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Old Yesterday, 01:02 PM
  #7891  
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Originally Posted by MinRest
I have flown with a couple of junior ANC FOs who get flown down to SFO to cover reserve and they are considering it. But other than a few fringe, I think you are correct.
they didn’t say any numbers but DM has consistently said they want around 200 FOs in sfo so my guess is 25-30 reductions amongst the other bases. Some junior folks could be saved by maybe more senior people bidding to sfo but I don’t know how many people will sport bid sfo with this being the last bid till Q2 or 3 of next year
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Old Yesterday, 02:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
they didn’t say any numbers but DM has consistently said they want around 200 FOs in sfo so my guess is 25-30 reductions amongst the other bases. Some junior folks could be saved by maybe more senior people bidding to sfo but I don’t know how many people will sport bid sfo with this being the last bid till Q2 or 3 of next year
With Boeing deliveries at zero of forecast for the remainder of this year and 25 a month instead of 38 for 2025: It's likely the last bid before the SLI is finished.
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Old Yesterday, 02:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
they didn’t say any numbers but DM has consistently said they want around 200 FOs in sfo so my guess is 25-30 reductions amongst the other bases. Some junior folks could be saved by maybe more senior people bidding to sfo but I don’t know how many people will sport bid sfo with this being the last bid till Q2 or 3 of next year
What bases are actually “overstaffed” (/s because I don’t buy us being overstaffed anywhere for the busy months).
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Old Yesterday, 02:12 PM
  #7894  
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Originally Posted by DenainaPilot
What bases are actually “overstaffed” (/s because I don’t buy us being overstaffed anywhere for the busy months).
*my tinfoil hat is on*

I think they are gambling on a slower summer 25 cause I agree we seem right sized. My other tinfoil hat guess they will jack up ALVs in the summer increase the # of reserve FOs
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Old Yesterday, 02:14 PM
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Originally Posted by DenainaPilot
What bases are actually “overstaffed” (/s because I don’t buy us being overstaffed anywhere for the busy months).
Tinfoil hat #3 is if they wanna spread the “alignment” pain out evening 30 FOs more in sfo
is about 7 per base In LA PDX SEA ANC

but guess we will all learn Monday
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Old Yesterday, 02:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
Tinfoil hat #3 is if they wanna spread the “alignment” pain out evening 30 FOs more in sfo
is about 7 per base In LA PDX SEA ANC

but guess we will all learn Monday
I thought SEA reserves were getting hammered? Would they just crank up ALVs?
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Old Yesterday, 02:32 PM
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Originally Posted by DenainaPilot
I thought SEA reserves were getting hammered? Would they just crank up ALVs?
I think they're getting hammered less the last couple months. The real isssue with Seattle is they have (or had) the worst reserve staffing in the system with exponentially more flying than any other base. I think the company is quite happy with the amount of flying reserves in SEA are doing and would love that kind of utilization in all bases. It'll never happen with the flying load in other bases without significantly increaseing the chances of cancellations. That's my WAG anyways.
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Old Yesterday, 04:30 PM
  #7898  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
With Boeing deliveries at zero of forecast for the remainder of this year and 25 a month instead of 38 for 2025: It's likely the last bid before the SLI is finished.
With the way 2025 is looking for flying, I actually think we see hiring and at least one more position bid with growth. I doubt we see a single upgrade in 2025 unless things drastically change.

2025 is not looking to be the slowdown that was initially anticipated in terms of flying.
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Old Yesterday, 04:34 PM
  #7899  
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Originally Posted by word302
I think they're getting hammered less the last couple months. The real isssue with Seattle is they have (or had) the worst reserve staffing in the system with exponentially more flying than any other base. I think the company is quite happy with the amount of flying reserves in SEA are doing and would love that kind of utilization in all bases. It'll never happen with the flying load in other bases without significantly increaseing the chances of cancellations. That's my WAG anyways.
I think pulling from other bases to fix the hole in SFO will give the company an idea of staffing they need as they head into 2025. Right now with things so uneven they really don't know how much they are overstaffed or understaffed as they have to do VLOAs and EILs with reduced ALVs. Too much bandaiding across the board right now.
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Old Yesterday, 05:39 PM
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Originally Posted by MinRest
With the way 2025 is looking for flying, I actually think we see hiring and at least one more position bid with growth. I doubt we see a single upgrade in 2025 unless things drastically change.

2025 is not looking to be the slowdown that was initially anticipated in terms of flying.
With what aircraft? If we retire the 12 900 classics we will have less aircraft for 2025 than 2024. Hopefully those aircraft stick around a while longer.

We are missing a major opportunity by not having any new aircraft to fly for the majority of 2025 that is for sure. Since there is so much demand for flying. We can't grow unless we can get aircraft. Right now we are getting zero aircraft per month. When the strike is over it wont be right back to 38 MAX a month produced over at Boeing. It will slowly ramp up.
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