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Old 03-21-2021, 06:06 AM
  #2211  
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Originally Posted by PossibleDeviation
Not being tough on myself.... called being a realist. Go ahead and celebrate if you'd like; more power to you but sustained growth after the SB season is what matters.
I think the big hurdle thus far has been people's willingness to travel and having locations to travel to. SB inflated numbers should be expected - but I think what's more important is seeing people willing to travel. Travel becoming the new social norm again will be an important step in the process to recovery. We're not quite there, but SB travel will surely assist.
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Old 03-21-2021, 06:07 AM
  #2212  
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I think it could flatten or drop a few percent in the second half of April, but it’s not going to go down precipitously unless cases start to rage again and state governments get spooked. The worst is behind us. The probability that’s it’s not is minuscule.
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Old 03-21-2021, 06:28 AM
  #2213  
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I think when the signatures to recall Gavin Newsom are validated, it will be the turning point. People want to BE DONE WITH THE RESTRICTIONS, heck, in some locales - even overseas - they are rioting against the restrictions.

But until a prominent snowflake politician or two have their political careers ruined just for being snowflakes a lot are just going to keep being snowflakes. I look upon Newsom as a necessary sacrifice to the gods of political sanity - ‘Pour encourager les autres’ as the French say...

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Old 03-22-2021, 05:01 AM
  #2214  
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WooHoo - Over 1.5MM
3/21/21, Sunday, first day of spring, and the travelers sprung forth,
1.54 MM screened
1,177 K, 14.5% WOW increase
More than 1.3MM since Thursday
Average Daily for the last week 1.33MM

61% YOY 2019, 1wk 55%, 2wk 52%

For those seeing my post for the first time - all of the above are post 'Rona records... we have been making new highs for over a week
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Old 03-22-2021, 05:38 AM
  #2215  
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Originally Posted by spirited
WooHoo - Over 1.5MM
3/21/21, Sunday, first day of spring, and the travelers sprung forth,
1.54 MM screened
1,177 K, 14.5% WOW increase
More than 1.3MM since Thursday
Average Daily for the last week 1.33MM

61% YOY 2019, 1wk 55%, 2wk 52%

For those seeing my post for the first time - all of the above are post 'Rona records... we have been making new highs for over a week
Do you think there is a ceiling until international travel comes back? What will we top out at?

Last edited by fishforfun; 03-22-2021 at 06:10 AM.
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Old 03-22-2021, 05:55 AM
  #2216  
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Originally Posted by spirited
WooHoo - Over 1.5MM
3/21/21, Sunday, first day of spring, and the travelers sprung forth,
1.54 MM screened
1,177 K, 14.5% WOW increase
More than 1.3MM since Thursday
Average Daily for the last week 1.33MM

61% YOY 2019, 1wk 55%, 2wk 52%

For those seeing my post for the first time - all of the above are post 'Rona records... we have been making new highs for over a week

The numbers are encouraging, however I think a large driver is ticket prices. At SWA we have had unbelievably low fares driving up sales, as a result seats are full but still losing money. Not to mention the problems that go with Walmart pricing. My last two flights from MDW to las we had to call the cops for “behavioral issues”. I’ve noticed passenger disruptions have been higher than pre-Covid. Also, it seems the airports are a madhouse now compared to before Covid. The food lines are horrendous and there is almost no decorum. My last commute flight some chic was randomly trying to airdrop me pics and videos of herself at the gate. It was like getting porn spammed on the plane. I hate to even think what it’ll be like when we’re at full capacity and prices are still bargain basement.
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Old 03-22-2021, 06:01 AM
  #2217  
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Originally Posted by fishforfun
Do you think there is a ceiling with until international travel comes back? What will we top out at?
I think those (most?) whom would normally be traveling internationally for leisure in 2021 will simply go domestic or shorter haul international within North America.

And to a much lesser extent, what little business travel does come back this year, could see similar trends. Some of that international business travel that would have happened in 2021 may go domestic.

So I could see some overlap of lost traffic in one bucket being added to another (at a lot less revenue per ticket obviously).
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Old 03-22-2021, 06:02 AM
  #2218  
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I suspect US-UK travel will begin rebounding in early-mid Q3, as the two nations are among world leaders in their vaccination campaigns.
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Old 03-22-2021, 07:26 AM
  #2219  
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TSA beats 1.5M...

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN2BE1L3
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Old 03-22-2021, 07:52 AM
  #2220  
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Originally Posted by fishforfun
Do you think there is a ceiling until international travel comes back? What will we top out at?
Yes there will definitely be a cap due to that and business travel. The biggest impact will be those airports whose bread and butter is international travel. Also don't discount the amount in international travels who use NB/Regional aircraft to get to those hubs. As far as the percentage of those travelers on those NB/Regional that are international travelers and will be lost until it comes back, I am not sure. I am sure somebody else knows better than I.
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