TSA numbers above 100k seven days in row
05-12-2020, 05:30 AM
#171
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 531
Can you continue updating this doc? Got it bookmarked and will be watching it most of the summer
05-12-2020, 05:51 AM
#172
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Joined APC: Sep 2008
Position: B767
Posts: 1,901
You can't just take a rate and extrapolate it out and claim it to have any value. That's pretty basic statistics 101 stuff at best. Honestly that wouldn't even fly in a high school physics or chemistry class. By your logic, there would be infinite passengers in a year or so.
05-12-2020, 05:55 AM
#173
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2015
Posts: 514
You can't just take a rate and extrapolate it out and claim it to have any value. That's pretty basic statistics 101 stuff at best. Honestly that wouldn't even fly in a high school physics or chemistry class. By your logic, there would be infinite passengers in a year or so.
05-12-2020, 06:10 AM
#175
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Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
You can't just take a rate and extrapolate it out and claim it to have any value. That's pretty basic statistics 101 stuff at best. Honestly that wouldn't even fly in a high school physics or chemistry class. By your logic, there would be infinite passengers in a year or so.
05-12-2020, 06:11 AM
#176
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Joined APC: Nov 2005
Posts: 2,555
Brad
Are you going to keep updating that chart?
If not do you mind sharing the spreadsheet it’s in?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Are you going to keep updating that chart?
If not do you mind sharing the spreadsheet it’s in?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
05-12-2020, 06:22 AM
#178
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Joined APC: Sep 2008
Position: B767
Posts: 1,901
It's only showing that growth has started, which is important at the moment. It will, of course, level off and reverse and most likely follow a Gompertz curve (You had that in college level stats, right? And maybe saw it or something similar in your second or third year of calculus, right? I did.). The question is when.
But hey, I hope you're right and by Oct 1 we're all taking about what an idiot I am.
05-12-2020, 06:34 AM
#179
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
Great, a "theory monkey". I appreciate the effort, but there are so many unknowns for this model I don't see how you can possibly consider using something like a Gompertz function to predict a return to normalcy.
But hey, I hope you're right and by Oct 1 we're all taking about what an idiot I am.
But hey, I hope you're right and by Oct 1 we're all taking about what an idiot I am.
05-12-2020, 06:53 AM
#180
Line Holder
Joined APC: Jan 2012
Posts: 93
Would you mind posting it as a shared google doc?
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