TSA Numbers
08-10-2020, 08:17 AM
#231
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 12,240
Looks like im not uploading images correctly or something but heres another try.
I updated my spreadsheet, left graph is this year as a % of last years numbers and right graph is raw numbers of this year
My interpretation of the wavy lines is that the waves are getting bigger. Midweek numbers are weak and its becomming more noticable
I updated my spreadsheet, left graph is this year as a % of last years numbers and right graph is raw numbers of this year
My interpretation of the wavy lines is that the waves are getting bigger. Midweek numbers are weak and its becomming more noticable
You gotta wonder if that’s not a reporting artifact of some sort. Like COVID daily deaths, that go down two days a week. You know intuitively that a virus doesn’t just take the weekend off...
08-10-2020, 08:44 AM
#232
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
If I might offer a suggestion to your chart - maybe scale it such that the 2020 values go from 0-40% or something similar so that detail is more easily seen?
08-10-2020, 10:32 AM
#233
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2017
Position: CRJ9 CA
Posts: 4,083
Not really seeing it. Zooming in reveals a shallower slope, but an upslope is still visible. Moreover, a poly trend line shows that growth is, in fact, still occuring. The dotted yellow line represents a fifth order poly trend (to account for the four inflection points seen since mid April. Note that the tail end is upswept; this indicates a growth trend (but is *not* predictive of actual future values).
If I might offer a suggestion to your chart - maybe scale it such that the 2020 values go from 0-40% or something similar so that detail is more easily seen?
If I might offer a suggestion to your chart - maybe scale it such that the 2020 values go from 0-40% or something similar so that detail is more easily seen?
08-10-2020, 11:53 AM
#234
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
08-10-2020, 11:56 AM
#235
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 40,382
They normally do most PCS moves in the summer, so as not to disrupt kid's schooling in the middle of a grade. And they obviously don't want to lose PCS monet on 01 Oct, while still having a need to execute the PCS's eventually.
08-11-2020, 06:15 AM
#238
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 12,240
Continuing a slow climb, but with existing domestic restrictions there are still major constraints on demand:
https://www.aarp.org/politics-societ...trictions.html
International travel seems in even worse shape. But this has gone on long enough and the economy deteriorated enough and the future is uncertain enough that people are simply tightening up on their spending as well.
There is also the threat - real or just perceived - that in a lot of cities you might suddenly find yourself in a sort of flash mob demonstration/confrontation. Tempers and frustration levels are high. All in all, not a situation conducive to any sort of speedy return to normal.
08-11-2020, 06:43 AM
#240
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
08-10/Monday: 29.7%
seems like the 30% level is designed to be unbreakable.
lets get it broken this week
this week and next are very important. Historically this is "peak" for summer passenger counts (mid-late August). After that, numbers drop off.
seems like the 30% level is designed to be unbreakable.
lets get it broken this week
this week and next are very important. Historically this is "peak" for summer passenger counts (mid-late August). After that, numbers drop off.
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