*MINIMUM BALANCES* New Polling Needed
#71
Actually he's not far off.
Using an inflaction calculator and using the last 30 years, $4M right now has same buying power as $2M 30 years ago. So depending on how your brain looks at things, you either need to double your money to have the same buying power, or your current money is only worth 1/2 in future dollar power.
So if we project forward 30 years, $5M right now in retirement only has $2.5M of buying power in 2049 dollars.
Using an inflaction calculator and using the last 30 years, $4M right now has same buying power as $2M 30 years ago. So depending on how your brain looks at things, you either need to double your money to have the same buying power, or your current money is only worth 1/2 in future dollar power.
So if we project forward 30 years, $5M right now in retirement only has $2.5M of buying power in 2049 dollars.
That being said, even using your 50% over 30 years would give you closer to $3 million. Like I said before, ya gotta add in maximizing the contribution and making catchup contributions as well.
Denny
#72
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Posts: 10,535
That’s exactly what we are talking about. This whole discussion is about the NN.....both sides of it. Again, my figures are based on getting what is in the NN and starting from a zero balance. I don’t know how else to say that.
If the NN made it thru as is a $200,000 year will yield $50k going into going into ones DC. I’m betting there are many, many FO’s that have been making this and much more.
Denny
If the NN made it thru as is a $200,000 year will yield $50k going into going into ones DC. I’m betting there are many, many FO’s that have been making this and much more.
Denny
#73
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Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 2,558
Any windfall to retirees will incentivize retirement and increase attrition. The larger the windfall (earlier they retire and less they contribute themselves) will further incentivize earlier retirement. There is NO WAY the company will agree to anything that encourages people to retire early given this market.
#74
Yes, using TVM. Not in total dollars from the company. I acknowledge that any dollar of DC will benefit any new hire more than someone close to retirement. But the reason behind the annuity is to allow people to delay PBGC, SS and more until 70. So, between that massive cash infusion and the gains you get by delaying, how much more retirement are you going to get over a newhire? And again, don't think for one second we are going to get 9%. That's a very expensive proposal.
#75
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Joined APC: Sep 2014
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The PWA is used to define the boundaries of working conditions and compensation, for a defined time period. In the absence of a DB plan (which I don't want), I'm not sure I'm comfortable using the PWA to correct for adverse employment/economic conditions of the arguably-distant past. This almost seems like activity/side letter/loa activity that should take place outside of the PWA negotiation process. If the company wants to incentivize folks to stay through MRA, let them do so outside section 6. If folks think they were unfairly compensated during bankruptcy, head back to the courts. No one was forced to stay here after draconian wage cuts and many did not. No one was forced to return from furlough, and many did not. Each day we fly for Delta, we do so agreeing to the current PWA (as upheld or violated by management), with no expectation that some future agreement will compensate for shortcomings... at least that's my view when I don the horse blanket. It simply isn't practical to look very far back or forward, nor is doing so likely to result in compensation that is not only fair now but decades into the future. JMHO.
#76
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And you don’t think there will be further increases in both wages and the amount that is allowed to be set aside by the IRS?
That being said, even using your 50% over 30 years would give you closer to $3 million. Like I said before, ya gotta add in maximizing the contribution and making catchup contributions as well.
Denny
That being said, even using your 50% over 30 years would give you closer to $3 million. Like I said before, ya gotta add in maximizing the contribution and making catchup contributions as well.
Denny
Did the wages go up at all between 1989 and 2019? Did the IRS limits change during that timeframe? I beleive the answer to both of those is yes.
Did wages go down at all? Bankrupcy, furlough, recessions? Are you telling me those won't happen at all during my next 30 years?
In my eyes everything that happened over the last 30 years with wages, IRS limits, and the industry, can happen all over again in the next 30 years, so all that is a wash.
The orignal statement was about $5M being worth $2M in 30 years due to inflaction....you said it was a "BS figure"....I was just trying to show the math using a simple inflation calculator that it wasn't as BS as you stated it was.
#78
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#79
My question (rhetorical) is: what will we be giving up in negotiating equity to make MB happen, and is the offset worth it to all pilots? Are we giving up on higher DC %? Higher pay%? Better training pay? Etc. Rest assured, MB will cost us something. And is it worth whatever it will cost us? My gut instinct says “no”, hence my previous response to the OP’s poll.
#80
Yes, I understand the concept of a percentage raise and hope we all get a big one next contract. My issue with the MB as presented is that it feels like a bandaid (restoration-lite) fix for the deadzoners with little to no benefit to those hired post BK. Granted there are a lot of details that need to be fleshed out.
My question (rhetorical) is: what will we be giving up in negotiating equity to make MB happen, and is the offset worth it to all pilots? Are we giving up on higher DC %? Higher pay%? Better training pay? Etc. Rest assured, MB will cost us something. And is it worth whatever it will cost us? My gut instinct says “no”, hence my previous response to the OP’s poll.
My question (rhetorical) is: what will we be giving up in negotiating equity to make MB happen, and is the offset worth it to all pilots? Are we giving up on higher DC %? Higher pay%? Better training pay? Etc. Rest assured, MB will cost us something. And is it worth whatever it will cost us? My gut instinct says “no”, hence my previous response to the OP’s poll.
Last edited by Cogf16; 12-23-2019 at 01:39 PM.
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