Fox News: surge in new cases
10-18-2020, 09:32 AM
#81
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2016
Posts: 125
Where are you getting that ridiculous number from? There are roughly 218k dead currently. 75 days between now and January. In order to get to 400k there would have to be 2400 a day due between today and then. That would be almost double what the daily average was during the summer peak. I think you need to do a little research and use some deductive reasoning before you post wild claims like that.
10-18-2020, 09:35 AM
#82
The NeverEnding Story
Joined APC: Sep 2005
Posts: 7,564
The "400k dead by the end of the year" came from an update to the IHME model over a month ago.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
10-18-2020, 09:55 AM
#84
The Fallen Cherub
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Position: Wings & Prayer
Posts: 143
The "400k dead by the end of the year" came from an update to the IHME model over a month ago.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
Meanwhile, we now have a better understanding of the virus, more effective drugs, and are treating it sooner rather than telling people to stay home until they need a ventilator.
10-18-2020, 09:55 AM
#85
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2015
Posts: 1,063
This is a complete distortion of reality. They’re not saying they’d rather die than not be able to touch their loved ones. They just don’t want to be socially distant. Nowhere in the story does it state elderly should die or are ok with dying because they only have 6 or 12 months left, those are just the voices in your head. They do want to keep living so they can see their families and grand kids.
10-18-2020, 10:15 AM
#86
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,222
The "400k dead by the end of the year" came from an update to the IHME model over a month ago.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...-us-by-january
IHME's current update is projecting just under 317k by 1 January and 389k by 1 Feb.
10-18-2020, 10:45 AM
#88
Speed, Power, Accuracy
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: PIC
Posts: 1,706
You still are bad at math. 73 days left in the year. Fewer than 900 per day and falling. 225,000 now. That’s under 300,000. Stop listening to what “they” predict. It’s a pantload of horse puckey.
10-18-2020, 11:32 AM
#89
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 241
Actually one could argue that once people are mandated to wear masks they gain a false sense of security and stop social distancing because they are wearing a thin piece of cloth over their nose (possibly) and mouth. It could mean that they begin congregating in large groups that they would avoid if they weren't "protecting" themselves with masks. The havoc on our economies is due to the unnecessary lockdowns that have been ineffective in preventing the spread of the virus. If you want to know how this should have been done see Sweden. No lockdown, common sense directives focused on proper hygiene and social distancing, and mask wear where appropriate. What prolongs the problem is the constant on again/off again lockdowns that continually kick the can down the road. This virus will work its way through the population, they always do.
Think about how fast people drive because they know they'll PROBABLY walk away from it thanks to advanced safety systems like seatbelts and airbags. Not saying you shouldn't wear a seatbelt, just that people will perceive less danger and push the limit further. Humans are notoriously bad at judging actual risk. We gauge perceived risk mostly on past experience and observation of others' behavior. Masks reduce perceived risk, which is great for stuffing people into airplanes.
10-18-2020, 05:20 PM
#90
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Fully Retired
Posts: 7,000
Didn’t I read the average person on a survey thought the fatality poll in the US was 9% of the population.
That would be 30 million dead, not in the 220,000 dead range.
That would be 30 million dead, not in the 220,000 dead range.
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