TSA numbers above 100k seven days in row
#231
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,222
In all of the above examples, the death and damage causing event stopped / finished.
The great depression, unrelated to any disease, lasted 4 years.
A depression, related to disease, could be very bad.
A vaccine is the only way to STOP this virus, and solve the fear factor.
my opinion
The great depression, unrelated to any disease, lasted 4 years.
A depression, related to disease, could be very bad.
A vaccine is the only way to STOP this virus, and solve the fear factor.
my opinion
Vaccines for Corona viruses (specifically flu vaccines) are at best 60% effective any given year. And in the worst strands roughly 12%..
Forget where I read that info, may have been a CDC report or something similar.
#232
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2014
Posts: 139
Neverthless, best wishes for all of my friends at the pax airlines. I went through a furlough after 12 years at what I thought was my “career” job during the Great Recession. My company subsequently ceased operations. It looked beyond grim at times but things do get better.
Last edited by Tony Clifton; 05-15-2020 at 11:53 AM.
#233
You don't think the newspapers of the day didn't do the same? Sensationalism isn't new.
https://www.statesmanjournal.com/pic...ic/5082046002/
I also didn't realize it was the media who instituted stay at home orders and not the governments.
#234
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2018
Posts: 564
Solving the fear factor is about the only thing it would truly do effectively. Which is about all we need considering the level of truly influential people in the US who would believe everything they see on the "View".
Vaccines for Corona viruses (specifically flu vaccines) are at best 60% effective any given year. And in the worst strands roughly 12%..
Forget where I read that info, may have been a CDC report or something similar.
Vaccines for Corona viruses (specifically flu vaccines) are at best 60% effective any given year. And in the worst strands roughly 12%..
Forget where I read that info, may have been a CDC report or something similar.
There is no approved vaccine for any corona virus yet. Influenza virus is not corona virus. Influenza virus's are relatively simple RNA strands that stick together.
Coronavirusss have a spherical or pleomorphic enveloped particles containing single-stranded (positive-sense) RNA associated with a nucleoprotein within a capsid comprised of matrix protein. The envelope bears club-shaped glycoprotein projections. Coronaviruses (and toroviruses) are classified together on the basis of the crown or halo-like appearance of the envelope glycoproteins, and on characteristic features of chemistry and replication. Reference [Medical Microbiology. 4th edition. Baron S, editor.Galveston (TX): University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston; 1996.]
Solving the fear factor is the most critical thing.. way beyond my moral, ethical, philosophical head to get around. I am not that smart.. There are many people that are risk averse. I still have a close friend that refuses to fly after 9/11.
Personally I fall in the middle. I know the risks, probably more than average bear. I still go do certain things, but also avoid things that I know would give me a greater chance of infection or spreading to others. I also know how to properly gown and de-gown with sterile technique, helping to limit my transmission. I also live in a place with a relatively high viral penetration that is very dense in population that relies on mass transportation. If I lived somewhere else in the USA, my personal assessment would be different. I am waiting on an antibody test to see if I was exposed, appointment soon.
#235
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2014
Posts: 139
My point being, even if governors lifted all restrictions today - if the media continues to hype the “dangers” of airline travel (or any public activity),many won’t fly (Cue the non-stop animated loop of the virus circulating through the cabin after someone sneezes). Airline travel won’t return until the media moves on to some other 24 hour/day “disaster”.
#236
Sensationalism, yes. But you can’t compare 24 hour/day non-stop tv/Internet “coverage” to a daily newspaper. Reference my mother-in-law who now watches about 16 hours/day of non-stop news and is quite literally shaking in fear - convinced half the population is going to die. She has zero moments per day that she isn’t bombarded with this stuff. Newspapers didn’t do that.
My point being, even if governors lifted all restrictions today - if the media continues to hype the “dangers” of airline travel (or any public activity),many won’t fly (Cue the non-stop animated loop of the virus circulating through the cabin after someone sneezes). Airline travel won’t return until the media moves on to some other 24 hour/day “disaster”.
My point being, even if governors lifted all restrictions today - if the media continues to hype the “dangers” of airline travel (or any public activity),many won’t fly (Cue the non-stop animated loop of the virus circulating through the cabin after someone sneezes). Airline travel won’t return until the media moves on to some other 24 hour/day “disaster”.
