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Old 09-07-2020, 11:22 AM
  #511  
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Originally Posted by pangolin
This number is meaningless. Sunday last year was a pretty busy travel day. This one mid holiday weekend is low. I expect today to be a million.
I don’t - last year the Thursday and Friday prior to Labor Day had more pax than did Labor Day itself. That pattern would suggest that we see less than 1M today.

I hope I’m wrong.
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Old 09-07-2020, 11:28 AM
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Originally Posted by bradthepilot
I don’t - last year the Thursday and Friday prior to Labor Day had more pax than did Labor Day itself. That pattern would suggest that we see less than 1M today.

I hope I’m wrong.
Friday was almost a million. This is mostly leisure travel. The travel “to” has been spread out. Looking at loads today most everything I looked at was full. Everyone is coming home today. I think we will crack a mil.
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Old 09-07-2020, 11:29 AM
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Originally Posted by pangolin
Friday was almost a million. This is mostly leisure travel. The travel “to” has been spread out. Looking at loads today most everything I looked at was full. Everyone is coming home today. I think we will crack a mil.
That’d be awesome, for sure.
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Old 09-07-2020, 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted by pangolin
Friday was almost a million. This is mostly leisure travel. The travel “to” has been spread out. Looking at loads today most everything I looked at was full. Everyone is coming home today. I think we will crack a mil.

Delta got another post-COVID high today in pax traffic so I’m comfortable agreeing we break 1M today. But...we won’t see it again until Thanksgiving barring certain miracles.
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Old 09-07-2020, 03:41 PM
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Originally Posted by pangolin
This number is meaningless. Sunday last year was a pretty busy travel day. This one mid holiday weekend is low. I expect today to be a million.
unlikely we break 1M. unless every Tom Dick and Harry is "coming home" from summer vacation.

if it is, or not, doesn't matter, besides entertainment. what matters next is the Sept and October numbers. Summer 2020 is over as is the theory of "pent up demand"
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Old 09-07-2020, 04:08 PM
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain
unlikely we break 1M. unless every Tom Dick and Harry is "coming home" from summer vacation.

if it is, or not, doesn't matter, besides entertainment. what matters next is the Sept and October numbers. Summer 2020 is over as is the theory of "pent up demand"
Sunday has been typically better than Friday. Friday was almost a million. I think we will have hit it.
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Old 09-07-2020, 06:27 PM
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Originally Posted by pangolin
Sunday has been typically better than Friday. Friday was almost a million. I think we will have hit it.
Silly question but today is Monday. Sunday was less than Friday by about 300k

Memorial Day and July 4 patterns reflect the "return" numbers are less than the "depart" numbers for those respective popular travel times.

maybe Labor Day will be different
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Old 09-07-2020, 08:37 PM
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The betting windows for Monday are closed. The horses are rounding the clubhouse bend, here at Riverside,Mo. horseback track.

For bonus points, what famous movie used the Riverside, Mo. race call?
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Old 09-08-2020, 04:36 AM
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09-07/Monday/Labor Day: 40.8%

Observations:

1. Less than 1M (935,308)
2. As I expected, less than the TSA numbers on 09-04
3. Summer is over
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Old 09-08-2020, 06:02 AM
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I'm sticking with my original guess from mid Spring. We'll see 1mil around Holidays 2020.
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