Political cost for mask mandates..
08-04-2021, 08:48 AM
#1
Perennial Reserve
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Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 12,069
Political cost for mask mandates..
The previous Emerson/Nexstar poll from July 20 found support for the recall at 43% and opposition at 48%, and a new poll from the same group released Tuesday now shows support at 46% and opposition at 48%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Californians from July 30 to Aug. 1.
What happened in two weeks' time that sent Newsom from an uncomfortable, but somewhat stable five percentage point advantage to a much more precarious two percentage point advantage? There's a good chance it's just noise (the poll's margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points), but if you're looking for a real-life event that could have shifted public opinion, such an event does exist.
The end-of-July news cycle was dominated by coverage of the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19, and 50% of California's population is now under an indoor mask mandate.
What happened in two weeks' time that sent Newsom from an uncomfortable, but somewhat stable five percentage point advantage to a much more precarious two percentage point advantage? There's a good chance it's just noise (the poll's margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points), but if you're looking for a real-life event that could have shifted public opinion, such an event does exist.
The end-of-July news cycle was dominated by coverage of the spread of the delta variant of COVID-19, and 50% of California's population is now under an indoor mask mandate.
08-04-2021, 10:07 AM
#3
FO
Joined APC: Apr 2015
Position: B777
Posts: 181
08-05-2021, 04:55 AM
#5
Perennial Reserve
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California’s recall laws are strange. If other prominent members of the same party run in the election it can guarantee success of the recall while dividing the party vote and causing the member of the opposing party who gets the most votes - even if far less than the person being recalled - to be elected. Newsome could get 48% of the vote and lose to someone gettin 18% in a badly divided case.
08-05-2021, 12:04 PM
#6
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2011
Posts: 522
Amazing the amount of lies allowed in political ads. The anti recall ads in California say that the recall process is being “abused”. Uh what? The law says if you collect the required amount of signatures, a recall election is held.
08-10-2021, 06:46 AM
#7
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It’s more general than just Newsom
https://www.studyfinds.org/covid-bur...st-government/
an excerpt:
People are fed up with COVID restrictions
Along with gauging how COVID is burdening the public’s daily lives, the team also asked participants to reveal how dissatisfied they are with their respective governments and if the frustration to causing them to attend protests or act violently.Results reveal a strong connection between a higher psychological burden due to COVID-19 and people displaying more antigovernment sentiment and a tendency towards violence for political causes. To the researchers’ surprise, the survey did not find a link between COVID burden and motivation to attend peaceful demonstrations
We were also surprised to find that COVID-19 burden does not need additional triggers to motivate political violence,” Bartusevičius adds. “It is seemingly enough on its own.”
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