767pilot

pay raise next year- 3%
Tax break from IRS to offset missed income 33%
Time of with your family- Priceless

cashcow

I just did a quick review of the UPS seniority list estimating additional vacation time crewmembers are entitled to in 2010 an 2011.

Here is what I came up with; 335 more weeks in 2010 and 479 more weeks in 2011, for a total of = 814 weeks in 2011. This accounts for all crewmembers getting an additional 3rd, 4th or 5th week of vacation. Yes the 1988 guys are now getting 5 weeks!

If all 814 weeks (in 2011) were to be covered by other crew members how many crew members would be required to cover this extra vacation? The number I come up with is 37. Guessing that as an average 70% of vacation is bid on work days and 30% on off days (unless you hold a no conflict RDG line), the number of extra required crew members is 26.

I also came up with 70 mandatory (age 65) retirements scheduled over the next two years. 70 retirements (minimum) plus the 26 additional positions for vacation coverage is at least 96 additional crew positions that will need to be covered over the next two years. If anyone retires before age 65 that will add to that number.

In addition the new FAR changes may generate a need for additional crews, though any numbers there are purely speculative at this time. Let's assume 50 additional crew positions at a minimum due to required scheduling changes. So we are likely looking at about a total of 150 crewmembers total and this assumes no additional volume growth or economic recovery.

My personal opinion is that if we are overstaffed by 400 crew members right now it will not take long at all before these crewmembers will be needed again. Considering the above numbers with a furlough and a resulting opentime ban things could get really interesting! So is UPS scaring us so they can scarf up MOU money or do they really need to furlough? If we give them MOU money I guess we will never find out...

In 2012 more crewmembers get an additional week of vacation so that must be accounted for too. There is also an average of 50 retirements per year for the three years beginning in 2012.

Now......if UPS suddenly decides to park more airplanes - like the 757PW - that would change the numbers and the dynamics of this whole thing.

Toast1927

They can't park the 757PW. It's the best looking aircraft we have. With it's tight body, long legs, and giant fans.

brownie

What they really need to park are these non usable, non rev making over head/ costly ACP's. How could this company not realize they can save 100 mil by just getting rid of these dead weights.

McBoeingBus

UPS can' get rid of the managers. They've taken an oath to the company and are part of the inner circle, unlike the laborers.

Freightpuppy

For once, I agree with brownie. Although, they have really no reason to since they have little pilot slaves that will do whatever the company wants.

brownie

For once for once. Ok i'm hurt and can't take this no longer. Good bye APC and so long FP. Got a go see who's our next ipa prez. Be right back.

FliFast

Would transferring the -400 flying to SDF and using the Polar Routes that we just received help to "right size" ANC ?

Competitive response to FDX 777 MEM-Bejing-Shanghai by flying over the Pole.

The folks at the "line" will be happy to see me again.

FF

jumbodriver

Flying over the Pole is for contingency only , that's until FedEx starts their non-stop Asia-MEM routes..then we will think of something to copy them...6 months later.

fr8rcaptain

Not quite. The B fund caps off in the mid $25000 due to federal limits. If you need the exact number I'll look it up.