I do take issue with broad brush attacks on 'the media' ala POTUS' war on the free press. Unfortunately aviation in particular has long suffered from a lack of accurate reporting.
#237
Fair point and I wish people would just ignore the bulk if not all TV 'news'. Most of it is pure crap and filled full of moronic talking heads with their worthless opinions.
I do take issue with broad brush attacks on 'the media' ala POTUS' war on the free press. Unfortunately aviation in particular has long suffered from a lack of accurate reporting.
I do take issue with broad brush attacks on 'the media' ala POTUS' war on the free press. Unfortunately aviation in particular has long suffered from a lack of accurate reporting.
https://www.poynter.org/business-wor...e-coronavirus/
https://www.adweek.com/brand-marketing/conde-nast-lays-off-or-furloughs-nearly-200-staffers/
https://adage.com/article/agency-news/latest-agency-layoffs-and-furlough-measures-response-pandemic/2250446
Perhaps the media can do a little research in their spare time on something the military calls ‘Danger Close.’
#238
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2019
Posts: 472
Karma is a female dog...
https://www.poynter.org/business-wor...e-coronavirus/
https://www.adweek.com/brand-marketing/conde-nast-lays-off-or-furloughs-nearly-200-staffers/
https://adage.com/article/agency-news/latest-agency-layoffs-and-furlough-measures-response-pandemic/2250446
Perhaps the media can do a little research in their spare time on something the military calls ‘Danger Close.’
https://www.poynter.org/business-wor...e-coronavirus/
https://www.adweek.com/brand-marketing/conde-nast-lays-off-or-furloughs-nearly-200-staffers/
https://adage.com/article/agency-news/latest-agency-layoffs-and-furlough-measures-response-pandemic/2250446
Perhaps the media can do a little research in their spare time on something the military calls ‘Danger Close.’
I wondered a while back what these peanut media pundits were thinking when they spread fear.....no thought that their actions, not matter how small, in the pursuit of the dollar would lead to their own demise. Nuts.
#239
Quite the list. I wonder who owns thema nd who they are affiliated with.
I wondered a while back what these peanut media pundits were thinking when they spread fear.....no thought that their actions, not matter how small, in the pursuit of the dollar would lead to their own demise. Nuts.
I wondered a while back what these peanut media pundits were thinking when they spread fear.....no thought that their actions, not matter how small, in the pursuit of the dollar would lead to their own demise. Nuts.
https://spectator.us/lives-vs-lives-...cost-lockdown/
#240
On Reserve
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 23
There is absolutely NO WAY that is happening.
This is not biological reproduction... 2pax breed 4 pax breed 8 pax breed 16 pax etc, etc
There is a new ceiling, several in fact:
- Fear ceiling (too afraid to leave house)
- Worried ceiling (need/want to travel, but need some time and mitigation)
- Economic ceiling (can no longer afford it, or are worried about saving money)
- Business travel ceiling (business gone, or saving coin).
The real question is how long to hit those ceilings, and how low will the new cumulative ceiling be?
Then wait for a vaccine (or highly effective treatment) and economic recovery.
That will drive furloughs at the majors, if managers can't see the trends clearly, they'll have to guess (looks like UA and AA are guessing differently at this point).
I think it's too complicated to model near term, although you can assume a vaccine/treatment and apply traditional economic models for 2021 or 2022+
This is not biological reproduction... 2pax breed 4 pax breed 8 pax breed 16 pax etc, etc
There is a new ceiling, several in fact:
- Fear ceiling (too afraid to leave house)
- Worried ceiling (need/want to travel, but need some time and mitigation)
- Economic ceiling (can no longer afford it, or are worried about saving money)
- Business travel ceiling (business gone, or saving coin).
The real question is how long to hit those ceilings, and how low will the new cumulative ceiling be?
Then wait for a vaccine (or highly effective treatment) and economic recovery.
That will drive furloughs at the majors, if managers can't see the trends clearly, they'll have to guess (looks like UA and AA are guessing differently at this point).
I think it's too complicated to model near term, although you can assume a vaccine/treatment and apply traditional economic models for 2021 or 2022+
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