Search

Notices

Contract negotiations

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 07-04-2022, 08:48 AM
  #441  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2012
Posts: 566
Default

Originally Posted by KC135
I’ve been running into a few new hires that believe we’re getting a TA very soon, within next couple months. They obviously aren’t familiar with our management. For anyone thinking this will happen, ask yourself this: would G4 management increase pilot expenses by 40-50% when their economist are predicting a 99% chance of a recession? The training department has been almost doubled, expect 2 classes per month indefinitely, 1 to cover attrition and 1 to slowly grow the list. By the way, it cost significantly less to replace attrition than to pay the whole pilot group a respectable wage with work rules, even when cancelled flight revenue is factored in. As long as new hires continue to show up, there will be no TA for years.
It doesn't help that the company sends out bi-polar messages about the state of negotiations, and the union does a cryptic facebook video once every few weeks. There is almost no communication from either side about what is going on, what the plan is, or anything else.
9easy is offline  
Old 07-04-2022, 08:53 AM
  #442  
It's 5 o'clock somewhere
 
Margaritaville's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Oct 2020
Posts: 2,170
Default

Originally Posted by 9easy
It doesn't help that the company sends out bi-polar messages about the state of negotiations, and the union does a cryptic facebook video once every few weeks. There is almost no communication from either side about what is going on, what the plan is, or anything else.
That's because there is no plan. Andrew asks, company says no, Andrew pitches a fit, company laughs, Andrew puts out a cryptic video, company brags to investors what a great job they're doing holding the line. Wash rinse repeat. By this time next year there won't be a pilot shortage. Maury ain't no dummy.
Margaritaville is offline  
Old 07-04-2022, 10:04 PM
  #443  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2012
Posts: 566
Default

Originally Posted by Margaritaville
That's because there is no plan. Andrew asks, company says no, Andrew pitches a fit, company laughs, Andrew puts out a cryptic video, company brags to investors what a great job they're doing holding the line. Wash rinse repeat. By this time next year there won't be a pilot shortage. Maury ain't no dummy.
I guess Maury is smarter than the CEOs and e-boards of UPS, AA, UA who decided to make a deal this year. Then again....
9easy is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 01:50 AM
  #444  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Position: A-320
Posts: 680
Default

Originally Posted by 9easy
I guess Maury is smarter than the CEOs and e-boards of UPS, AA, UA who decided to make a deal this year. Then again....
UA’s contract expired over 3.5 years ago and AA’s was over 2.5 years ago. We haven’t even hit the 1 year mark of contract expiration.
KC135 is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 06:35 AM
  #445  
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
 
Joined APC: Apr 2016
Position: CRJ FO
Posts: 207
Default

Originally Posted by KC135
UA’s contract expired over 3.5 years ago and AA’s was over 2.5 years ago. We haven’t even hit the 1 year mark of contract expiration.
Duration of negotiations has no bearing on if it’s the right time to strike a deal… As many have said Maury’s not stupid, and I’d argue right now, is more right for G4 than it is for any other airbus operator. Expect big progress by the end of July or early Aug.

folks who say we’ve only been in negotiations for a year, are the same ones who say regional FOs only deserve $25 an hour because they paid their dues so everyone else should too.

times change, this not the same industry, or environment. Even the company knows that and has put more money out the door than they ever have because of it.
310skying is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 09:49 AM
  #446  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Position: A-320
Posts: 680
Default

Originally Posted by 310skying
Duration of negotiations has no bearing on if it’s the right time to strike a deal… As many have said Maury’s not stupid, and I’d argue right now, is more right for G4 than it is for any other airbus operator. Expect big progress by the end of July or early Aug.
In the last 25 years no other 121 airline has had a TA in under 2 years, I'd call that a direct correlation. Regardless, it's not the right time at all based on management's viewpoint. I would expect some progress to keep dangling the carrot and slow attrition, it will be enough to provide hope to those that keep thinking a contract is right around the corner but unfortunately just a couple years of stalling is a 7 figure difference in legacy opportunity cost if you're under 45.

