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Old 12-04-2011, 10:09 AM
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Default Alaska and JetBlue

I predict AA will merge with Alaska and JetBlue after exiting bankruptcy within one year. UsAir will either be broken up or merged with United.
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Old 12-04-2011, 10:36 AM
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Originally Posted by AceOnTheRiver
I predict AA will merge with Alaska and JetBlue after exiting bankruptcy within one year. UsAir will either be broken up or merged with United.
Doubtful. JetBlue, Maybe. AA will have to pry Alaska from Delta's cold, dead fingers.

IMHO, of course.
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Old 12-04-2011, 10:40 AM
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DAL would go into orbit if AA tried to buy/merge with Alaska. I think AS will remain what they do today, a codeshare ***** (and I mean that in a good way). They have a niche area of operation that can really only sustain one dominant carrier. The codeshares are the way to maximize and secure their dominance.

AA/JB sounds good in terms of AA regaining BOS and the Caribbean as well as a strong position in JFK to rival DAL. The biggest hurdle would be the DOT/DOJ and general public perception of AA taking a 'low fare carrier' out of the market and reducing the options for the traveling public when it comes to cheap airfare.

My opinion, AA/US merge which would take another legacy off the map and strengthen the East Coast for AA. Also expect some sort of expanded codeshare opportunity with Alaska and JB.
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Old 12-04-2011, 03:47 PM
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Ak and hawiian. JB and Southwest. my un educated guess
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Old 12-04-2011, 04:01 PM
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No JB Soutwest. Wrong fleet type for Southwest. When they were going after Frontier, it was for Denver, and because Frontier looked like it might be a deal. JB is doing to well to be a deal for anyone, and Southwest doesn't want 2 more aircraft types. Plus, it will take a while to get over the growing pains from the AirTran merger.
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Old 12-04-2011, 04:49 PM
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Originally Posted by AtlCSIP
No JB Soutwest. Wrong fleet type for Southwest. When they were going after Frontier, it was for Denver, and because Frontier looked like it might be a deal. JB is doing to well to be a deal for anyone, and Southwest doesn't want 2 more aircraft types. Plus, it will take a while to get over the growing pains from the AirTran merger.
SWA is the biggest domestic carrier in the world that has a grossly insufficient presence in the biggest domestic market in the world. The only way SWA can get the NYC presence they need to gain sufficient marketshare is to buy DL (nope) buy AA (nope) buy JB (very, very likely) or wait for a fragmentation and hope to be the highest bidder for almost all of it. That's a gamble they won't take IMHO. Odds are SWA will jump on JB. Hard.
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Old 12-04-2011, 05:34 PM
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Within 6 months of exiting BK......AA will see a quick merger with Emirates and Quantas. The hubs of South Pacific and Middle East are real Gold Mines!!! My preference bid would be 737 FO Abu Dhabi.

IMHO of course
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Old 12-04-2011, 05:48 PM
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Originally Posted by RI830
AA will see a quick merger with Emirates and Quantas.
Against the law, isn't it?
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Old 12-04-2011, 06:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Mink
Against the law, isn't it?

I believe it's a joke, IMHO
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Old 12-04-2011, 06:58 PM
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Originally Posted by gloopy
SWA is the biggest domestic carrier in the world that has a grossly insufficient presence in the biggest domestic market in the world. The only way SWA can get the NYC presence they need to gain sufficient marketshare is to buy DL (nope) buy AA (nope) buy JB (very, very likely) or wait for a fragmentation and hope to be the highest bidder for almost all of it. That's a gamble they won't take IMHO. Odds are SWA will jump on JB. Hard.
Gloopy, while I respect your opinion, I just don't see it happening. JetBlue is now too big and too successful for anybody to "acquire". That means any future deal is a merger. It takes two willing parties to merge, and B6 has no interest in merging with SWA. It also means big, big financial incentives and premium price to make it happen. AMR can't afford it, and SWA doesn't want to pay it. They want a bargain, and they like to beat up the weak while they are down. SWA would actually have to be play nice and negotiate a mutually agreed upon merger to get B6, oh by the way that includes the pilots. Not the game they like to play.
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