Purpleanga

Just saying what everyone else is thinking. I know feelings get trampled on APC.

Roy Biggins

☝🏻Nobody likes him very much

block30

Agreed.


.......

samc

Said facetiously:

So you’re saying that some pilots with a good math background and/or experience with applied mathematics/modeling can produce a predictive analytics product?

Lets say it was a different problem being analyzed and say we didn’t have pilots doing the analysis. Instead, we had people that spent decades doing it, you know, with PhDs. Maybe we call those people scientists, epidemiologists, or “academics” (uh oh).

It’s funny that we have people on one thread, making an attempt to understand the problems we face, using math or reasoning as a tool (good). Meanwhile on other threads we have people who deny what hundreds of professionals have produced, which has informed decision makers all over the world.

I’m not sure any profession has this much dichotomy of reason.

7500 over. Sorry.

senecacaptain

when the numbers increase, some groups discredit the numbers:

false reporting
hospitals "want COVID money"
bad data
a guy driving home from his covid test crashes his car = COVID death logged
guy skydiving with COVID has a chute failure = COVID death
etc.

when the same numbers decrease, they are not questioned. Everybody high-fives each other. "Numbers are credible" etc. "Lets re-open." "This was a big over-reaction" etc.

Confirmation Bias: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

aldonite7667

you are all politics, all the time. Get a hobby.

senecacaptain

I don't see politics in my post. But I apologize if I offended you.

aldonite7667

It’s subtle but it’s there, Republicans want to open up and Dems want to keep it shut. You didn’t offend me. The idea isn’t to not get the virus. The idea was to not overwhelm hospitals. If you are not elderly or have an underlying condition, even wearing a mask is a bad idea. We need to get to herd immunity.


you’re a shut it down guy.

senecacaptain

Sir, I respect your point of view.

kingairfun

Problem with any "expert" in the field of statistics or forecasting models is that they don't factor in human variables or human emotion..


Disney opens.. there will be a spike in travel, vacation states open another spike. Cure or Vaccine created, possible huge spike. Even over time people just become more comfortable or get tired of the nonsense..

After 9/11, the general public was screaming about " we need more secrurity, racial profile, screen everyone blah, blah, blah".

Over a period of time(and not that many years) that sentiment changed to " 3oz rule is ridiculous. Taking off my shoes is a pain. Even pilots use the axe in the cockpit rationale."

I see all these articles about "Will Travel ever Be the Same" "Will we ever go to restaurants again".. I don't even bother opening the articles because the stupidity of those articles is on such a level that it isn't worth the brain cells.


Ruining the economy and closing businesses will be what hinders the airlines. In a year from now it won't be the virus, it'll be everyday peoples job status and bank account.