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Old 10-12-2020, 06:46 AM
  #541  
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Originally Posted by Drum
Posted in another thread:

7 day average TSA numbers 5 Oct - 11 Oct 2020 = 819,383
7 day average TSA numbers 5 Oct - 11 Oct 2019 = 2,367,428

Although 2020 numbers a increasing, we are still a long way from 2019, even 2018. Right now at 34% of last years numbers.

We still have a long way to go.....but at least we are trending in correct direction
Yep. To the OP, I bet we break 1.1M by the end of the year; likely over the holidays (Thanksgiving or Christmas, or both).
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Old 10-12-2020, 06:51 AM
  #542  
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It is encouraging that the numbers continue to increase even in the headwinds of no vaccine and a high infection rate plateau.
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Old 10-12-2020, 06:52 AM
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65-70% for summer 2021...or is that too ambitious?
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Old 10-12-2020, 07:05 AM
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Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
65-70% for summer 2021...or is that too ambitious?

Not at all too ambitious. More and more countries are seeing how lockdowns aren’t helping anything; the spread, their economies, etc. Combine that with the WHO now stating lockdowns don’t work, I think we see good gains by the end of the year which sets up better than expected growth next year. Lastly, Europe’s “second wave” is just an increase in cases and largely an insignificant increase in deaths (relative to what they’ve seen before).

Death is what truly scared people in the beginning. As more and more news about no huge increases in deaths percolates throughout the world, I think we’ll see people desire to get moving again.
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Old 10-12-2020, 07:13 AM
  #545  
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Originally Posted by WhiskeyDelta
Not at all too ambitious. More and more countries are seeing how lockdowns aren’t helping anything; the spread, their economies, etc. Combine that with the WHO now stating lockdowns don’t work, I think we see good gains by the end of the year which sets up better than expected growth next year. Lastly, Europe’s “second wave” is just an increase in cases and largely an insignificant increase in deaths (relative to what they’ve seen before).

Death is what truly scared people in the beginning. As more and more news about no huge increases in deaths percolates throughout the world, I think we’ll see people desire to get moving again.
If the airport testing takes off, and actually can mitigate quarantining on arrival and allow European travel, I wouldn't be surprised to see 70% -75% next summer.
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Old 10-12-2020, 09:34 AM
  #546  
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Originally Posted by D B Cooper
If the airport testing takes off, and actually can mitigate quarantining on arrival and allow European travel, I wouldn't be surprised to see 70% -75% next summer.

Too many false positives when testing people with no symptoms and no illness.
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Old 10-12-2020, 09:45 AM
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Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
65-70% for summer 2021...or is that too ambitious?
I'm all in on 69%
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Old 10-12-2020, 09:54 AM
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Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF
I'm all in on 69%
Bout time someone brought the funny.
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Old 10-12-2020, 11:03 AM
  #549  
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4Q2020- 35%-40%

Holidays- 45%

Summer 2021- 55%-60%

4Q2021- 65%

Summer 2022- 80% (Which is 100% because we are a smaller airline and with every pilot on the property we could only fly 80% of 2019 loads unless we begin hiring)

Winter 2022- Delta resumes hiring
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Old 10-12-2020, 11:36 AM
  #550  
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Originally Posted by mikea72580
4Q2020- 35%-40%

Holidays- 45%

Summer 2021- 55%-60%

4Q2021- 65%

Summer 2022- 80% (Which is 100% because we are a smaller airline and with every pilot on the property we could only fly 80% of 2019 loads unless we begin hiring)

Winter 2022- Delta resumes hiring

I like this in terms of passenger volume. Not sure about revenue: will it be 60% pax at 75% revenues?
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