TSA Numbers
09-08-2020, 09:47 AM
#531
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Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
Sure we do. It’s not on a nice web page but rather in an obscure format that you need to write some code for to extract it. But it’s all there broken down by each security checkpoint at every airport for every hour of every day going back several years.
09-08-2020, 09:53 AM
#532
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Pm me details on where to get it.
09-08-2020, 01:44 PM
#533
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Joined APC: Mar 2016
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I’ve been wondering if the Labor Day weekend will end up being a great “audition” of sorts for the airlines particularly for the nervous Nellie’s out there. Now that we’ve reached another COVID high in pax traffic, maybe a lot of the people we flew over the last weekend will help spread the word about how easy and safe it was. They will in turn tell bosses, co-workers, family, friends, et al. Maybe, just maybe, this could be a good spring board to the easing of minds and a reduction in fear.
09-09-2020, 05:01 AM
#535
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Posts: 417
09-09-2020, 05:18 AM
#536
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Posts: 303
09-09-2020, 05:28 AM
#538
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Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
You're not wrong, and it's a good idea. I'd suggesting finding a source of accurate data for yields, then starting a separate thread about it. This thread covers the TSA data...
09-09-2020, 05:44 AM
#539
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Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
So the first marathon is the one from down 97% in April to only down about say 20% YoY. Once that marathon is complete, and all the fleet is flying and doing so at say north of 70%LF and north of 80% total of last year, we will start the next marathon on bringing yields up.
The good news is once the first marathon is nearly over, airlines should be at least breaking even again, and most furloughs will start coming back.
Yields are key to turning profits again for sure, and with that the final furloughed pilots returning, and new hiring and growth resuming.
09-09-2020, 06:12 AM
#540
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Joined APC: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
this is 100% true, but you won’t get any pricing power so long as aircraft are parked and the ones that are flying are doing so with open seats (true open seats or Covid blocked).
So the first marathon is the one from down 97% in April to only down about say 20% YoY. Once that marathon is complete, and all the fleet is flying and doing so at say north of 70%LF and north of 80% total of last year, we will start the next marathon on bringing yields up.
The good news is once the first marathon is nearly over, airlines should be at least breaking even again, and most furloughs will start coming back.
Yields are key to turning profits again for sure, and with that the final furloughed pilots returning, and new hiring and growth resuming.
So the first marathon is the one from down 97% in April to only down about say 20% YoY. Once that marathon is complete, and all the fleet is flying and doing so at say north of 70%LF and north of 80% total of last year, we will start the next marathon on bringing yields up.
The good news is once the first marathon is nearly over, airlines should be at least breaking even again, and most furloughs will start coming back.
Yields are key to turning profits again for sure, and with that the final furloughed pilots returning, and new hiring and growth resuming.
I think we are using pre-COVID thinking. Pre-COVID, yields = profits = need pilots (via recalls or new pilot hiring)
Post-COVID, yields = profits = just keep making profits = make more profits = stretch every dime = THINK about recalls
I think COVID is to the airlines what the financial meltdown (2007-2009) was to banks.
back to TSA talk...
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