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Old 07-13-2016, 03:11 PM
  #401  
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
Each committee had their own "modeling" programs in the effort to justify their arguments and associated seniority lists. It's pretty standard in SLI's.
They sure did but none of them garnered the attention from the arbs like the LAA committee model did. It also appears the LAA model had a lot more flexibility, functionality and ease of use in its design than the others.

But back to the point. It wasn't about whether each committee had or didn't have a model. It's that the LAA committee spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on developing a very complicated model that wasn't necessarily needed with a straight NIC list. If their true intent was to use the NIC list why design such an expensive and complicated modeling program that was designed to model three separate hybrid lists and why just happen to roll it out in front of the arbs at the end of the hearings? Was it part of their strategy?
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Old 07-13-2016, 03:13 PM
  #402  
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Originally Posted by esadof
Don't know, all I know is we chose to use UAL's modeling program and expert instead of developing our own.
Since Freund hinged the Wests assault on LAA using ALPA merger policy to dilute LAA pilots seniority, especially those junior and had previous successful experience using it IN an ALPA/ALPA integration, it makes sense to use that program for consistency here.
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Old 07-13-2016, 03:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Upsddown
They sure did but none of them garnered the attention from the arbs like the LAA committee model did. It also appears the LAA model had a lot more flexibility, functionality and ease of use in its design than the others.
IMO, the AAPSIC knew that the past TWA situation would result in more scrutiny then others in this SLI and overcompensated in the conservative approach to offering flexibility and foundation hence the very involved background in their modeling to rationalize their first model (initial non-NIC proposal). They were clearly hypersensitive to the perception AA pilots are jack booted thugs in seniority integrations.

Originally Posted by Upsddown
But back to the point. It wasn't about whether each committee had or didn't have a model. It's that the LAA committee spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on developing a very complicated model that wasn't necessarily needed with a straight NIC list. If their true intent was to use the NIC list why design such an expensive and complicated modeling program that was designed to model three separate hybrid lists and why just happen to roll it out in front of the arbs at the end of the hearings? Was it part of their strategy?
Well, let's call this speculation. IMO, the NIC revision was in part a crapshoot decision on the assumption Silver would order it, but she did not. It may have been rationalized that they had little to lose if it was indeed not ordered as then it would serve a useful purpose of demonstrating for the record how destabilizing the use of the NIC would be to use it while protecting LAA pilots from being concurrent collateral damage essentially shifting the damage of the lack the NIC to LAA pilots in the future from the present West pilots unless the revised AAPSIC NIC model was adopted. If the NIC is adopted in pure form, then either LAA pilots become the new victims of USAPA or mitigators are included to prevent that from occurring and either an ugly integration methodology like the revised AAPSIC proposal is used or other mitigators like fences or other company unfriendly aspects adopted.
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Old 07-13-2016, 04:11 PM
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Oh, so it was Microsoft Excel? My, but that is high tech. Must have impressed the panel....AAPSIC probably won the day!
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Old 07-13-2016, 04:21 PM
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Originally Posted by eaglefly
I always laugh at those who actually counted the number of times "superior" was used in the LAA proposal. It tells me all I need to know about the emotion and ultimate bias in the post (and poster) it is included by. For the record, "superiority" by one carrier over another was considered by the UAL/CAL arbs as well, but in that case, they found neither was truly superior to the other considering relative pre-merger shareholder valuation of 55%/45%, pre-merger financial status, fleet composition, and pre-merger pilot compensation. The fact is this merger/SLI was far more unbalanced, hence AAPSIC's argument in that respect, which although distasteful to some (as it goes against their interests), but valid nonetheless. In fact, the East especially hinged a large part of their arguments against LAA pilots in this direction, attempting to dilute that superiority and in reading their arguments, failed IMO and if one looks at data provide, the AAPSIC has the longest, most involved foundation for their assertions and the East the shortest and least.

As far as buying the "new" AA (which is really the old "US Airways" except in name, paint job and uniform), I think the way this airline, its assets and its people are being managed, Jet Blue might indeed acquire some of LAA in a fragmentation scenario in the 4-8 year time frame. Of course, you'll argue that due to your superiority in that situation, all Group IV widebodies should be fully available to the JB pilots since they as the superior entity in that transaction are entitled to them.