Look at the facts, we have lost 69 pilots since the beginning of the year and hired 118. This nets +49 on the list and the number of classes have just increased to 2 per month for most months going forward so growth will be increasing assuming new hires keep showing up. If you do the math that attrition cost roughly 12 million a year to replace @ 70k a training cycle (2 per CA leaving). Guess what a 40% or 50% raise raise with a new contract would cost vs replacing attrition? It's significantly more, a conservative estimate would be 7 times more while factoring in lost revenue from cancelled flights (which will subside).

Originally Posted by 310skying
folks who say we’ve only been in negotiations for a year, are the same ones who say regional FOs only deserve $25 an hour because they paid their dues so everyone else should too.
That's an odd correlation to make between those two. What we deserve, what we want and what we are worth is not synonymous with the facts of the situation (see above) and the decisions management has made and will make.

Originally Posted by 310skying
times change, this not the same industry, or environment. Even the company knows that and has put more money out the door than they ever have because of it.
Unfortunately this is not true, see above. It would cost more to pay our list what we are worth, their solution has been to keep increasing hiring classes, increase TA hopium and outpace attrition. Also don't ignore that every economist is expecting a 99% percent chance of a recession and mngt has always been conservative with increasing cost during times of uncertainty. Unfortunately they will continue to enjoy their 50% pilot labor discount at our expense.
KC135 is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 10:56 AM
  #447  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jan 2015
Posts: 412
Default

Originally Posted by KC135
Look at the facts, we have lost 69 pilots since the beginning of the year and hired 118. This nets +49 on the list and the number of classes have just increased to 2 per month for most months going forward so growth will be increasing assuming new hires keep showing up. If you do the math that attrition cost roughly 12 million a year to replace @ 70k a training cycle (2 per CA leaving). Guess what a 40% or 50% raise raise with a new contract would cost vs replacing attrition? It's significantly more, a conservative estimate would be 7 times more while factoring in lost revenue from cancelled flights (which will subside).
How many of those hired this year are online? You lose a pilot immediately when they quit, it takes 3 months to train a pilot.

Losing a pilot today to somewhere else won't be replaced by a newhire until after the summer peak is over.
JediCheese is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 11:03 AM
  #448  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jan 2015
Posts: 412
Default

I'm also not in recruiting/training but are we getting adequate pilots? How many have multiple training failures or other issues that would make them unhirable elsewhere? Obviously a great hire because they can't leave until they eat training resources like a fat kit or screw up on the line and damage an airplane.

It's all fun and good cost savings until you need to give a new hire 25 sims.
JediCheese is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 12:19 PM
  #449  
Line Holder
 
Joined APC: Sep 2020
Position: Airbus Captain
Posts: 69
Default

Quality of new hires is dramatically lower imho. My guess is a lot of pencil whipping going on. Clear and a million & climbing through 1000’ I see the radar scanning on their side. The list goes on…
SloNLow is offline  
Old 07-05-2022, 03:34 PM
  #450  
Line Holder
 
Joined APC: Aug 2021
Posts: 76
Default

Originally Posted by SloNLow
Quality of new hires is dramatically lower imho. My guess is a lot of pencil whipping going on. Clear and a million & climbing through 1000’ I see the radar scanning on their side. The list goes on…
As someone hired relatively recently I don’t think this is a fair assessment based on a majority of other people I encountered during training. It’s also not supported by the fact that several people in my class alone have already gone on to legacy carriers. And there are plenty of us who came here for the bases/lifestyle, and are giving the company until the Fall to get serious or we’ll be on our way too.

Regarding the example you used, it may be because use of the radar is barely even discussed in training (along with MANY other things) and we rely on experienced captains to give us some guidance :-)
Spdbrd is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
nwa757
American
178
01-10-2015 10:54 AM
tallplt
Major
28
06-17-2012 10:23 AM
DMEarc
Regional
1249
12-17-2010 10:37 PM
ITSALLGOOD
Major
1
07-07-2007 08:34 AM
Freighter Captain
Atlas/Polar
3
08-03-2005 03:19 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices