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Old 04-15-2022, 05:21 PM
  #191  
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Originally Posted by tom11011
Agreed, they don't want it. Agreed they are just acknowledging the time and steps it takes to get to arbitration.

Also, many people are concerned about what MG does or doesn't do. He is stepping away as an officer of the company in June I believe. He will be on the Board, and as the largest share holder at 13% I believe, he will be chairman, but I don't see his involvement in the day to day. JR will be at the helm and maybe some things may change, but maybe not. The culture of this company will have to start at the top.
Maybe the rumors I’m hearing are wrong, but they’ve been pretty accurate thus far. EXCO hasn’t even proposed any work rules yet because they are slow playing it until the company actually sees the attrition on the seniority list. Now the attrition results are just starting to manifest to management so maybe EXCO will now think it’s the time to start work rules and comp. Thus far it’s been primarily Sections 24, 18, 19, and 7.

Again I’m not criticizing EXCO’s strategy, it’s probably the right move given the leverage. But it is a risk if we lose the leverage of attrition due to some global recession, war, etc.

To be clear: I don’t think you ever plan your strategy around some unknown catastrophic event that may or may not happen so EXCO is probably going to be proven right. But to not acknowledge the obvious risk is just being naive.
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Old 04-15-2022, 06:16 PM
  #192  
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Originally Posted by captnate702
Maybe the rumors I’m hearing are wrong, but they’ve been pretty accurate thus far. EXCO hasn’t even proposed any work rules yet because they are slow playing it until the company actually sees the attrition on the seniority list. Now the attrition results are just starting to manifest to management so maybe EXCO will now think it’s the time to start work rules and comp. Thus far it’s been primarily Sections 24, 18, 19, and 7.

Again I’m not criticizing EXCO’s strategy, it’s probably the right move given the leverage. But it is a risk if we lose the leverage of attrition due to some global recession, war, etc.

To be clear: I don’t think you ever plan your strategy around some unknown catastrophic event that may or may not happen so EXCO is probably going to be proven right. But to not acknowledge the obvious risk is just being naive.
Even if/when the recession hits, there'll still be a pilot shortage. The airlines were having issues staffing during covid and maintaining their schedule, now with demand rebounding, all hell has broken loose. There isn't nearly enough new pilots being made, so it'll continue to be advantage to labor.
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Old 04-15-2022, 06:23 PM
  #193  
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Originally Posted by 9easy
Even if/when the recession hits, there'll still be a pilot shortage. The airlines were having issues staffing during covid and maintaining their schedule, now with demand rebounding, all hell has broken loose. There isn't nearly enough new pilots being made, so it'll continue to be advantage to labor.
I agree a “normal” recession would not eliminate the pilot shortage. It would have to be all of Europe melting down in war combined with crazy inflation type of recession which I don’t think is likely.
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Old 04-16-2022, 04:48 AM
  #194  
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If this company makes the decision to turn into a majority overnight airline and startsc closing bases, I guarantee you the attrition will increase dramatically.

Why work here doing overnights for less pay? There are lots of pilots who arent the vocal few on FB and this forum who are very happy in the base they moved to. Losing their base to do overnights out of FL or Vegas isnt appealing to many.

The day that happens is the day attrition goes through the roof.
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Old 04-16-2022, 04:54 AM
  #195  
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Originally Posted by captnate702
I don’t think you ever plan your strategy around some unknown catastrophic event that may or may not happen so EXCO is probably going to be proven right. But to not acknowledge the obvious risk is just being naive.
The company has been quoted many time as saying that they believe AA will go broke (TT told the folk in training i guess). Therefore they are playing the long game on an unknown event. I think it is also part of their propaganda strategy which they took from the regional playbook. Don't leave - big things happening here, Big bad things happening over there.

AA isn't going anywhere. If an upcoming recession is so deep that it affects the majors, taking a quick pay increase now isn't smart because it will cause Allegiant the same problems and they will just get their corrupt NV judges to throw the CBA out.

There is no win in taking a quick contract except for the company.
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Old 04-16-2022, 04:58 AM
  #196  
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Originally Posted by j3cub
If this company makes the decision to turn into a majority overnight airline and startsc closing bases, I guarantee you the attrition will increase dramatically.

Why work here doing overnights for less pay? There are lots of pilots who arent the vocal few on FB and this forum who are very happy in the base they moved to. Losing their base to do overnights out of FL or Vegas isnt appealing to many.

The day that happens is the day attrition goes through the roof.
Agreed. Nothing would increase attrition more. One could only hope management sees our day trip model as the saving grace for growth in this environment. W/ out it I’d say almost 100% of my friends here would leave!
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Old 04-16-2022, 07:25 AM
  #197  
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Originally Posted by 9easy
Even if/when the recession hits, there'll still be a pilot shortage. The airlines were having issues staffing during covid and maintaining their schedule, now with demand rebounding, all hell has broken loose. There isn't nearly enough new pilots being made, so it'll continue to be advantage to labor.
I agreed. Unless there is an all out WWIII, there will still be a pilot shortage. Even in an all out world war, the military will suck up a lot of pilots. Further, a lot of commercial airlines will be pressed into service transporting troops. In WWII, armed forces had priority in transporting. Even then, there was not enough capacity.
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Old 04-16-2022, 07:49 AM
  #198  
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I have opinions on what the contract should and shouldn’t focus on. I send those opinions to my union reps, not onto the internet.

This is what our union requested for our best deal.
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Old 04-16-2022, 07:53 AM
  #199  
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Originally Posted by KC135
You make that statement as if there is something our union could do about it. We’ll only get a new TA whenever management decides we will by sending a fair offer. I personally think they want to break the 121 world record of 8 years on an expired contract.
Originally Posted by FreshWater
How can the union make management over haul the contract? Management takes their marching orders from MG, not this union or any union. He won’t pay for a comprehensive industry leading contract.

We already went over this as a group, we’re not agreeing to a cash only, no work rules thin contract. Which is the offer from management. That money to be eaten up by inflation is gone, MG has made his decision to not pay for a growth-oriented industry leading pilot contract.
If only there was something pilots could do to apply pressure to the company. If only they weren't so hung up on making it home on time.

Originally Posted by captnate702
I’m deferring to the EXCO that they know how to read the tea leaves better than I do. Still, intentionally slow playing certainly has risks.
Or they're a bunch of amateurs talking big and shooting from the hip because they know they're outplayed. If you want to evaluate this for yourself, look at their actions and strategy vs. just about every other pilot group/union.

Originally Posted by tailendcharlie
I don’t think the EXCO “wants” this to take 3-5 years rather are acknowledging the reality once MG dug in his heels turned away from the growth plan & stopped negotiating in good faith. Unless some kind of corporate transaction intervenes the course is set toward a downsized airline, a likely pilot strike, but eventually, a new CBA that does away with the myriad bs “Allegiant we’re different” work rules and offers industry-standard pay & retirement. And base closings and overnights will be good for this pilot group; it’ll wake up the head-in-the-sand crowd who think being home every night is the holy grail.
If only there was something pilots could do to apply pressure to the company. If only they weren't so hung up on making it home on time.

Originally Posted by FreshWater
Imo, the strategy the union has put out is negotiating in good faith, i.e. not leaking out information to divide and conquer like management has done. Or, directly soliciting the pilot group outside of the bargaining table like management has and is doing. Or, violating their confidentiality agreement with the negotiating committee.

The company strategically called for a few more negotiating sessions, the union agreed. Only to pass garbage. Don’t know of any other strategy you speak of.
The union will lose if they play by the rules against a dishonest and dishonorable adversary. This is why they continue to lose.

Negotiating a contract with Maury is like negotiating a peace deal with Putin. He will laugh in your face, sign it, and bomb you the next day. The only way to hit Putin is to financially hit the Oligarchs who support him. Maury is the same way. That, my friends, is the road map to success here. But I doubt this pilot group has the fortitude to pull it off. Maybe I'm wrong.
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Old 04-16-2022, 07:54 AM
  #200  
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Originally Posted by labbats
I have opinions on what the contract should and shouldn’t focus on. I send those opinions to my union reps, not onto the internet.

This is what our union requested for our best deal.
sanity will prevail, this is absolutely what anyone who is a pilot at Allegiant should be doing
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