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Old 02-27-2009, 02:31 PM
  #11  
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Glad I paid off all my debt.......now if I could only sell my house before it all goes down.....
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Old 02-27-2009, 03:12 PM
  #12  
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Originally Posted by DLax85
Info I posted on another related thread.

I think they are using a different metric/different verbiage.

....at least I hope so.

************************************************** **

OK --- first thought, what's up with now publishing an "Operating Fleet Plan" vs the previous "Fleet Plans".

At first blush, it looks like the overall fleet shrinks significantly; however, does the word "Operating" imply this reflects the # of jets we actually plan to fly each day (i.e. Mon~Fri) vs the # we own/lease?

It is my understanding, that as of Jan 09 there were 80 727s on property and we "scheduled" 57 per day ---- note, the difference between # on property vs. # scheduled.

Comparing the # of jets posted in the Nov 2008 "Fleet Plan" (FP) vs the Feb 2009 "Operating Fleet Plan" (OFP) we have:

Acft -- FP-May 09 ~ FP-May 10 / OFP-May 09 ~ OFP-May 10
727 -- 78 ~ 69 / 50 ~ 52
757 -- 9 ~ 21 / 7 ~ 16
A300 -- 122 ~ 124 / 99 ~ 84
MD10 -- 73 ~ 80 / 60 ~ 57
MD11 -- 58 ~ 60 / 48 ~ 50
777 -- 0 ~ 4 / 0 ~ 4

What are our current ulitization rates of other acft besides the 727?

I think this data is important to fully understand how much the fleet is actually shrinking.

Discuss.

I agree with your premise. For one thing, the document on Vips, Fleet Status, is outdated. If you look at the PDF files on that page, they are dated 102808 IIRC. The latest version on the MX website is dated 021909. It lists 360 total aircraft. However, that includes the 3 operating and 5 parked DC10s. It also includes 7 parked 310s and the 5 727s we lease to Morningstar in Canada. It also includes various planes that are down for heavy maintenance. While this 360 is the total we have on our Ops Spec, we are obviously operating quite a few less.
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Old 02-27-2009, 07:48 PM
  #13  
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Originally Posted by DLax85
Info I posted on another related thread.

I think they are using a different metric/different verbiage.

....at least I hope so.

************************************************** **

OK --- first thought, what's up with now publishing an "Operating Fleet Plan" vs the previous "Fleet Plans".

At first blush, it looks like the overall fleet shrinks significantly; however, does the word "Operating" imply this reflects the # of jets we actually plan to fly each day (i.e. Mon~Fri) vs the # we own/lease?

It is my understanding, that as of Jan 09 there were 80 727s on property and we "scheduled" 57 per day ---- note, the difference between # on property vs. # scheduled.

Comparing the # of jets posted in the Nov 2008 "Fleet Plan" (FP) vs the Feb 2009 "Operating Fleet Plan" (OFP) we have:

Acft -- FP-May 09 ~ FP-May 10 / OFP-May 09 ~ OFP-May 10
727 -- 78 ~ 69 / 50 ~ 52
757 -- 9 ~ 21 / 7 ~ 16
A300 -- 122 ~ 124 / 99 ~ 84
MD10 -- 73 ~ 80 / 60 ~ 57
MD11 -- 58 ~ 60 / 48 ~ 50
777 -- 0 ~ 4 / 0 ~ 4

What are our current ulitization rates of other acft besides the 727?

I think this data is important to fully understand how much the fleet is actually shrinking.

Discuss.
DLax is correct. I called my ACP as soon as I saw this (being 30 from the bottom) and he confirmed that the way they reflect the fleet now is "operating aircraft" and not "total aircraft".
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Old 02-27-2009, 09:55 PM
  #14  
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Originally Posted by 30 From Bottom
DLax is correct. I called my ACP as soon as I saw this (being 30 from the bottom) and he confirmed that the way they reflect the fleet now is "operating aircraft" and not "total aircraft".
In other words - they give us a number that is always changing (a/c in and out of maint, mod line, etc) so we have no basis to figure out where manning really is! I think management has their eyes on jobs in politics!
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Old 02-27-2009, 09:58 PM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by MaxKts
In other words - they give us a number that is always changing (a/c in and out of maint, mod line, etc) so we have no basis to figure out where manning really is! I think management has their eyes on jobs in politics!
...always reactive...one step behind
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Old 02-28-2009, 06:16 AM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by 30 From Bottom
DLax is correct. I called my ACP as soon as I saw this (being 30 from the bottom) and he confirmed that the way they reflect the fleet now is "operating aircraft" and not "total aircraft".
OK --- then the total net loss is just 1 acft.

As pointed out by others, it does show a big shift from A300s to 757s and 777s (...and little increase in daily operating 727s), but of course the crew ratios in 777 will require much more manning.

It's pretty clear the Bus community will have the biggest direct impact, with other communities affected dependent on where the Bus guys go.

The company has stated several times they are willing to keep some level of overmanning, but they want that level to be in the "correct seats".

They are really hoping guys pick/end up in the MEM 757 because that's where they need guys to train the soonest ---- this summer! --- and of course it's NB pay.
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Old 02-28-2009, 08:25 AM
  #17  
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Not that I am privy to any long term plans for the FEDEX fleet, but several folks I know in MGT have spoken about FDX long term plan which is essentially having all 777 and 757 and nothing else. Obviously this is a long time away, but it does make sense for the really long term.
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Old 02-28-2009, 12:49 PM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by DLax85
OK --- then the total net loss is just 1 acft.

As pointed out by others, it does show a big shift from A300s to 757s and 777s (...and little increase in daily operating 727s), but of course the crew ratios in 777 will require much more manning.

It's pretty clear the Bus community will have the biggest direct impact, with other communities affected dependent on where the Bus guys go.

The company has stated several times they are willing to keep some level of overmanning, but they want that level to be in the "correct seats".

They are really hoping guys pick/end up in the MEM 757 because that's where they need guys to train the soonest ---- this summer! --- and of course it's NB pay.
When you say net loss of 1 aircraft how are you figuring that out? Are you saying net loss of 1 from May 09 to May10? How do we know the loss from Nov 08-May09?

I can't figure out how many "operatational aircraft" we have on the books now, and what the change is from Nov 08 when the last fleet plan was.
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Old 02-28-2009, 01:22 PM
  #19  
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Glad we let the 757 get narrowbody rates to secure that wonderful A380 rate. One would think the negotiating committee could have thought that out.

We're likely to lose a net 50-100 widebodies in the next 15 years, how's that for hidden money? As the Bus gets pushed aside for 757s we'll have a huge net pay loss for the crewforce. We need professional negotiators yesterday.
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Old 02-28-2009, 01:39 PM
  #20  
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Don't forget about the HIDDEN MONEY!

Apparently hidden so well we can't seem to find it....
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