5 year Market Outlook opinions
#421
Meanwhile over in the world of income producing real estate, we keep raising rent to match inflation and tenants keep paying. The loan payments are the same as always, so even with increased operating expenses, we are keeping 50-75 cents of every additional dollar in rent. It's as if the government and central banks were helping out people who borrowed money to buy assets.
Use $1 to buy $4 of real estate and 10% inflation becomes a 40% gain. If you keep the asset, 10% inflation boosts cash flow by 40%. And for the best situation of all, you do a non-recourse cash out refi, take all your money off the table, keep the asset for an infinite ROI.
Use $1 to buy $4 of real estate and 10% inflation becomes a 40% gain. If you keep the asset, 10% inflation boosts cash flow by 40%. And for the best situation of all, you do a non-recourse cash out refi, take all your money off the table, keep the asset for an infinite ROI.
#422
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2021
Posts: 274
Meanwhile over in the world of income producing real estate, we keep raising rent to match inflation and tenants keep paying. The loan payments are the same as always, so even with increased operating expenses, we are keeping 50-75 cents of every additional dollar in rent. It's as if the government and central banks were helping out people who borrowed money to buy assets.
Use $1 to buy $4 of real estate and 10% inflation becomes a 40% gain. If you keep the asset, 10% inflation boosts cash flow by 40%. And for the best situation of all, you do a non-recourse cash out refi, take all your money off the table, keep the asset for an infinite ROI.
Use $1 to buy $4 of real estate and 10% inflation becomes a 40% gain. If you keep the asset, 10% inflation boosts cash flow by 40%. And for the best situation of all, you do a non-recourse cash out refi, take all your money off the table, keep the asset for an infinite ROI.
former landlord
#423
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 1,760
YMMV
Seriously, the investment property fairy has been golden for some, nightmares for others. Tends to strike those indiscriminately.
#424
Stock never needs new carpeting, appliances, air conditioners. Never has concrete poured down the toilets (real story), lightbulbs glued into the sockets, evictions where the evicted kids tell your kids’ schoolmates their Dad is kicking out their family and is evil (even though the utilities had been cut 4 months ago and they’ve been using a 5-gallon bucket as a bathroom, rent unpaid for months, etc)….
YMMV
Seriously, the investment property fairy has been golden for some, nightmares for others. Tends to strike those indiscriminately.
YMMV
Seriously, the investment property fairy has been golden for some, nightmares for others. Tends to strike those indiscriminately.
Pilots should be in something with more scale, like large, commercial, Multifamily Real Estate, particularly in a limited partnership with an experienced General Partner.
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#425
The RE tax is no joke and represents a significant portion of annual expenses. Utilities, insurance, repairs and property management costs are also up 17%. All of the combined expenses represent approximately 35% of revenue on our storage facilities and 50% of revenue on the multi-family assets. Rents went from $1000 to $1,170. Expenses went from $350 to $410 (17% increase). Net operating income increased from $650 to $760. Debt service is fixed based on the original loan terms, so cash flow increased by $110. The taxes aren't due yesterday, they are due annually and we accrue accordingly.
Stock never needs new carpeting, appliances, air conditioners. Never has concrete poured down the toilets (real story), lightbulbs glued into the sockets, evictions where the evicted kids tell your kids’ schoolmates their Dad is kicking out their family and is evil (even though the utilities had been cut 4 months ago and they’ve been using a 5-gallon bucket as a bathroom, rent unpaid for months, etc)….
YMMV
YMMV
Carpeting, appliances and air conditioners are all factored into property reserves. In fact, even the occasional sewer pipe and electrical repairs are accrued. The concrete, glue and evictions are real. It's a law of large numbers and with enough residential tenants there will be problems. Good screening reduces the likelihood of problem tenants. Timely communication from an effective manager reduces dramatic occurrences. Professional "problem tenants" are experts at exploiting amateur landlords. Growing the portfolio reduces the impact of a few bad actors. Most of the horror stories come from accidental landlords or hobby investors who get taken advantage of.
The indiscriminate nature of the property fairy is only a mystery to those who don't understand asset selection and property management.
As an alternative to stocks, real estate syndications can provide 80-90% of the financial benefits including tax savings without any of the management hassle or responsibility. Steer clear of fee laden crowdsourced deals and you can do well.
#426
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2016
Posts: 6,733
Man I just spend all my money on dumb **** instead of trying to build an empire. Maybe I’m missing out just being a passive investor
#427
High income earners like Airline pilots should not be in Single Family Residential real estate where a single door doesn't justify a management company and self management is not worth your time.
Pilots should be in something with more scale, like large, commercial, Multifamily Real Estate, particularly in a limited partnership with an experienced General Partner.
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Pilots should be in something with more scale, like large, commercial, Multifamily Real Estate, particularly in a limited partnership with an experienced General Partner.
Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk
Even with years of experience acquiring, developing and managing real estate, investing as LPs with reputable GPs is becoming a large portion the portfolio. When you are a highly paid professional, do what you do (fly airplanes) and pay an expert for skills in their profession like finding/managing real estate.
#428
Banned
Joined APC: Jun 2021
Posts: 794
As far as BABA, majority of my LEAP purchases has been with the stock in the $150 range. I continue to buy BABA shares and LEAPS as the stock is absurdly undervalued. I currently value BABA at $372 a share minimum.
As as what I trying to tell you or the group, I'm simply just sharing stock market commentary and perspective on a thread that's call 5 year Market Outlook, which I believe is appropriate for the venue. I will continue to share perspectives especially when (not IF) BABA starts to run towards $300. Again, if you do good valuation work, the market will reward you in the long term
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As as what I trying to tell you or the group, I'm simply just sharing stock market commentary and perspective on a thread that's call 5 year Market Outlook, which I believe is appropriate for the venue. I will continue to share perspectives especially when (not IF) BABA starts to run towards $300. Again, if you do good valuation work, the market will reward you in the long term
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https://twitter.com/alifarhat79/status/1500069717314256896?s=20&t=lJ3xfFh6EdiXTXhJo4ztpQ
#429
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2015
Position: LAX ER
Posts: 1,606
What’s funny about the negative talk of ARKK is Cathie invests heavily into growth stocks and while they are very volatile, she has still strategically averaged down on some of these positions. I just think some of the backlash is shortsighted negativity, largely by the likes of the tabloids like Jim Cramer, who he himself has had worse advice than going off what Cathie is buying.
I don’t own ARKK but I have a few positions Cathie invests heavily in that are down significantly over the last 2 quarters. If you’re invested in the same portfolio style as ARKK and worried about this short decline I think you have the wrong strategy with these stocks. Just my opinion.
I don’t own ARKK but I have a few positions Cathie invests heavily in that are down significantly over the last 2 quarters. If you’re invested in the same portfolio style as ARKK and worried about this short decline I think you have the wrong strategy with these stocks. Just my opinion.
#430
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 1,760
Anyone think crude will break $180/bb?
I don’t see how 50-seaters will be profitable over the coming months. This will be a huge headwind for all the airlines, but the RJ operators for sure.
The 2008 snap back was pretty fast. Wonder if we’ll see the same.
I don’t see how 50-seaters will be profitable over the coming months. This will be a huge headwind for all the airlines, but the RJ operators for sure.
The 2008 snap back was pretty fast. Wonder if we’ll see the same.
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