe things will be different this time.
DYODD.
06-15-2022, 04:53 AM
#652
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Posts: 5,602
This is definitely not advice, however there are a few articles floating around as of late. In summary, of the past 10 out of 12 bear markets, those who have invested AFTER entering a bear market have returned, on average, 22% within a year.
Also listened to a commentary where one investor is still shorting and in cash. He says too early and he would rather miss the appetizer and show up for the main course. If going forward is anything like 2008, the worse the news get the higher stocks will go as the Fed typically gets more dovish. Maybe things will be different this time.
DYODD.
Also listened to a commentary where one investor is still shorting and in cash. He says too early and he would rather miss the appetizer and show up for the main course. If going forward is anything like 2008, the worse the news get the higher stocks will go as the Fed typically gets more dovish. Maybe things will be different this time.
DYODD.
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06-15-2022, 06:45 AM
#653
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,544
LOL sure. The USD will go to zero before BTC will. The post-WWII Marshall Plan fantasy crack pipe high is wearing off. FWIW I've seen credible, actual data based, models showing significant additional downside for BTC to near half current levels for this current cycle. Which would still be 4X its previous price of a few years ago when it was last "going to zero". Weak hands will be shook and accumulation will begin again, most likely with higher highs and higher lows. Not investment advice of course, so if you want to short it to zero have at it.
06-15-2022, 01:46 PM
#655
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2020
Position: Enoch Powell Enthusiast
Posts: 2,283
Given today's interest rate hike, I'd like to remind everyone that experts (and adults) are in control and know exactly what they're doing.
Here's a prediction from the man himself, Jerome Powell, from last year:
Here's a prediction from the man himself, Jerome Powell, from last year:
06-16-2022, 09:47 AM
#656
Line Holder
Joined APC: Dec 2021
Posts: 60
For those that have been around awhile, what has historically been a furlough cutoff during a downturn? Ie bottom 10,20,30%?
06-16-2022, 10:03 AM
#658
Roll’n Thunder
Joined APC: Oct 2009
Position: Pilot
Posts: 3,838
Just to be clear, those above the cut line are not completely protected from furlough, but there are more onerous requirements that the company would have to abide by if they furloughed that deep.
06-16-2022, 10:11 AM
#659
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2013
Posts: 2,303
Why would BTC at 0 end the chaos? It costs a lot more to build a house now than it did compared to 2019. And there is still a massive housing shortage. The only thing that would end most of the carnage is cheaper oil and that isn’t going to happen until a recession causes a massive consumption drop. At a minimum hiring is going to stop this fall/winter. Hopefully we don’t start furloughing next year.
06-16-2022, 10:13 AM
#660
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2015
Position: Gramercy Riffs
Posts: 528
Delta furloughed 1360 of ~10200 after 9/11 so roughly the bottom 15%. Nobody knows if, when or how deep the next furlough will be.
Live well within your means and never assume the good times will last and you’ll be fine.
Live well within your means and never assume the good times will last and you’ll be fine.
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