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Old 09-04-2024, 11:47 AM
  #1661  
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Originally Posted by Akamai
There is literally ZERO chance of 49 787’s on property by 2030. I love your optimism, but even with the insider door blow out deal Alaska MIGHT have on getting 787’s there won’t be 49 on property by 2030. Vegas odds say you’re wrong (again).

That is definitely the gold plan, there will be a lot more room in BAs book over the next few months, especially for those willing to take delivery 2025 and 2026… wait for the magic, do you know what happens in a recession
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Old 09-04-2024, 01:43 PM
  #1662  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Behind DAL?

They're just slightly ahead of our rates... our NB rates.

So yeah, it's a fixer-upper.
Our 330/787 rate is $423.99 on 3/25

Your TA rate is $375.74 on 9/25

Our 330/787 rate is $440.95 on 3/26

Your TA rate is $390.77 on 9/26

Our 330/787 rate is $454.18 on 3/27

Your 737 rates are slightly ahead of our 321 rates, your 737 rate is ~$50-60 an our less than our widebody rates. If that’s “slightly” then I’m really hoping for a slight increase in my widebody rate with the JCBA. Our widebody rates are less than DAL, but saying they are close to your 737 rates is disingenuous and laughable to this fixer-upper pilot. 🤦‍♂️ Let’s give unity another try!
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Old 09-04-2024, 03:15 PM
  #1663  
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Originally Posted by Akamai
Our 330/787 rate is $423.99 on 3/25

Your TA rate is $375.74 on 9/25

Our 330/787 rate is $440.95 on 3/26

Your TA rate is $390.77 on 9/26

Our 330/787 rate is $454.18 on 3/27

Your 737 rates are slightly ahead of our 321 rates, your 737 rate is ~$50-60 an our less than our widebody rates. If that’s “slightly” then I’m really hoping for a slight increase in my widebody rate with the JCBA. Our widebody rates are less than DAL, but saying they are close to your 737 rates is disingenuous and laughable to this fixer-upper pilot. 🤦‍♂️ Let’s give unity another try!
And while you’re celebrating your yes vote, let’s just include DALs 01/01/2026 widebody rate of $483.74.

For the 2025 rate overlap, a mere $59.75 behind, and 2026, $42.79. We shouldn’t be comparing 2027, unless you’d like to include that we don’t even get 5 hours per day until March 2025. I believe most airlines made 5/day an entire cycle ago.

Looks like a fixer upper to me, but I’m glad you’re gloating.
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Old 09-04-2024, 03:25 PM
  #1664  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Behind DAL?

They're just slightly ahead of our rates... our NB rates.

So yeah, it's a fixer-upper.



There's only one significant variable you missed and I think it could matter, a lot.

Insider rumbling is that the company wants to consumate the merger and integrate ops VERY rapidly. My understanding is that our scope requires JCBA before that can occur, so they will need to give some goodies to get a quick JCBA. Said goodies might smply be some best of breed work rules, and industry standard WB rates. It's easier to claim entitlement to industry standard, as opposed to trying to take the industry lead in a slow period.

But they're probably also considering that the legacy hiring will resume, possibly within 12 months. Retirements don't lie, still enough powder in that breach for one more good wave before 2030. Presumably that's why they agreed to two more years of raises.
We'll get the choice of industry standard WB rates OR better work rules. I know which one will be pushed on us by the MEC. Hopefully HA has some kind of cap on the time you can be on reserve and then DH. Our contract does not. I imagine that could get really ugly with WB operations.
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Old 09-04-2024, 03:52 PM
  #1665  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
I'll cheerfully cage anybody's gyro on this... don't want any concession minded thinking (ex below legacy standard WB rates) when the reality is that there will be actual WB opportunities for only a miniscule few, with significant SLI risk for about 60% of us.
WB would likely be fenced for at least 10 years no matter where they are flown out of. The 5 years fences for DL/NW and UA/CO were short because both airlines had widebody planes. Also the 5 years fences started with the SLI, not the merger date. HA pilots will likely fly those WB planes no matter where they are based. FYI United asked for "base fences" for the WB planes and they were denied by the arbitrators.

I think the SLI rate is going to be 90% chance no AS pilots fly as CA anytime soon. Maybe some FOs if they can't fill all the slots with HA pilots.
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Old 09-04-2024, 03:57 PM
  #1666  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
WB would likely be fenced for at least 10 years no matter where they are flown out of. The 5 years fences for DL/NW and UA/CO were short because both airlines had widebody planes. Also the 5 years fences started with the SLI, not the nerger date. HA pilots will likely fly those WB planes no matter where they are based. FYI United asked for "base fences" for the WB planes and they were denied by the arbitrators.

I think the SLI rate is going to be 90% chance no AS pilots fly as CA anytime soon. Maybe some FOs if they can't fill all the slots with HA pilots.
Always widebody FO slots over here. Then again we do (or did) a lot of augmented flying. Can’t see FO widebody slots staying Hawaiian very long at all. No matter where they are.
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Old 09-04-2024, 04:05 PM
  #1667  
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Originally Posted by PineappleXpres
Always widebody FO slots over here. Then again we do (or did) a lot of augmented flying. Can’t see FO widebody slots staying Hawaiian very long at all. No matter where they are.
Why is that??
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Old 09-04-2024, 04:23 PM
  #1668  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
Why is that??
Don’t see a mass migration unless it’s the only way to stay in Hawaii. Reserve for longer trips can be for two positions on augmented flights adds a lot of uncertainty. Some people like where they are on the other fleet or see (saw) an upgrade on the other fleets is not far off so they don’t necessarily jump on a vacant wide body FO slot. 90 hr line on a neo vs 75hrs on reserve is a bit of a wash. Unless there is a sense of now or never that I can’t quantify regarding the SLI.

If interisland flying becomes mainland based 737s, then yeah I see pilots moving widebody. They’ll go to Alaska legacy pilots before they go to new hires. Something that happens here all the time
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Old 09-04-2024, 04:37 PM
  #1669  
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Originally Posted by Akamai
Our 330/787 rate is $423.99 on 3/25

Your TA rate is $375.74 on 9/25

Our 330/787 rate is $440.95 on 3/26

Your TA rate is $390.77 on 9/26

Our 330/787 rate is $454.18 on 3/27

Your 737 rates are slightly ahead of our 321 rates, your 737 rate is ~$50-60 an our less than our widebody rates. If that’s “slightly” then I’m really hoping for a slight increase in my widebody rate with the JCBA. Our widebody rates are less than DAL, but saying they are close to your 737 rates is disingenuous and laughable to this fixer-upper pilot. 🤦‍♂️ Let’s give unity another try!
I'm having a frank discussion in the AS forum. Nothing against HAL pilots, the AS CBA was certainly a fixer upper for a very long time, until very recently. Although I wasn't aware that you were going up to $440.

Unity will be fine, based on everything I've read, heard, and discussed with AS and HA pilots. We seem to be off to a much better start than pretty much any merger can recall this century. Again, nobody at AS can throw stones about the HAL CBA, and I wasn't doing that.
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Old 09-04-2024, 04:41 PM
  #1670  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
Why is that??
FO's don't seem to get fenced, at least not that I recall in past mergers (I think the iea being they can always upgrade on a NB). And it goes junior at HAL, sometimes to new-hires.
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