Enjoy JB. I had the pleasure of talking to one of your pilots over a cerveza and your senior guys can make some good coin, but man do you work for it. Good luck on your first CBA as well. Until then, lets see what happens here as from all outward appearances, the East has already started their victory lap. Perhaps the finish line will have a tie stand selling ties with a flexed bicep on them ?
Wow, you really know a lot about all this seniority stuff. So, your opinion is the East arguments failed? So, you think it hurt them in the SLI?

Yeah I like your scenario about the AA lack of management and its demise and our eventual takeover....and then, right, LOS/DOH pretty much DOA because it's so lame right? It's how we do everything, except for MERGERS....duh!!!

Wait, Jet Blue? Did I say Jet Blue? I meant Republic. We "brickyard dogs" have been feeding ourselves rumors about buying Jet Blue for so long we've all started to believe it. Whooops-a-daisy...How embarrassing! Sorry.
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Old 07-13-2016, 04:25 PM
  #406  
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[QUOTE=eaglefly;2160885]IMO, the AAPSIC knew that the past TWA situation would result in more scrutiny then others in this SLI …..

Yet the problem with that would be for the arbs to extract a "pound of flesh" out of the LAA pilots for their past actions it would result in the arbs actually doing even more harm to the TWA pilots. Hard to believe the arbs would have concluded to do greater harm to the very group they would be seeking to provide justice for. I think the AAPSIC realized this dichotomy as well.
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Old 07-13-2016, 04:29 PM
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Originally Posted by Saul Rosenberg
Oh, so it was Microsoft Excel? My, but that is high tech. Must have impressed the panel....AAPSIC probably won the day!
Arbs like two basic things: 1. Others to do their work for them.
2. Simplification. They could care less about high tech.

The Harmony model wasn't high "tech" but it did "possibly" provide the arbs with the means to address numbers 1 and 2 above.
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Old 07-13-2016, 04:50 PM
  #408  
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Originally Posted by Saul Rosenberg
Wow, you really know a lot about all this seniority stuff. So, your opinion is the East arguments failed? So, you think it hurt them in the SLI?

Yeah I like your scenario about the AA lack of management and its demise and our eventual takeover....and then, right, LOS/DOH pretty much DOA because it's so lame right? It's how we do everything, except for MERGERS....duh!!!

Wait, Jet Blue? Did I say Jet Blue? I meant Republic. We "brickyard dogs" have been feeding ourselves rumors about buying Jet Blue for so long we've all started to believe it. Whooops-a-daisy...How embarrassing! Sorry.
Yes, this is indeed an embarrassing post. That we can agree on.
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Old 07-13-2016, 05:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Upsddown
Yet the problem with that would be for the arbs to extract a "pound of flesh" out of the LAA pilots for their past actions it would result in the arbs actually doing even more harm to the TWA pilots. Hard to believe the arbs would have concluded to do greater harm to the very group they would be seeking to provide justice for. I think the AAPSIC realized this dichotomy as well.
I just think AAPSIC was conservative in their presentation considering the past and bent over backward to justify what they believed to be fair and equitable. It's a fine line to cross in going too far and asking too much without justification as the CAL committee attempted, but that those arbs could not validate.

No one wants to short change themselves in their argument, but to overreach can result in a more disadvantageous result then short-changing. Ironically, the most apt example I can think of was US Airways East ALPA who refused to budge off their DOH based principles and got the Nicolau award as a result. Had they been less intransigent, not only would they likely have gotten a better result for themselves, it would have been implemented resulting not only in huge financial gain for all over the next decade, but more importantly would be in a totally different place in this SLI considering those improved pre-merger economic equities.

I wonder if history will repeat itself, at least to some degree ?
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Old 07-13-2016, 05:06 PM
  #410  
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Originally Posted by R57 relay
So you don't KNOW anything, but you make definitive statements like "Nothing new here- but it is entertaining watching them set themselves up for a major dose of reality coming their way"

Koontz was on C&R making statements just like that, no lie.
Koontz isn't "in the know" so *** does it matter what he said? And Koontz knows nothing about the final outcome, so again, how can you leak something if you don't know what you're leaking? Your perpetual lies on here and other message boards have a total desperate odor to them, the hysteria out east is mimicking your "smashing victory" predictions of last decade- it's nice to see history repeat, don't you think?

Nobody knows how this will end, but being logical about things certainly is better than being consumed in emotion. Your abject fear of Nicolau is getting the best of you- all of you east zealots in fact (look at the stupid thread started by the resident 99 hire/ furloughee about the supposed PHX sickout- totally laughable! You guys are certainly a hoot, it really will be entertaining to watch Meltdown v2.0 next month.
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