TSA Numbers
08-14-2020, 06:54 AM
#291
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 175
we may have peaked for the summer. Not sure. maybe another week of data will tell us for sure.
https://www.radarbox.com/statistics/us_us
https://www.radarbox.com/statistics/us_us
08-14-2020, 07:23 AM
#292
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
I think the gap will continue to close between last years numbers and the recovery. I expect it to be slow, but I also think we will see an acceleration once governments around the world start reopening their borders to travelers, probably in early 2021...that will all coincide with vaccine distribution. We may see pax travel as a daily number trend lower in the fall, but that’s not too concerning as long as the trend shows consistent growth into last years numbers.
08-14-2020, 10:58 AM
#294
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
08-17-2020, 04:46 AM
#296
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 175
Yesterday was 33.4%.
Saturday the 15th was 31.7%
Not that these numbers should be celebrated but the there is a trend in the right direction. I’d wager the gap between last year and this year will continue to close. I’m repeating myself but once foreign governments reopen to US pax, and certain states drop their strict quarantine rules (likely will take a vaccine, early 2021) we will see this gap close even faster.
Saturday the 15th was 31.7%
Not that these numbers should be celebrated but the there is a trend in the right direction. I’d wager the gap between last year and this year will continue to close. I’m repeating myself but once foreign governments reopen to US pax, and certain states drop their strict quarantine rules (likely will take a vaccine, early 2021) we will see this gap close even faster.
08-17-2020, 04:49 AM
#297
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
Very solid 3 days. Gains of 1.3, 1.9 and 2.0%yoy. Tracking the decline last year WoW same weekday last year had drops of about 50K, 120k, 60k this weekend over last weekend last year. Yet this year we had all gains in raw numbers of about 20k, 6k, and 30k. Not only have we not yet started a decline like last year, we are still growing.
08-17-2020, 04:55 AM
#298
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 175
Very solid 3 days. Gains of 1.3, 1.9 and 2.0%yoy. Tracking the decline last year WoW same weekday last year had drops of about 50K, 120k, 60k this weekend over last weekend last year. Yet this year we had all gains in raw numbers of about 20k, 6k, and 30k. Not only have we not yet started a decline like last year, we are still growing.
08-17-2020, 04:58 AM
#299
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
Yesterday was 33.4%.
Saturday the 15th was 31.7%
Not that these numbers should be celebrated but the there is a trend in the right direction. I’d wager the gap between last year and this year will continue to close. I’m repeating myself but once foreign governments reopen to US pax, and certain states drop their strict quarantine rules (likely will take a vaccine, early 2021) we will see this gap close even faster.
Saturday the 15th was 31.7%
Not that these numbers should be celebrated but the there is a trend in the right direction. I’d wager the gap between last year and this year will continue to close. I’m repeating myself but once foreign governments reopen to US pax, and certain states drop their strict quarantine rules (likely will take a vaccine, early 2021) we will see this gap close even faster.
FL 7 day average of new cases has been on a decline for 4 weeks. Say they keep that up for another 4-6 weeks we could see FL dropping off some of the lists and that could be great for OCT and NOV TSA numbers.
08-17-2020, 05:06 AM
#300
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
I agree. Only caveat I’d add is the airlines got spooked by forward bookings and cut end of Aug and Sept about 2-4 weeks ago. And it was everybody - even the airlines that have been aggressive (AA). So my fear is they see a cliff coming or if not that bad, we may still run into the issues we had in May and early June with not enough capacity. Watch to see if airlines add back in sept and if Oct final schedules show growth over an already gutted Sept will be key to seeing what the airlines are seeing short term.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
